比特币(BTC)和以太坊(ETH)能否从令人失望的一周中恢复过来?

币界网Published on 2024-08-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

币界网报道:

1、BTC/USD 和 ETH/USD 关键点

卡玛拉·哈里斯的经济政策可能引发通胀,从而对加密资产有利,而对美元不利。

上周的数据显示市场关注从通胀转向劳动力市场和消费者状况。BTC/USD 仍在近期区间内波动,但ETH/USD跌破关键支撑后,前景依然不佳。

2、加密资产市场新闻

比特币现货ETF申请再次受到关注,预计11月前可能上市。瑞士国家银行持有46.6万股MicroStrategy股票,高盛持有4.18亿美元的比特币ETF。美国政府将价值5.9亿美元的1万枚“丝绸之路”比特币转移,可能预示长期未动供应的抛售。

虽然不是直接的加密新闻,但卡玛拉·哈里斯公布的经济议程可能会引发通胀,若她当选,这可能对加密资产有利,美元则可能受损。

3、宏观经济背景

上周的经济数据显示市场关注点已转移,特别是消费者物价指数(CPI)报告显示通胀增幅符合预期。市场更关注劳动力市场和消费者健康,导致对美联储降息的预期减少,虽然这些因素可能对比特币和以太坊等风险资产有支撑作用,但上周的价格走势却令人失望。

4、情绪和资金流向

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“加密恐惧和贪婪指数”上周降至27,接近一年低点,未来几周若出现积极发展,或可形成反向看涨信号。加密资产投资工具的资金流入仍然平淡,比特币ETF略有资金流出,而以太坊ETF的资金流出有所减缓。

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5、比特币技术分析:BTC/USD 日线图

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尽管其他风险资产表现强劲,比特币上周表现疲软,50日EMA跌破200日MA形成“死亡交叉”,暗示长期趋势可能转为熊市。BTC/USD仍在较广范围内盘整,短期走势中性,但长期看可能上涨。

6、以太坊技术分析:ETH/USD 日线图

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以太坊上周同样疲软,出现“死亡交叉”,价格跌破之前的支撑位,技术展望不佳,ETH/USD 当前远低于其200天移动平均线,维持短期下行趋势。

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473 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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