伯恩斯坦分析师预测比特币价格何时会再次转为牛市

币界网Published on 2024-08-06Last updated on 2024-08-06

币界网报道:

伯恩斯坦分析师Gautam Chhugani、Mahika Sapra和Sanskar Chindalia提供了比特币价格何时可能再次看涨并创下新高的见解。分析人士还提到了美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普可能对比特币的发展轨迹产生的影响。

当比特币价格再次转为看涨时

伯恩斯坦分析师在8月5日的一份研究报告中提到,如果股市因美联储的回应而复苏,他们预计比特币和更广泛的加密市场将复苏。他们预计,这种反应将以降息和向经济注入更多流动性的形式出现。

这些分析师提到,最近加密货币市场的崩溃这次不是比特币的错,而是由于“股市的担忧”和其他宏观经济因素造成的。由于担心美国经济可能陷入衰退,美国股市目前正面临大幅下跌。

由于其与这些股票的历史相关性,比特币也经历了从周末开始的大规模抛售浪潮。这导致旗舰加密货币自今年2月初以来首次跌破5万美元。随着山寨币价格大幅下跌,更广泛的加密货币市场也紧随其后。

Chhugani、Sapra和Chindalia预测,在第三季度的大部分时间里,宏观方面将继续影响比特币和加密货币市场。有人猜测,美联储可能会在9月份的下一次联邦公开市场委员会会议上降息,这无疑将对包括加密货币在内的风险资产产生积极影响。

有趣的是,著名经济学家杰里米·西格尔等市场专家呼吁,除了9月份可能发生的预期降息外,还应紧急降息。然而,美联储是否会屈服于这种压力还有待观察,尤其是在他们似乎不相信美国即将陷入衰退的情况下。

美国大选是这些分析师预计会影响BTC和更广泛的加密货币市场的另一个因素。他们表示,比特币“仍然是‘特朗普交易’”,并预计这些加密资产将继续受到区间限制,直到选举结束。如果特朗普最终获胜,比特币预计会做出积极反应,因为他被认为比民主党总统候选人卡玛拉·哈里斯更支持加密货币。

BTC的前景依然乐观

尽管最近有所下降,但这些伯恩斯坦分析师长期看好比特币,并指出目前没有“加密货币的增量负面影响”。他们通过现货比特币ETF暗示了BTC的机构采用趋势,随着越来越多的机构投资者继续采用旗舰加密货币,这提供了一个看涨的前景。

这些分析师预计,“第三季度和第四季度将有更多的电汇批准,从而为比特币的资产配置提供进一步的渠道。”据报道,摩根士丹利已告知其财务顾问,他们可以从8月7日开始向富裕客户提供这些现货比特币ETF。

BTC价格跌至55000美元以下|来源:Tradingview.com上的BTCUSD

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