以太坊为何出现价格下跌的原因分析

币界网Published on 2024-08-15Last updated on 2024-08-15

币界网报道:

以太坊 (ETH) 的价格即将下跌,因为它接近其关键阻力位 2,843 美元左右。截至周四撰写本文时,其交易价格为 2,620 美元,下跌了 3.97%。链上数据进一步支持看跌前景,以太坊交易所流量余额的正增长和开发活动的下跌突显了这一点。

此外,ETH 创始人 Vitalik Buterin 已向 Kraken 交易所存入价值 534,000 美元的 ETH,这可能会加剧抛售压力,并导致未来几天以太坊的看跌前景。

以太坊价格即将下跌,因为它接近关键阻力位

以太坊目前正在重新审视其 50% 回撤位 2,843 美元(根据 7 月 22 日的 3,562 美元波动高点和 8 月 5 日的 2,124 美元波动低点计算得出)。该回撤位与每日阻力位 2,927 美元紧密相关,标志着其成为关键阻力区域。

如果以太坊的价格未能突破 2,843 美元,则可能从当前的 2,658 美元交易水平下跌 20%,并触及每周支撑位 2,118 美元。

在日线图上,相对强弱指数 (RSI) 和动量振荡指标 (AO) 分别低于中性水平 50 和 0,表明即将出现看跌趋势。

Santiment 的 ETH 交易流量余额显示了代币进出交易所钱包的净流动情况。正值表示进入交易所的以太坊代币多于退出交易所的代币,表明投资者的抛售压力。相反,负值表示离开交易所的 ETH 多于进入交易所的 ETH,表明投资者的抛售压力较小。

以以太坊为例,周二至周三,交易流量余额从 -62,018 飙升至 20,707。这一正增长通常表明投资者的抛售活动有所增加。

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此外,以太坊的开发活动指标会跟踪一段时间内公共 GitHub 存储库中记录的项目开发事件的频率。

该指标的上涨表明该项目将不断努力维护、创新和改进协议,投资者和利益相关者普遍认为这是有利的。相反,该指标的下跌可能会引发人们对该项目的持久力、创新能力以及在可预见的未来与社区的互动的担忧。

以太坊方面,该指数从周三的 265 大幅下跌至周四的 257,延续了自 7 月中旬以来的下跌趋势。这表明以太坊的开发活动稳步下跌,并暗示其价格前景看跌。

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尽管技术分析和链上数据发出了看跌信号,但如果以太坊价格成功收于 7 月 29 日 3,396 美元的高点上方,它将在日线图上创下更高的高点,有可能导致上涨 5% 以重新测试 7 月 22 日 3,562 美元的高点。

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