Bitget研究院:Mt.gox赔付资产持续卖出,短期市场行情较差

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-08-02Last updated on 2024-08-02

Abstract

聚焦链上数据,每日要闻盘点。

过去 24 小时,市场出现了不少新的热门币种和话题,很可能它们就是下一个造富机会,其中:

  • 相对造富效应强的板块是: Curve 相关代币(CRV、CVX)、Meme 板块(NEIRO);

  • 用户热搜代币&话题为 : Morpho、 Aptos;

  • 潜在的空投机会有:Symbiotic、Mezo;

数据统计时间: 2024 年 8 月 2 日 4: 00(UTC+ 0)

一、市场环境

美国 7 月 ISM 制造业 PMI 跌幅远超经济学家预期,导致利率全线跌至数月低点。此外,美国首次申请失业救济人数跃升至约一年来的最高水平。综合来看,这些数据进一步证实了美国正处于美联储货币宽松周期的边缘,在某种意义上,这对于风险市场是一个利好。

尽管昨日美国现货以太坊 ETF 净流入达 2620 万美元,现货比特币 ETF 净流入达 5040 万美元,但比特币仍旧保持下跌趋势,在本周达到 70000 美元后继续大幅回调,昨日晚间价格回落至两周低点 62, 700 美元,短期市场行情较差。

二、造富板块

1) 板块异动:Curve 相关代币(CRV、CVX)

主要原因:

  • 该鲸鱼在最近 30 个小时里累计从 Binance 和 OKX 共计提出 1800 万枚 CRV ( 468 万美元 ),均价 0.26 美元。同时昨天从 CEX 提出 CRV 的鲸鱼再度从 Binance 提出 550 万枚 CRV ( 约合 151 万美元 )。

上涨情况:CRV、CVX 过去 24 h 分别上涨了 7.46% 、 5.38% ;

影响后市因素:

  • Curve 目前依旧是稳定币大宗交易的最佳场所之一,依然保持着不错的真是利润,其目前最大的问题在于叙事过于老旧,没有让市场兴奋的新产品或运营,同时此前的事故和本次清算下跌也难免使市场对其充满顾虑。但是,此前多个巨鲸 OTC 买入 CRV 的价格都高于 0.3 美金,由此来看目前 CRV 的价格依然具有一定吸引力。

2)板块异动:Meme 板块(NEIRO)

主要原因:

  • NEIRO 获得了大量 KOL 的助阵,尤其以日语为主。在@apipiro 22、@mikky_ 8080、@yukimaru_potty、@BrotherMKT、@KookCapitalLLC、@OfficialTravlad 等拥有数万到数十万粉丝的 KOL 的喊单助力下,NEIRO 的价格也水涨船高。

上涨情况:NEIRO 当日逆势上涨 15% +;

影响后市因素:

  • 链上活跃度:DeFi 基建的估值取决于该链是否能够有稳定头部的市场份额,即活跃的链上用户数和 DEX 成交量,这对于不同公链的 DEX、PERP、语言机、流动性质押项目影响巨大。投资者应该密切关注该类数据,从而可以判断市场对其估值的上下修情况;

  • 资金面影响:以太坊 ETF 落地之后市场资金开始逐渐增加 ETH 的流动性,收到流动性增加的影响未来相关 meme 代币可能会受到资金传导进一步上涨。

三、用户热搜

1)热门 Dapp

  • Morpho

DeFi 借贷协议 Morpho 完成 5000 万美元融资,本轮融资由 Ribbit Capital 领投,a16z crypto、Coinbase Ventures、Variant、Pantera、Brevan Howard、BlockTower 和 Kraken Ventures 等参投,具体估值信息暂未披露。Morpho 是一种借贷协议,它将 Compound 或 AAVE 中使用的当前流动性池模型与订单簿中使用的 P2P 匹配引擎的资本效率相结合。 Morpho-Compound 通过提供相同的用户体验、相同的流动性和相同的清算参数来改进 Compound,但由于点对点匹配而提高了 APY。

2)Twitter

Bitget研究院:Mt.gox赔付资产持续卖出,短期市场行情较差

  • Aptos

昨日 OKX Ventures 和全球区块链领导者 Aptos 基金会宣布,将联合推出一只 1000 万美元规模的新基金,旨在支持 Aptos 生态增长和 Web3 的广泛采用。该基金将用于开发一个与 Ankaa 合作运营的加速器计划,旨在推动基于 Aptos 的优质项目和应用程序的增长。Aptos 是一个可扩展的 Layer 1 PoS 区块链,使用 Move 编程语言使链上交易更加可靠、易于使用和安全。该加速器将为选定的 Aptos 生态项目提供风险支持、重点指导、市场推广曝光,以及来自 OKX、Ankaa 和 Aptos 基金会的联合专家网络。

3)Google Search & 地区

Bitget研究院:Mt.gox赔付资产持续卖出,短期市场行情较差

从全球范围来看:

Why is down today & fear and greed index:

昨日,美国 7 月 ISM 制造业 PMI 跌幅远超经济学家预期,导致利率全线跌至数月低点。恐慌指数(VXX)上涨 13.55% ,市场避险情绪升温,加密资产跟随下跌。

从各区域热搜来看:

(1)CIS 地区的热点有 Tapswap,TapSwap 是曾被 Telegram 创始人 Pavel Durov 点赞的 Ta p2E arn Mini App,于 2023 年底推出,最初发布在 Solana 网络,后转移到了 TON 生态,项目整体热度极高。

(2)亚洲地区同样没有明显热点,菲律宾地区表现出对特斯拉、英伟达等美股的关注。

(3)拉美地区对 SOL、ETH 显示出更高的兴趣,AI 项目赛道出现在哥伦比亚和阿根廷的热搜上。

四、潜在空投机会

  • Symbiotic

Symbiotic 是一种通用的 restaking 项目,使去中心化网络能够引导强大的、完全主权的生态系统。它为去中心化应用程序提供了一种方法,称为主动验证服务或“AVS”,以共同确保彼此的安全。

Symbiotic 近期项目完成种子轮融资,Paradigm、Cyber Fund 参与投资,融资额度 580 万美金。

具体参与方式:进入项目的官网,链接钱包,存入 ETH 及 ETH LSD 资产。

  • Mezo

Mezo 是一个 BTC Layer 2 项目,主要做 BTC 生态,帮助 BTC 持有者做链上转账、理财,驱动 BTC DeFi 系统的发展。Mezo 近期宣布完成 2100 万美金的融资,参投的机构有 Pantera Capital、Hack VC、Multicoin Capital 等圈内头部机构。

官方已经公开其 BTC 资产的质押计划,并引入 Referal 机制,项目空投的预期较为强烈,目前处于早期运营的起步阶段。

具体参与方式: 1)访问项目官网,在 Discord 找 invite code;2)键入 invite code,链接 unisat 钱包;3)存入 BTC。

Bitget 研究院更多资讯:https://www.bitget.fit/zh-CN/research

Bitget研究院专注于“聚焦链上数据,挖掘价值资产”,通过实时监测链上数据以及区域热搜等维度,挖掘前沿的价值投资,为加密世界爱好者提供机构级的洞见。截止至今已为 Bitget 全球用户提供了【Arbitrum 生态】、【AI 生态】、【SHIB 生态】等多个热门板块的早期价值资产,通过以数据为驱动的深入研究为 Bitget 全球用户创造更优质的财富效应。

【免责声明】市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成投资建议,用户应考虑本文中的任何意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资,责任自负。

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