美元走软,日元下跌,比特币企稳

币界网Published on 2024-08-18Last updated on 2024-08-18

币界网报道:

周五,由于美国公布了一些相当糟糕的住房数据,美元兑日元汇率下跌,兑其他主要货币汇率下跌。

投资者一直在关注美联储下一步可能对利率采取的行动,他们不喜欢他们所看到的。

美国独栋房屋建设在7月份急剧下降,抵押贷款利率上升和房价飙升吓跑了潜在买家。市场已经步履蹒跚,而这次新的挫折也无济于事。

Dollar eases, yen slips, and Bitcoin stabilizes as recession fears fade

美元兑日元汇率下跌0.96%,达到147.87,低于前一天达到的两周高点149.40。但如果你押注日元,不要太兴奋,因为它仍将出现自6月以来最严重的单周跌幅。

为什么?因为最新的美国经济数据缓解了人们对经济衰退的担忧,让交易员有理由押注逐步降息,而不是更剧烈的降息。

日元持续疲软

上周实际上是一个戏剧性的转变,与8月5日相比,当时日本央行意外加息后,日元兑美元汇率飙升至141.675。

此举,再加上对美国经济衰退的担忧,促使交易员争相解除日元融资的套利交易。

但在日本央行副行长内田慎一试图通过表示在市场如此不稳定时不会干预利率来缓解紧张情绪后,事情平静了下来。

日本银行

从那时起,交易员似乎已经开始重建他们的空头头寸。与此同时,日本投资者一直很忙。在截至8月10日的一周内,他们向长期海外债券注入了12周来最多的资金。

你猜怎么着?外国投资者再次成为买家,在连续八周抛售日本短期债务后抢购。

股市也没有被排除在外——外国人抢购了约35亿美元的日本股票,扭转了三周的净抛售。

Dollar eases, yen slips, and Bitcoin stabilizes as recession fears fade

本月早些时候,低于预期的工资数据让交易员认为可能会大幅降息50个基点,可能性达到71%。但根据芝加哥商品交易所集团的FedWatch工具,截至目前,这些几率已暴跌至25.5%。

比特币保持稳定

转向加密货币,比特币一直表现出一些严重的弹性,在全球崩溃扰乱市场并将其拖入5万美元以下后趋于稳定。

今年1月,美国推出的比特币现货ETF在混乱时期对比特币的维持起到了重要作用。

自首次亮相以来,这些ETF已吸引了约175亿美元的净流入,截至发稿时,这些基金的总资产已增至535亿美元。

Grayscale Bitcoin Trust在今年早些时候跃升为ETF,自转换以来已获得19亿美元的资金流入。就连新加入的Bitwise比特币基金也成功吸引了2.74亿美元的资金流入。

Dollar eases, yen slips, and Bitcoin stabilizes as recession fears fade

比特币年初约为45000美元,出现大幅反弹,5月份达到约71000美元的峰值。从那时起,价格一直在各地波动,但最近一直稳定在63000至65000美元的范围内。

这种稳定性有点令人惊讶,尤其是在4月份减半后通常会出现波动之后。但比特币在过去一周一直徘徊在59400美元左右。

也就是说,比特币今年经历了困境,但它显示出进入更稳定模式的迹象——至少目前是这样。

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470 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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