Matrixport投研:浅析BTC短期急速反弹背后驱动力

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-07-19Last updated on 2024-07-19

Abstract

BTC 短期急速反弹或受抛压减小,政治利好等多方面影响

Matrixport 研究院最新研究表示,BTC 短期急速反弹可能受下述因素影响:

  • 德国 BTC “紧急出售”结束,BTC 抛压缓解

  • 贝莱德 CEO 一改常态,力挺 BTC 为合法金融工具

  • “支持 BTC ”成为特朗普本次竞选的关键抓手,大选利好依旧待兑现

德国“紧急出售 BTC”结束,BTC 抛压缓解

7 月 17 日, Decrypt 发布报道披露德国执法部门 BTC “紧急出售”结束,销售收入达到 28.8 亿美元(26.39 亿欧元)。据悉,德国萨克森州在 25 天内平均每天售出价值 1.3 亿美元的 BTC。大量抛售对币价造成下行压力,导致 BTC 价值在此期间从高点到低点下跌了近 20% 。

贝莱德 CEO 一改常态,力挺 BTC 为合法金融工具

在最新访谈中,贝莱德 CEO 拉里·芬克一改往日立场,称 BTC 是合法的金融工具,有着彻底改变整个金融业的巨大潜力。此前,拉里·芬克对 BTC 持怀疑态度,但在深入研究后,他改变了看法并认为 BTC 有可能给金融市场带来革命性的变化。他认为加密资产是“数字黄金”,是合法的金融工具,在财富保护和金融市场中可以承担重要角色。

“支持 BTC ”成为特朗普本次竞选的关键抓手,大选利好依旧待兑现

特朗普将于 2024 年 7 月 27 日在田纳西州纳什维尔举办的 2024 BTC 大会上发表主旨演讲。他将在演讲中强调 BTC 改变金融行业格局、支持经济增长的潜力,并重申他的信念:美国应领导全球加密资产市场,并利用 BTC 提升国家经济竞争力。

ETH ETF 有望于 2024 年 7 月 23 日发行

ETH ETF 发行日期已数次推迟,SEC 要求发行商在本周末前提交最终文件。若一切顺利,ETH ETF 有望于 2024 年 7 月 23 日发行。贝莱德、VanEck、富兰克林邓普顿等知名资管公司预计将成功获批。

韩国加密资产税征收阻力过大,最新提案延期至 2028 年

韩国执政党人民力量党提议将韩国加密资产税的执行延后至 2028 年。韩国加密资产税原定于 2022 年 1 月 1 日开征,但由于投资者和行业专家的强烈反对,遭遇数次延期。新提案将推迟开征日期至 2028 年 1 月 1 日。

BTC 在八月的发展预期并不明朗。从历史数据来看,BTC 在八月的表现一直弱于七月,但要强于九月。八月 BTC 平均回报率为-2% 左右。暑假的结束可能会影响八月的市场行情,交易量将下降,投资者都在为接下来几个月的市场动向做准备。

上述部分观点来自 Matrix on Target, 与我们联系获取 Matrix on Target 完整报告。

免责声明:市场有风险,投资需谨慎。本文不构成投资建议。数字资产交易可能具有极大的风险和不稳定性。投资决策应在仔细考虑个人情况并咨询金融专业人士后做出。Matrixport 不对基于本内容所提供信息的任何投资决策负责。

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