九月美联储降息,大饼会在下个月起飞吗?

币界网Published on 2024-08-19Last updated on 2024-08-19

币界网报道:

买在无人问津时,卖在人生鼎沸中。

从三月中旬到现在,已经五个月来回震荡了,再坚持坚持吧,都坚持五个月了,也不差再坚持一二个月。

再跌能跌倒哪儿去,已经是底部区间位置了,再跌跌不到哪去了。现在接近矿机关机价,基本属于底部区间位置了,机构,矿工,散户,都不好受。

现在的币圈的不是增量市场,而是存量市场。明显的感觉就是币圈人越来越少,难道是市场不行了,币圈完蛋了?

其实不是的,只是因为币价不涨而已,如果大部分山寨币翻个几倍十几倍,形成造福效应,那么圈外的人就会蜂拥而至。

因为普通人没有什么思考能力,币价越涨 越跟着买,哪怕你涨到天上,接盘的只能越来越多,币价不涨,大家觉得没希望,反而没人了。

正确的做法是,市场越冷,你越要买,市场越热你越要走!

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大多数人都做反了,割肉的,都是压力大的,或者有杠杆借贷,有压力才会割肉,或者承受不住市场波动。

财不入急门,这话说的一点儿都没错。那样总是以全仓百倍杠杆为主的交易,只是太想暴富了那种心态,往往最后是亏损的。所以赚钱的只是少数!

我们在来看降息,美联储的9月会议定于9月17日,距今还有一个月的时间

在这期间,K线持续上涨,或者爆涨的可能性都不大,反而有二次下探的可能性。

现在这个时间段跨度较长,机构投资者不太可能在这个时期进行大规模操作。

他们更可能在接近9月17日的前两周开始行动,以迎合美联储议息会议的预期,从而做一波价格拉升。

因此,接下来市场可能还会先继续回调或者震荡,达到一个相对低点后,再开始反弹。

这个逻辑有点像是一个等待已久的美味糖果。如果我告诉你,9月17日我会给你一颗美味的糖果。

那么在接下来的一个月里,你可能会充满期待和兴奋。

但随着时间的推移,这种期待会逐渐增强。尤其是在距离你得到糖果只剩下两三天的时候,你的兴奋和渴望会达到顶峰。

然而,一旦你吃到糖果,那种兴奋感就会迅速消失。

将这个比喻应用到市场上,我们可以理解为,在美联储会议之前,市场可能会经历一段时期的回调和整理。然后在会议临近时开始炒作,会议结束后,市场可能会迅速回归平静。。

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