比特币及大盘行情即将回暖 万众期待的山寨季真的要来了？

币界网Published on 2024-08-14Last updated on 2024-08-14

币界网报道：

最近一周的行情是真的无聊，当前BTC日线在扩张楔形中轨附近已经震荡近一周了，过去6天，只要是价格靠近中轨，就会出现小幅的现货抛压，但只要价格回调至6w以下，就又会出现现货买盘；

IYhPHtFV5w3l8hsQQf2i0Bxq0omd6ohbdzgC6rYF.png

比特币及大盘行情即将回暖

昨天比特币ETF和以太坊ETF分别资金净流入3894万和2434万美元

这两块儿市场基本上已经保持了资金平衡，尤其是ETH，仅用了不到两周时间，ETHE的砸盘就消失了，这样意味着前面说的ETF通过后最艰难的日子过去了，接下来ETF的利好也将体现在价格上

比特币正在以自己的节奏进行自我疗养和修复，4小时级别拉回震荡

目前又到了震荡上沿的阻力62000附近位置。

如果62000能有效站稳的话，那么下一个考验的就是70000附近位置了，还记得我们关于Q4季度的预测嘛，大家一定不要马马虎虎，行情来了就那么几个月，所以这个时间段是最好的参与时间。

我自己还是保持“大区间震荡行情快要结束”的看法：58000~62000这个小区间到底能不能彻底走出去，可能决定了后续很长一段时间的趋势方向；

当然，概率大不代表一定会发生，落实到交易层面还是要以价格行为为主，当个滑头总是被损，但损多了，总能一顿吃饱；

宏观方面

美国7月PPI同比上升2.2%，低于预期。

亚特兰大联储主席博斯蒂克：降息即将到来，希望能看到更多数据。

华尔街继续向美联储施压，贝莱德首席投资官 Rick Rieder 表示，预计美联储将在 9 月份的会议上降息。

现在市场对宏观的需求已经变了：

以前是大家盼着经济下滑、就业下降、失业上升，因为这会导致降息和放水快点儿到来

接下来的所有数据，都是符合预期就是利好，超出或者低于预期都会被市场解读成衰退或者影响降息的，我预期本周市场受宏观影响是比较明显的，波动率会很高，大家尽量不要上杠杆，像这种上蹿下跳的行情，玩合约就是个死。

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万众期待的山寨季真的要来了？

bitmex创始人小黑表示大饼突破7万，以太坊突破4000后，山寨季就来了。

说起山寨市场，真有点群魔乱舞的感觉，虽然大盘没啥动静，但是很多板块已经压不住了

比如说 brc20 ：这波 sats ordi 都起飞了

模块化赛道也是走了普涨行情，saga dym tia 的涨幅都在20%左右

公链方面在 sui 的引领下，大家也都开始找自己的新定位了，比如 sol杀手之类的，昨天 ak suzhu 之类的大佬也开始奶sui了

小黑奶 apt , 其他单片公链走势也都很不错；

老牌 defi 也开始抬头，crv 这万年不涨的垃圾这几天都有40%的涨幅

aave mkr snx dydx 之类的也有起色

总之这段时间二级市场是有启动的迹象了，觉得如果大盘能够向上走一走，山寨牛市真的就来了，这次预感强烈！

关注我，一起迎接超级大牛市！！！

温馨提示：玩合约，赚钱只是过程，爆仓一定是最终结果。珍爱生命，远离合约！！！

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While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. 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