当前牛市的分化现象:比特币创新高, 山寨币却陷入低迷 !

币界网Published on 2024-08-05Last updated on 2024-08-05

币界网报道:

本轮比特币创出了新高,完成了牛市的大部分任务,而山寨币不仅没能完成任务,甚至连任务都没能领到。

从整体来看:

第一段:比特币从2022年12月开始出现了6个月的上涨,然后调整了2个月。这段时间大多数山寨币也没有上涨,反而下跌了。

第二段:比特币经历了历史级别的7连阳上涨,虽然在这段时间有一些山寨币的上涨潮,但从4月开始,山寨币就开始调整了5个月,表现非常差,几乎没有什么热点。看看比特币的月线图确实很吓人。

从比特币的角度来看,这轮7连阳之后出现几个月的调整是正常的,但山寨币的表现就非常差了。

比特币并没有大幅下跌,通常比特币的大跌会导致山寨币的大跌,而比特币的小幅震荡通常会带动一些山寨币的热点轮动。但这次完全没有看到这种现象。以往比特币小幅震荡时,山寨币会有一些活动,这次却完全没有。

虽然市场上资金不足,但还有很多项目,可以支撑起一个热点行情。此外,这轮比特币跌幅不大,持有比特币的人并没有感受到熊市的氛围,但持有山寨币的散户确实一直处于熊市中。

需要强调的是,比特币和山寨币的走势已经是两个不同的情况了。比特币的大趋势一直不变,尽管月线图看起来很吓人,但不能仅仅从K线图来看。

我个人觉得,这轮比特币应该还会继续向新高发展,不知道月线会横盘多久。最后一波的开启可能会在九月或十月份。

总结

现在市场情绪非常悲观,但这实际上是好事!

在这轮山寨币回调期间,我们见证了最严重的悲观情绪。这让我更加坚信,从比特币52阶段开始的看涨观点依然有效,未来也会继续看好比特币!牛市并没有结束!

我一直强调以太坊的主导地位,即使你主要持有以太坊,也不会遭受过多亏损!

关于山寨币,尽管有很多人对其持悲观态度,认为牛市已经结束,我之前提到过,山寨币的表现将不再用传统的牛熊周期来定义。我们现在只关注阶段性行情,时间周期的长短只是其中的一部分。这一观点已经愈发明确!

在当前的比特币牛市周期中,山寨币中仍会出现5倍、10倍的潜力币种。虽然上半场已经见过不少,但这波跌幅的惨烈程度意味着,未来的阶段性上涨将会非常猛烈!

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