比特币价格飙升至7万美元,这背后是什么?

币界网Published on 2024-07-26Last updated on 2024-07-26

币界网报道:

比特币价格飙升,盯着7万美元大关。那么,是什么推动了这一最新的飙升呢?让我们把它分解一下。

价值超过39亿美元的比特币期货期权到期是一件大事。这些期权在Deribit上于清晨到期,并将BTC的“最大痛点”设定为63000美元。

对于那些不熟悉的人来说,最大的痛点是大多数期权合约到期时的价格毫无价值。这并不意味着比特币将达到63000美元,但它确实会产生下行压力。

Bitcoin heads for $70,000 - What's behind the surge?

期权到期前后的时间段往往波动较大。交易员们为价格波动做好准备,试图避免重大损失。虽然最大痛点很重要,但它并不是一个有保证的目标。

这只是市场影响海洋中的一个因素。

接下来,我们将看到唐纳德·特朗普明天在纳什维尔举行的2024年比特币会议上的演讲。网上有很多关于他可能会说什么的讨论。

如果他赢得下一次选举,人们预计他将宣布比特币储备政策。美国成为加密货币主要买家的想法足以让任何加密货币爱好者感到兴奋。

Bitcoin heads for $70,000 - What's behind the surge?

随着特朗普的演讲,交易员们正急切地等待该国的新通胀数据。

最近,公布了6月份的核心个人消费支出价格指数,显示每月增长0.2%。预计该值为0.1%,而之前的值为0.10%。

核心个人消费支出价格指数为2.6%,略高于预期的2.5%。交易员现在认为,美联储将在7月保持利率不变,但可能会在9月开始降息。

加密货币分析师Rekt Capital表示,比特币需要保持在65000美元以上。他说:

“重新测试成功。比特币已确认65000美元为支撑。价格现在将继续占据65000-71500美元的区域(红色)。”

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另一个积极的迹象是比特币ETF的流入,昨天达到3110万美元。截至发稿时,比特币的交易价格为67380美元,小幅上涨0.03%。

布林带标记了68311美元至64800美元之间的价格区间,因为比特币一直试图突破中线,这与66133美元的50期移动平均线(MA)一致。

Bitcoin heads for $70,000 - What's behind the surge?

这个中线是一个动态的支撑/阻力水平。持续突破这条线,势头不断增强,将带来更多看涨行动。

另一方面,位于64800美元的下布林带是一个关键支撑。低于此水平可能预示着看跌逆转或盘整。200期移动平均线(MA200)也在65682美元。

但MA50和MA200线的接近暗示了一个“黄金十字架”,短期MA越过长期MA,这是一个看涨的迹象。

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