Bitwise CIO:围绕 BTC、ETH 和加密股票,打造 6:3:1 的投资组合

深潮Published on 2024-07-23Last updated on 2024-07-23

现货以太坊 ETPs 的推出,首次让投资者可以通过三个低成本、高流动性的 ETPs 捕捉加密货币中的巨大机会。

作者:Matt Hougan

编译:深潮TechFlow

随着比特币、以太坊和加密股票现在作为交易所交易产品 (ETPs) 上市,投资者可以轻松接触到加密货币的大部分机会。

在过去的 15 年里,传统投资者构建加密货币投资组合一直是个难题。你需要使用不熟悉的应用程序、私人基金或效率低下的产品,且成本高昂。

但这一切已成历史。

今天,现货以太坊 ETPs 的推出,首次让投资者可以通过三个低成本、高流动性的 ETPs 捕捉加密货币中的巨大机会。

以下是我认为投资者可以作为起点的投资组合:

  • 比特币 ETP:60% 配置

  • 以太坊 ETP:30% 配置

  • 加密股票 ETP:10% 配置

我将解释为什么这是大多数投资者的“基础投资组合”,并介绍如何通过调整这三者的权重来构建适合你需求的定制投资组合,以及如何通过其他战略性投资来补充它。

为什么要在加密货币中分散投资

首先,我们来谈谈“为什么”。为什么要构建一个加密货币投资组合,而不仅仅是投资比特币?

简而言之:加密货币不仅仅是一种资产。它是一项突破性技术,可以用于多种目的。你可以使用加密货币创建新的货币资产(如数字黄金);构建更高效的金融行业(如 DeFi);更高效地转移美元支持的资产(如稳定币);加速股票和债券的结算(如代币化);以及更多用途(如去中心化基础设施NFTs预测市场去中心化社交媒体等)。

这些都是数万亿美元的市场。作为投资者,我希望能够接触到所有这些市场。然而,没有一个单一的加密货币 ETP 能完成这一任务。

以比特币为例,它是加密货币中最大和最知名的资产,是主要的货币资产,涵盖了巨大的市场。但比特币仅占整个加密货币市场的一半多一点。更重要的是,它不是去中心化金融 (DeFi)、代币化或其他智能合约应用的主要平台。那是以太坊的领域,作为加密货币中第二大资产,以太坊在智能合约领域占据主导地位。

比特币和以太坊各自都有其独特的优势和市场地位,但如果你只持有其中之一,就会错过市场的一大部分。

此外,有些加密货币的应用最好通过公司而非加密资产来实现。例如,稳定币是加密货币中最令人兴奋的应用之一——区块链上的数字美元,全球可用!但创建稳定币的大部分价值归属于构建它们的公司,而非它们交易的区块链。

如果你想全面接触加密货币的所有机会,你需要三者兼备:比特币、以太坊和加密公司。

构建与定制加密货币投资组合

如前所述,我认为以下组合是一个理想的起点:

  • 比特币 ETP:60% 配置

  • 以太坊 ETP:30% 配置

  • 加密股票 ETP:10% 配置

我选择这些权重是因为 60-30-10 大致反映了每种资产的市值¹。为什么不从市场对于每种资产相对重要性的反馈开始呢?

然而,许多投资者可能希望通过增减某些部分的权重来定制他们的投资。例如:

  • 超配比特币:比特币的主要用途是作为一种价值储存和新兴的货币资产。如果你担心对冲通货膨胀或全球货币贬值,可以考虑超配比特币。

  • 超配以太坊:以太坊的主要用途是作为支持 DeFi 和代币化等应用的智能合约平台。如果你看好这些应用的增长,例如华尔街接受代币化,可以考虑超配以太坊。

  • 超配加密公司:过去一年,加密公司表现不如加密资产:Bitwise Crypto Innovators 30 指数在过去 12 个月中上涨了 68%,而比特币上涨了 128%。调整后的增长显示,加密公司目前估值具有吸引力。机会主义投资者可能会选择超配这些股票。

此外,一些成熟的投资者可能希望通过在其他加密货币领域的卫星头寸来增强他们的核心投资组合。例如,加密指数基金提供了对更广泛的加密货币资产的敞口。(完全披露:Bitwise 管理着世界上第一个也是最大的加密指数基金。)或者,投资者可能对主动和对冲敞口感兴趣,这与仅长期投资有非常不同的风险特征。其他人可能会关注风险投资,重点投资于私营公司和下一代代币。

但三种 ETP 投资组合是一个很好的起点。它提供了对市场和加密货币主要应用的大部分敞口,并且具有传统 ETP 的舒适性、熟悉性和成本效益。

几年前,即使是世界上最大的机构也很难以如此低的成本构建这样全面的加密货币投资组合。今天,每个投资者都可以做到。

这无疑是一个巨大的进步。

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