ETH ETF 流量分析:预期净流出会在2周内减少,ETH 价格将获更多利好

深潮Published on 2024-07-31Last updated on 2024-07-31

总体感觉现在是设置 $ETH 买入订单的好时机,因为预计在接下来的两周内它会逐渐增强。

作者:Defi_Maestro

编译:深潮TechFlow

$ETH ETF 流入看起来相当不错,最新净流出为 $9,790 万($ETHA 流入 $5,860 万尚未在表格中更新)

深潮注:

  • 表格顶部列出了不同的投资机构或产品,包括 Blackrock、Fidelity、Bitwise、21Shares、VanEck、Invesco、Franklin 以及两个Grayscale 产品。

  • 第二行显示了每个产品的代码,如ETHA、FETH、ETHW 等。

  • 第三行是各产品的管理费率,从0.15%到2.50%不等。

  • 第四行表示初始资金或种子资金,数值从1.1到10,255不等。

  • 接下来是从7月23日到7月29日的每日数据,可能代表资金流入或流出情况。

  • 值得注意的是,Grayscale ETHE产品似乎出现了大量资金外流,几乎每天都是负值,总计-1,723.5。

  • 相比之下,其他产品如Blackrock的ETHA和Fidelity的FETH在这段时间内显示了正向的资金流入。

  • 7月29日(最后一行)被绿色高亮显示,可能表示这是最新的数据或特别需要关注的一天。

  • 总的来说,尽管有些产品出现资金流入,但整体来看,这段时间内似乎出现了净流出,总计为-498.3。

$ETHE 的流出开始减缓,净流出为$2.1 亿。

从初始资产管理规模(AUM) $92亿中,总流出为 19.8%。

当前 $ETHE 的资产持有应接近 $74亿。

自 $ETH ETF 开始以来,我们目睹了从初始价格 $3490 的 5% 下跌,总净流出为 $4.4 亿。

ETH对BTC 的图表似乎已经触底,$ETH 在特朗普关于 BTC 演讲之后从近期的下跌中恢复。

个人想法

鉴于 $ETHE 的初始流出速度快于 $GBTC,我们预计流出将在接下来的两周内开始减缓。

预计 $ETHE 的流出将在初始 $92 亿资产管理规模的 40-50% 附近稳定,约为 $45 亿到 $50 亿。

随着投资者注意到 $ETHE 的流出减缓,可以期待流入开始增加。

预计 ETH 的整体流动性将出现一些正流入,以与 $ETHE 的减缓流出相匹配。

总体感觉现在是设置 $ETH 买入订单的好时机,因为预计在接下来的两周内它会逐渐增强。

重申,这不是财务建议。

我个人将增加更多 $ETH 多头,并密切关注 ETF 流动性。

Trending Cryptos

Related Reads

Dialogue with Epoch Ventures Founder: Large-Scale Capital Rotation Has Begun, the Four-Year Cycle Has Ended

Epoch Ventures founder Eric Yakes discusses why Bitcoin's traditional four-year boom-bust cycle may be ending. He argues that Bitcoin, with recent drawdowns limited to around 50% instead of 80%, is transitioning from a high-risk asset to a hedge against currency debasement due to institutional inflows and lower volatility. This shift allows for higher portfolio allocations and disconnects Bitcoin from general risk assets. Yakes outlines Bitcoin's path to global adoption through three monetary functions: store of value, medium of exchange, and unit of account. He believes Bitcoin is currently in the store-of-value phase. A massive capital rotation from gold into Bitcoin is imminent once Bitcoin achieves deeper liquidity, potentially seeing prices rise tenfold. A key mechanism for this transition involves stablecoins. Yakes posits that the U.S. Treasury, facing a debt spiral, will promote stablecoin adoption to create demand for U.S. Treasuries. As stablecoins grow, they will increasingly hold Bitcoin in their reserves to differentiate themselves, leading to a "Bitcoinization" of stablecoins. This sets the stage for "hyperbitcoinization" as fiat currencies become obsolete. Addressing concerns about centralization from ETFs and custodians, Yakes argues Bitcoin's easy self-custody creates a powerful exit threat that deters malicious control. Wealth concentration among early holders is seen as a natural, temporary phase in an emerging economy. Finally, Yakes explains his firm's investment focus: building Bitcoin-compatible financial infrastructure, particularly Bitcoin-backed lending, to bridge traditional finance with the Bitcoin ecosystem.

marsbit1h ago

Dialogue with Epoch Ventures Founder: Large-Scale Capital Rotation Has Begun, the Four-Year Cycle Has Ended

marsbit1h ago

Trading

Spot

Hot Articles

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of ETH (ETH) are presented below.

活动图片