ICP与BTC的相关性、或将引发ICP进一步上涨

金色财经Published on 2024-08-06Last updated on 2024-08-06

  • 从 90 天相关性来看,互联网计算机的发展方向与比特币类似。

  • 这种关联性推动了ICP近期的价格上涨,而关键的整合则可以增强其价格。

  • ICP 的价格在 20 EMA 之上交易,超级趋势支持该代币的看涨前景。

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并非所有加密货币都会相互影响。然而,互联网计算机(ICP)已经与比特币(BTC)挂钩一段时间了。

山寨币最终会走出自己的道路吗?这一链上分析证明,投资者短期内可能不想押注于此。

ICP与BTC步调一致

根据 Macroaxis 的数据,ICP 和 BTC 之间的 90 天相关性为 0.94。相关系数为 1 或接近 1 意味着两种加密货币的价格大多数时候都朝着相似的方向变动。

然而,当系数接近 -1 时,表明分歧很大。在 90 天的时间范围内,Internet Computer 的表现不及 BTC,尤其是因为它产生了负收益。 

在同一时间段内,比特币的价格回报并不令人印象深刻。但是,它并不像 ICP 那样令人失望。

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然而,这种强烈的相关性可能与ICP在过去 30 天内的复苏有关,当时 ICP 的价格与 BTC 同步上涨,上涨了 23.55%。

此外,链上环境之外的发展表明,有可能看到更强的相关性。 

这是因为数字资产抵押品管理公司 Copper.co 已经建立了支持互联网计算机网络上 BTC 交互的跨链基础设施。 

通过这样的跨链交互,流动性可以轻松地在网络之间移动,有时,所涉及网络的本机加密货币会相互受益,同时朝着相似的方向发展。 

BTC的价格可能会走高。如果这一预测得到证实,ICP 可能会效仿。Aroon 指标也证实了这一预测。

该指标有两条线:Aroon Up(橙色)和 Aroon Down(蓝色)。总之,它显示加密货币的价格是开始新的趋势、改变趋势还是继续朝特定方向发展。

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从上图中我们观察到 Aroon Up 要高得多,这表明 ICP 的价格可能保持看涨势头。

ICP 价格预测:能否飙升至 12 美元以上?

ICP于7月6日突破了下行趋势,这对其近期的上涨至关重要。虽然该代币的交易价格为 10.25 美元,但仍高于 20 EMA(蓝色),该价格为 9.13 美元。

EMA 代表指数移动平均线。当价格高于该值时,趋势为看涨,但如果低于该值,趋势为看跌。因此,当前的 ICP 条件意味着代币上涨的可能性高于下跌的可能性。

此外,Supertrend 在 8.34 美元发出了买入信号。此技术分析工具显示了加密货币遵循的趋势。如果红色区域出现在价格上方,则为卖出信号,价格可能会下降。

超级趋势的绿色部分徘徊在 ICP 价格以下,表明代币的价值可能更高。

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如果购买压力增加,斐波那契回撤指标显示 ICP 可能达到 10.80 美元。

如果多头维持上涨趋势,价格可能会在未来几天达到 12.14 美元。但是,如果代币价格跌破 20 EMA,这一预测可能不会实现。如果是这样的话,ICP 的价格可能会降至 9.86 美元。

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