比特币涨至 7 万美元还是 4.8 万美元?BTC 价格下一步将如何发展

币界网Published on 2024-08-15Last updated on 2024-08-15

币界网报道:

由于比特币目前难以超越此前的高点,分析师们分享了他们对该资产的看法,认为比特币正面临十字路口。

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  • 比特币出现复苏迹象,上涨2.7%,截至发稿时交易价格突破60,842美元。

  • 根据即将发布的经济数据,分析师预测该价格要么创历史新高,要么跌至 48,000 美元。

比特币 [BTC]再次处于关键时刻。在 3 月份创下 73,000 美元以上的历史高点后,比特币经历了过山车般的波动,波动幅度很大。

目前,比特币显示出复苏迹象,过去24小时内上涨了2.7%,交易价值约为60,842美元。

最近几周,比特币一直在窄幅波动,暗示市场情绪存在潜在的不确定性。

这一盘整期是在一系列下跌和复苏之后出现的。鉴于此,现在的问题是比特币能否维持这一初步复苏并走上重返峰值的道路。

分析师的技术展望

加密分析领域的著名人物 Michael Van De Poppe 最近对比特币的潜在发展方向提出了自己的见解。

他根据关键阻力位和即将公布的经济指标勾勒出一条分叉路径,并解释道,

“如果比特币保持 56,000 美元以上的支撑位并突破 60-61K 美元的阻力位,那么重新测试其历史高点的道路就很明确了。”

相反,不利的发展,例如令人失望的消费者价格指数 (CPI) 数据,可能会将比特币推低至 48,000 美元的关口。

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另一位知名分析师 RektCapital 也参与了讨论,他强调了交易量在确认复苏力度方面的重要性。他评论道:

“买方交易量的增加令人鼓舞,但维持这种势头对于克服近期高点至关重要。”

每日收盘价高于约 61,700 美元将发出强劲看涨确认的信号。

比特币是否会再次下跌?

就比特币的技术健康状况而言,用于衡量市场动量和潜在价格逆转的工具相对强弱指数 (RSI)截至发稿时为 43。

这种中性读数表明比特币既没有超买也没有超卖,几乎没有方向性偏差,突显了市场当前的犹豫不决。

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此外,Coinglass 的清算数据显示,空头仓位明显偏多。如果比特币价格上涨,可能会引发价值 24.1 亿美元的清算,为比特币上涨提供助力。

然而,价格下跌可能会导致约 13.8 亿美元的多头仓位被清算,从而加剧下跌趋势。

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