比特币信仰不动摇:尽管暴跌21%,74%巨鲸持仓稳如泰山

marsbitPublished on 2024-08-18Last updated on 2024-08-19

尽管比特币较历史最高点下跌了 21%,但过去六个月中钱包中的大部分比特币并未被出售或转移。

根据链上数据,大约四分之三的流通比特币在过去六个月或更长时间内没有被转移。

该发现来自 Glassnode 的 Hodl Wave 图表,该图表使用区块链数据,根据比特币(BTC)自上次移动以来的时间长度,提供钱包中持有的比特币( BTC )的宏观视图。

与一周前的 8 月 11 日相比,这是一个显著的增长,当时链上分析平台 Glassnode 的数据显示,近一半的 BTC 供应量(约 45%)已闲置至少六个月。

然而,目前的数据显示,尽管该资产较历史最高点下跌了 21%,但今年大部分时间内约有 74% 的资产保持稳定。

价值存储

BTC 持仓波动。资料来源:Unchained/Glassnode

旧币种的主导地位表明,长期投资者越来越多地持有 BTC 作为价值存储,可能预期未来价格上涨。

持有趋势还导致可供交易的比特币供应量减少。随着需求增加和供应紧张,这可能导致价格上涨。

与此同时,链上分析师詹姆斯·切克 (James Check) 在 8 月 19 日 X 的一篇文章中指出,超过 80% 的比特币短期持有者处于亏损状态,因为他们持有的比特币是以高于当前现货价格的价格获得的。

他警告称,如果他们像前几年一样恐慌性抛售,这可能会导致进一步下跌。短期持有者是指持有 BTC 时间少于 155 天的人。

这与 2018 年、2019 年和 2021 年中期的情况类似,表明许多投资者面临恐慌并引发看跌趋势的风险。

价值存储

STH BTC 供应量高企,亏损严重。资料来源:James Check

目前,整体市场情绪仍看跌,比特币恐惧与贪婪指数为28,恐惧指数为 28。过去几周,它已回到自 2022 年 12 月以来从未见过的恐惧水平。

周末晚些时候,比特币价格突破 60,000 美元。然而,此后价格大幅回落,截至本文撰写时已跌至 58,619 美元。

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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