以太坊价格分析:在37%的暴跌之后,以太坊的最糟糕时期是否已经过去?

币界网Published on 2024-08-11Last updated on 2024-08-11

币界网报道:

在大幅下跌37%之后,以太坊在2.1万美元支撑区附近遇到了大量购买活动,导致看涨反弹。

然而,当前的价格走势表明,ETH可能正在完成回调至2.8K美元的楔形下限,这可能预示着看跌趋势的延续。

技术分析

作者:Shayan

每日图表

仔细查看以太坊的日线图,可以发现在关键的2.1万美元支撑位附近出现了强烈的看涨反应,导致价格迅速飙升。这一走势表明需求强劲,约为2万美元,投资者对较低的价格表现出兴趣,反映了他们对以太坊长期潜力的信心。

然而,ETH现在遇到了一个相当大的阻力位,其中包括之前突破的楔形下限和关键的2.8K美元阈值。

该区域可能会阻止上涨势头并引发逆转,标志着有效回调至突破水平。如果发生这种情况,以太坊的下一个目标可能是心理和决定性的2K美元支撑位。

来源:TradingView

4小时图表

在4小时图上,加密货币在2K美元的重要支撑位附近显示出复苏的迹象,导致小幅回调。

然而,价格现在已经达到了一个临界阻力区,以0.5和0.618斐波那契水平为界。预计该区域将面临更大的抛售压力,并可能是当前调整运动的主要目标。

鉴于这种阻力,ETH似乎可能面临该地区的拒绝,可能会继续其对2K美元支撑的看跌趋势。然而,如果出现意外的看涨突破,价格可能会经历强劲飙升,旨在夺回楔形的下限和关键的2.8万美元大关。

来源:TradingView

链上分析

作者:Shayan

以太坊最近经历了大幅下跌,导致投资者猜测看跌趋势是否会继续。然而,期货市场数据表明,逆转可能即将到来。

提供的图表突出了以太坊的长期清算,衡量长期永久头寸的清算情况。在牛市中,随着期货市场的稳定和现货购买压力的接管,重大清算事件后通常会出现价格反弹。

最近的级联引发了大规模的长期清算,达到了自2022年11月以来从未见过的水平。这种大规模的清算级联可能表明期货市场降温,许多杠杆头寸已被清空。

随着期货市场的潜在重置,如果需求恢复,以太坊可能会在长期内再次出现冲动的牛市。

来源:CryptoQuant

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Wall Street Morning Report: Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Falls Nearly 3%, Nvidia's 'Circular Financing' Concerns Trigger Tech Stock Correction, Optical Communication and Chip Stocks Plunge

Wall Street Morning Report: The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell nearly 3%, and concerns over Nvidia's "revolving financing" sparked a tech stock pullback, with optical communications and chip stocks declining sharply. U.S. stocks retreated from record highs on Monday amid geopolitical tensions and AI financing doubts. The Dow fell 0.11%, the Nasdaq 0.32%, and the S&P 500 was nearly flat. Hopes for reopening the Strait of Hormuz dimmed after Trump demanded war reparations from Iran, pushing Brent crude above $87 and WTI above $82. Spot gold broke above $4400/oz. Treasury yields rose, with the market pricing in a ~54% chance of a September Fed hike. The semiconductor and AI infrastructure sectors were hit hard. The Philly Semiconductor Index dropped nearly 3%, with the semiconductor ETF down 2.28%. Optical communication was the worst-performing AI sub-sector, with Coherent plunging over 14%. The sell-off centered on Nvidia, which fell 2.86% on reports it is collaborating with major financial institutions to mobilize over $500 billion in third-party capital for AI infrastructure. Market concerns focused on whether this creates a circular financing loop and if future AI facilities can generate sufficient cash flow. Other notable moves: Intel dropped over 4% on a new share offering. Microsoft rose 1.21% on plans for its next-gen Maia 300 chip. The software sector outperformed, with Palantir up 1.85%. Energy stocks rallied nearly 4.7% on geopolitical risks. Key upcoming events include the RBA rate decision on Aug 11 and earnings from Lumentum, CoreWeave, and Super Micro Computer after the close on Aug 12, which will test the real demand for AI infrastructure.

