揭开比特币的命运：在9月的ATH之前，8月的4.4万美元？

币界网Published on 2024-08-05Last updated on 2024-08-05

币界网报道：
    美国比特币ETF经历了第三大抛售，突显了加密货币市场的对比走势。历史将重演，因为分析师预测，在美联储今年9月降息后，将出现类似于2021年的牛市。

美国ETF最近交易了3750比特币[BTC]，这是自成立以来的第三大抛售。尽管如此，贝莱德逆势买入683 BTC。

与此同时，ETF市场的其他主要参与者也进行了大量销售：富达出售了1646个BTC，ARK出售了1387个BTC；灰度出售了569个BTC、Bitwise出售了465个BTC和VanEck出售了364个BTC。

根据Flows.heyapollo.com上的比特币ETF净流量，此次大幅抛售反映了这些领先金融机构的不同策略和市场前景。

对比鲜明的举措突显了加密货币市场的持续波动和不同的前景，尤其是在机构投资者中。

这可能会导致比特币市场的短期下跌。

8月份比特币会达到4.4万美元吗？

加密货币市场有可能在下周受到冲击，但这是你想要看涨的时候，而不是在BTC战略储备新闻背后的大绿蜡烛期间。

BTC在3月中旬至4月期间看跌，5月未能突破高点，6月中旬再次看跌。

这种偏见保持不变，预计8月份会出现低点，尽管我们不知道这个低点会落在哪里，但很快就会再次看涨。

首先，我们必须进入需求区和机会期。BTCUSD图表显示，达到4.4万美元的区域可能会导致价格飙升至10万美元。

此外，在短短两周内，恐惧与贪婪指数从贪婪的71变为可怕的34，这表明在市场不确定性上升的情况下，越来越多的人正在清算他们的资产。

2021年加密货币牛市会重演吗？

然而，2020年的历史似乎注定要重演，当时市场因对新冠肺炎的经济担忧和随之而来的经济衰退而崩溃，但后来反弹。

美联储通过降息和实施量化宽松政策来支持经济，从而导致了2021年的加密货币牛市。

今天，由于疲软的就业报告和经济衰退带来的经济担忧，市场再次暴跌。

阅读比特币的[BTC]价格预测2024-25

预计美联储将在9月降息，并再次启动量化宽松政策。

AMBCrypto对TradingView数据的分析表明，类似的经济担忧和货币反应正在发挥作用，可能为类似于2020年后的另一次市场复苏奠定基础。

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