特朗普发表看涨比特币讲话后 比特币价格能涨多高?

币界网Published on 2024-07-29Last updated on 2024-07-29

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作者:YASHU GOLA 来源:Cointelegraph 翻译:善欧巴,

美国前总统唐纳德·特朗普在纳什维尔举行的比特币 2024 大会上的最新主题演讲中全力支持比特币,承诺选民将美国打造为“世界加密货币之都”。

他将通过创建国家比特币“储备”来实现这一目标,从而使加密货币成为“永久国家资产”。

自然,特朗普的竞选承诺引发了顶级加密货币分析师的看涨反应,一些人预测 BTC 的价格在未来将增长十倍。

分析师:比特币价格可能突破 80 万美元

特朗普讲话后,对比特币最大胆、最乐观的展望之一来自独立市场分析师丹·德罗佛 (Daan de Rover)。

这位在 X 上的绰号为“Crypto Rover”的图表分析师预计,如果这位美国前总统在 11 月再次当选,BTC 的价格将突破 80 万美元,尤其是考虑到特朗普还表示,比特币未来可能会超过黄金的市值。

罗孚在 7 月 28 日的一条推文中表示:“如果发生这种情况,BTC 的价值将达到 813,054 美元。”

怀俄明州共和党参议员辛西娅·卢米斯(Cynthia Lummis)也对比特币持乐观态度。她提出了一项立法提案,计划在未来五年内建立 100 万枚 BTC 的官方美国战略储备,相当于 2100 万枚 BTC 总供应量的近 5%。卢米斯说:“BTC将被持有至少 20 年,并可用于一个目的:减少我们的债务。”

美国政府目前持有价值超过 142.6 亿美元的 21 万 BTC。特朗普承诺将这些资产分配给美国财政部,并表示如果当选,他的政府绝不会抛售这些资产。

分析师:比特币价格将达到 10 万美元

特朗普发表讲话后,比特币遭到抛售,此后稳定在 67,500-68,000 美元左右。但这并没有阻止一些分析师(如 Daan Crypto Traders 和 Tanaka)预测比特币将上涨至 100,000 美元。

Kanaka 表示:“从长远来看,我对 BTC 达到 10 万美元和 ETH 达到 8-10,000 美元充满信心”,并指出美国的现货比特币交易所交易基金 (ETF) 将逐渐“吸引更多大型机构投资者”进入比特币市场。

截至 7 月 26 日,美国比特币 ETF管理的资产规模达到 175.8 亿美元,为迄今为止的最高水平。这一数字也高于 7 月初的 146.5 亿美元,反映出特朗普发表主旨演讲前几天人们对比特币的兴趣激增。

同时,分析师 Cryptomist预计,根据上升通道模式,BTC 价格将达到 100,000 美元。

上升楔形:比特币的下一个目标是 7.4 万美元

比特币的波动价格走势发生在 BTC 当前的上升楔形模式内,表明到 8 月份将反弹至 74,000 美元。这一水平比当前价格水平上涨了 9.30%,是楔形的两条趋势线的交汇点。

相反,如果楔形下趋势线明显跌破(具体跌破点取决于跌破点),则可能跌向 60,000-66,000 美元区间。这主要是因为上升楔形跌破的计算方式:测量两条趋势线之间的最大距离,然后从跌破点中减去结果。

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