marsbit30m ago

Wall Street Morning Report: Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Falls Nearly 3%, Nvidia's 'Circular Financing' Concerns Trigger Tech Stock Correction, Optical Communication and Chip Stocks Plunge

marsbit30m ago

Podcast Notes | VanEck Digital Asset Research Head: Current AI Infrastructure Rally Not a Bubble; Crypto Market Quiet Due to Institutional Disappointment in L1s

In this podcast, VanEck's Head of Digital Asset Research Matthew Sigel discusses the current market dynamics. He argues the ongoing AI infrastructure boom is not a bubble, contrasting it with the 19th-century railroad mania. Unlike railroads funded by speculative land grants and government bonds, today's AI data centers are backed by long-term private contracts and significant customer prepayments, making the investment cycle more sustainable. Sigel notes a recent market shift: companies with high capital expenditures (capex) were rewarded in early 2024 but are now being punished. Cryptocurrencies, categorized as software assets, have suffered alongside the broader software sector. His NODE ETF has outperformed Bitcoin by nearly 100 percentage points over 15 months, largely by betting on Bitcoin miners transitioning into AI data centers. He highlights the value of miners' key assets—power and land—and their new ability to fund growth through debt instead of diluting shareholders. Regarding the crypto market's weakness, Sigel points to institutional disappointment with major Layer-1 (L1) blockchains like Ethereum and Solana. Post-election rallies lacked breakout applications, and regulated entities are increasingly building their own private, permissioned chains (e.g., by Circle, Stripe, Wells Fargo), diluting the "winner-takes-all" potential of public L1s. He believes a regulatory catalyst like the CLARITY Act, which would enforce disclosure standards, could trigger a significant relief rally for some tokens, but remains cautious until then. He also views proposals by ETH, Solana, and NEAR to reduce token inflation as a positive, necessary adjustment for the maturing sector.

marsbit35m ago

Podcast Notes | VanEck Digital Asset Research Head: Current AI Infrastructure Rally Not a Bubble; Crypto Market Quiet Due to Institutional Disappointment in L1s

marsbit35m ago

Shenzhen Competing for 'Tsinghua Faction' Talent

Shenzhen is actively attracting Tsinghua University-affiliated technology ventures, as highlighted during the "X-Day" Xili Lake Roadshow held in Nanshan. The event featured six startup projects from Tsinghua alumni, spanning semiconductors, AI, materials, and healthcare. The showcased companies include: Zhichen Semiconductor, developing edge AI chips; Guangsu Evolution, creating AI-powered home security systems; Qingli Technology, commercializing "self-superlubricating" technology; Shu Yu Technology, offering an AI Agent for analog chip design; Heyi Intelligent Control, providing AI-driven building management systems; and Shengshengyi, applying AI to assisted reproductive medicine. These ventures represent a trend of deep-tech innovation closely linked to academic research. The roadshow series, initiated a year ago, underscores a strategic shift in Shenzhen's investment landscape. Venture capital is moving earlier into the innovation cycle, seeking projects directly from laboratories and research papers. Tsinghua University serves as a key source for such early-stage, technology-intensive startups. Over the past two years, Tsinghua alumni projects have accounted for nearly 30% of the approximately 280 billion RMB in early-stage deep-tech funding in Shenzhen. The "X-Day" platform has facilitated significant growth. To date, its 19 roadshows have connected companies with investors thousands of times, leading to over 3.3 billion RMB in equity financing for 58 firms. Past participants like Kuaiwei Intelligent (recently valued over 10 billion RMB after a Series B round) and Lingcifang (securing four funding rounds in 18 months) exemplify the successful trajectory from this ecosystem. The activity underscores Shenzhen's, particularly Nanshan District's, role in bridging academic research from institutions like Tsinghua with industrial application and venture capital.

marsbit36m ago

Shenzhen Competing for 'Tsinghua Faction' Talent

marsbit36m ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ETH (ETH) are presented below.

活动图片