CPI后,交易员放弃比特币和以太币,因为市场为熊市做好了准备

币界网Published on 2024-08-16Last updated on 2024-08-16

币界网报道:

最新的美国消费者价格指数(CPI)数据公布后,加密货币市场敲响了警钟。比特币和以太坊是加密货币世界的两只大狗,随着数字的增加,交易员们纷纷逃离。

每个人都希望这次CPI印刷会扭转局面,这并没有让人失望——只是不像看涨者所希望的那样。

随着通胀数据达到预期,市场迅速开始对降息25个基点的可能性进行定价,从47.5%跃升至62.5%。

反应?绝对混乱。

就在CPI新闻发布后,加密货币和股票出现了短暂的飙升,但这就像一个在它开始之前就熄灭的火花。

其中很大一部分是美国政府向Coinbase Prime倾倒了10000个BTC,而Jump则卸载了17000个ETH。这突如其来的供应洪流像一吨砖头一样冲击了市场。

比特币和以太币的前端波动性大幅下降,下跌了约10个vol,而ETH的风险逆转降至-8,BTC降至-6。

CPI后的影响

整个情况让交易员感到紧张,这是有充分理由的。加密货币市场已经非常薄弱,杠杆率很高,这意味着任何价格变动都像火上浇油。

期权市场通常是事情可能走向的一个很好的晴雨表,看起来很可能会有更多的痛苦。

抛售很快,BTC和ETH的新供应冲击了已经紧张的市场。这就像看着多米诺骨牌效应——一旦第一个倒下,其他人也会跟着倒下。

现在,交易员们正争先恐后地走在曲线的前面,担心这可能只是更长期熊市的开始。

QCP Capital分析师指出,这一反应几乎与他们的预期一致。随着美国倾销1万BTC,Jump对大量ETH也采取了同样的做法,难怪交易员们正在按下卖出按钮。

ETF仍然不受限制

尽管混乱不堪,但并非一切都很严峻。昨天,比特币现货交易所交易基金(ETF)净流入1111万美元。

这很有趣,尤其是当你考虑到同期灰度比特币信托基金(GBTC)的资金外流为2530万美元时。这是一个奇怪的矛盾,表明了现在市场的分裂程度。

GBTC的资金外流与纽约证券交易所Arca电子交易所最近决定撤回拟议的规则变更相一致。

这一变化将允许GBTC和其他加密货币ETF的交易,但随着这一点的取消,投资者似乎正在撤出资金。

ETF的流入是一个亮点,但不足以抵消正在接管的更广泛的看跌情绪。

与此同时,以太坊正经历一段艰难的时期。尽管其交易价格比8月5日臭名昭著的崩盘期间创下的8个月低点2112美元高出25%,但前景并不乐观。

按市值计算,第二大加密货币一直在上涨,在过去七天里上涨了13%,但分析师仍在挥舞红旗,警告以太坊的下行风险非常活跃。

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363 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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