比特币经历了自FTX崩溃以来最不稳定的交易日:K33研究

币界网Published on 2024-08-06Last updated on 2024-08-06

币界网报道:

周一,比特币日内波动率飙升至2022年加密货币交易所FTX崩溃以来的最高水平,因为该资产的价格出现了大约20个月来最剧烈的价格波动。

K33 Research分析师Vetle Lunde和David Zimmerman表示,在全球市场抛售的情况下,比特币所谓的高低价差飙升至19%。

他们在一份研究报告中写道:“昨天的市场活动疯狂而繁忙”,并将其描述为“暴力”

据CoinGecko称,一年多前,FTX的崩溃对加密货币市场造成了严重破坏,导致比特币价格在2022年11月9日跌至15742美元。在那一天,该资产的价格达到了18600美元的高点,然后在当天结束时结算在16400美元左右。

分析师写道,比特币最高价格和最低价格相对于周一收盘价的差异类似于2022年加密货币逆风的混乱。与此同时,比特币周一短暂跌破5万美元,交易量激增。

周一,比特币交易量达到145亿美元,创下3月初以来的最高水平,当时比特币价格接近6.9万美元的历史新高。不久后,比特币从73000美元以上的历史高点下跌,3月份的突然下跌也类似于周一的交易活动。

当比特币价格周一收于54000美元左右时,其价格相对于一周前的66700美元下跌了19%。比特币上一次经历类似的每周大幅下跌是在3月中旬,该资产的价格从约71000美元下跌了13%,至62000美元。

分析师告诉Decrypt,周二出现降温迹象的市场混乱归因于对美国经济衰退的担忧加剧以及涉及日元的套利交易的解除。一些人还指出,中东地缘政治紧张局势加剧是一个有风险的事件。

截至本文撰写时,比特币的价格已于周二反弹至56400美元。与周一比特币的低价49800美元相比,反弹在一天多一点的时间里上涨了13%。

然而,Lunde和Zimmerman写道,比特币的价格在未来几周内可能会在50000美元至58000美元之间。他们指出,比特币永久期货的名义未平仓合约大幅下降,交易员利用多头杠杆进行大量押注。

代表比特币永久期货合约未偿价值的名义未平仓合约周一下跌了12%。这是自2023年8月以来最大的单日跌幅,当时比特币的价格从29000美元突然跌至26000美元,名义未平仓合约下跌了17%。

尽管如此,与FTX的内爆相比,杠杆比特币赌注的下降显得黯然失色,最终导致创始人兼前首席执行官Sam Bankman Fried因欺诈指控被定罪。2022年11月8日,比特币永久期货的名义未平仓合约下跌了21%。

K33分析师写道:“周一的市场崩盘是广泛的市场抛售,而不是特定于加密货币的市场反应。”。“虽然清理旺盛的多头对市场来说是必要和积极的长期发展,但大规模去杠杆化事件往往伴随着停滞的价格行动。”

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