Jump一周抛售上亿美元ETH,解析数额细节与潜在抛压

深潮Published on 2024-08-05Last updated on 2024-08-05

Jump Trading仍有少则1亿、多则数十亿美元的ETH。

作者:南枳,Odaily星球日报

今日,加密市场伴随全球经济衰退预期陷入恐慌式螺旋下跌,BTC 从 60000 万美元上方两天跌破 50000 万美元,ETH 自 3000 美元上方跌至最低 2100 美元附近。尽管宏观消息面上存在诸多利空,今日暴跌的主要场内诱因则被认为是知名加密机构 Jump Trading 的大举抛售。

一周之内,Jump Trading 迅猛地抛售了上亿美元的 ETH,结合此前其被美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)调查之事,本就恐慌的加密市场正在传言其加密相关业务或将被关停。

那么 Jump Trading 抛售了多少代币,还有多少持仓?Odaily 将于本文进行解析。

Jump 抛售细节

Jump Trading 相关地址的第一笔异动发生于 7 月 26 日,彼时某地址向 Jump Trading转入 7000 枚 ETH,价值约 2260 万美元。此时 ETH 刚刚经历了从 3500 USDT 到 3100 USDT 的暴跌。

两日后,Jump Trading开始了首次抛售,相关地址 将 4737 枚 ETH 存入币安,价值约 1540 万美元。

此后数日,Jump Trading 进行了一系列的资金归集操作,包括从 Lido 中解除质押 ETH、多次从其他钱包中转移 ETH,然后陆续将这些 ETH 存入了交易所。

Jump Trading 所持有的 ETH 代币中占比最高的形式是 12 万枚 wstETH,这些代币 Jump Trading 自 7 月 25 日以来就开始持续赎回。

截止发文时,Jump Trading 仍有约 3.7 万枚 wstETH,价值 1 亿美元,此外还有 800 万美元的 RETH,而赎回部分均已转移或销售完毕。

(Odaily 注:wstETH 持仓地址为0x48d62ED012E327FaaCb9c8d2A56330E215DA0575)

剩余持仓情况

今日上午,多个链上分析团队报道 Jump Trading 持仓中 96% 的代币为稳定币,实际上未纳入以上持有 1 亿美元 wstETH 的地址。

目前 Arkham 标记的 Jump Trading 地址持仓价值为 5.9 亿美元,其中 5.69 亿美元为稳定币,因此明面上的抛压为以上的 1 亿美元 ETH。

然而 Jump Trading 作为行业龙头,理论上的持仓量应远不止于这 6 亿美元。经 Odaily 调查发现,Jump Trading 的一个老地址在巅峰时期持有 164 万枚 ETH,按照 2300 USDT 的价格价值高达 37.7 亿美元。

不过由于 Jump Trading 在 2023 年 5 月和 6 月将以上百万枚 ETH 转入了 Robinhood,是否出售、转移暂时无法追踪,潜在的抛压量级无法估算,但值得关注。

(Odaily 注:Jump 的老地址为0x0716a17FBAeE714f1E6aB0f9d59edbC5f09815C0)

Jump 将退出加密领域?

为何 Jump 开始快速地抛售 ETH?现还没有公开的定论,但市场猜测此举与此前的 CFTC 调查有关。6 月 20 日,据一则市场消息,美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)正在调查 Jump Crypto,但尚不清楚 CFTC 是否考虑对该公司提出任何指控。4 天后,Jump Crypto 总裁 Kanav Kariya 在 X 平台宣布辞职

(Odaily 注:Jump Crypto 是 Jump Trading 的加密部门,于 2021 年 9 月成立。)

在 Jump 抛售 ETH 的过程中,加密货币做市商 Keyrock 亚太区业务发展主管 Justin d'Anethan 表示:“有传言称,由于 CFTC 的调查,他们(Jump Trading)可能被迫退出加密业务。”

今晨暴跌后,BitMEX 联创 Arthur Hayes 于 X 发文表示,其通过传统金融领域的消息渠道得知,某个“大人物”被处置并出售所有加密资产,其补充称不确定消息是否属实,但不会披露具体名称。根据种种迹象,社区猜测其所指为 Jump Crypto。

Jump 领投项目

倘若 Jump Trading 真的因为某些原因,被迫退出加密领域,Jump Crypto 领投的项目可能也将受到影响,我们将近两年 Jump Crypto 领投+已发币的项目整理如下,分别列出了项目名称、代币名称、投资轮次、代币当前的流通市值,轮次越早或持有的代币份额越多:

ZTX-ZTX-种子轮-1850 万美元;

Port3-PORT3-种子轮-489 万美元;

Sui-SUI-B 轮-12.9 亿美元;

Injective-INJ-上市后融资-14 亿美元;

Aptos-APT-A 轮-2.14 亿美元;

AltLayer-ALT-种子轮-1.64 亿美元;

Push Protocol-PUSH-A 轮-372 万美元;

Thetanuts Finance-NUTS-种子轮-500 万美元。

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