比特币价格分析：比特币的下一个价格是6.4万美元，还是更有可能暴跌至5.6万美元？

币界网Published on 2024-08-14Last updated on 2024-08-14

币界网报道：

自3月以来，比特币的价格一直在大范围内盘整，并逐渐下跌。这种区间波动可能最终导致长期看涨趋势。

技术分析

通过TradingRage

每日图表

在日线图上，价格最近跌破200天移动平均线，位于6.3万美元左右。

然而，市场已从5万美元反弹，并重新测试了200天移动平均线，但被拒绝下跌。

目前，价格可能会测试56000美元。如果这一水平保持不变，市场可能会再次向200天移动平均线反弹，甚至可能更高，这可能会导致新的牛市开始。

来源：TradingView

4小时图表

4小时的时间框架表明了可能的复苏情景，因为价格在上周下跌后从5.2万美元的支撑位迅速反弹。

然而，目前市场正努力突破6.1万美元的阻力位，并正在形成看涨的旗帜模式。

如果它向上突破，短期内极有可能向6.4万美元的水平攀升。另一方面，如果这种模式失败，情况可能会迅速恶化，市场可能会再次跌至5.2万美元的水平。

来源：TradingView

链上分析

通过TradingRage

比特币交易所储备

虽然比特币的价格走势并不令人信服，但由于供应量大幅下降，一些基本的网络指标表明，未来几个月价格可能会上涨。

此图表显示了比特币交易所储备指标及其30天移动平均线。该指标衡量的是交易所钱包中持有的BTC数量。这些硬币的数量可以被视为供应的代理，因为它们很容易在交易所持有，可以快速出售。

然而，正如图表所示，自2024年初以来，外汇储备指标一直在急剧下降，表明投资者的总体积累行为。这是一个好兆头，可能会在不久的将来导致供应冲击，这可能会导致比特币价格飙升。

来源：CryptoQuant

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