以太坊在推出现货ETH ETF后表现优于比特币:Kaiko Analytics

币界网Published on 2024-07-16Last updated on 2024-07-16

币界网报道:

分析公司Kaiko表示,在推出现货ETH交易所交易基金(ETF)后,以太坊可能正在准备超越比特币(BTC)。

Kaiko在一份新报告中表示,自5月美国证券交易委员会(SEC)批准现货以太坊ETF以来,“加密货币市场的情绪发生了很大变化”。

“加密货币市场的情绪与5月份相比发生了很大变化,当时美国证券交易委员会批准了现货ETH ETF。近两个月的新产品尚未开始交易,在此期间,ETH下跌了近20%。不过,这种回落并不能说明全部情况,在幕后,现货ETF的推出似乎已经做好了准备。

衡量这两种资产相对表现的ETH对BTC仍然保持在0.05左右。这明显高于接近0.045的预批准水平。更高的比率表明,在ETF推出后,ETH的表现可能会继续优于BTC。”

来源:Kaiko

彭博ETF专家Eric Balchunas表示,ETH ETF将于7月23日推出。

虽然这家分析公司指出,ETH可能会继续对BTC上涨,但广受关注的加密货币分析师Benjamin Cowen表示,ETF的推出不会给以太坊带来市场预期的提振。

在最近的一段视频更新中,Cowen表示,美联储的货币政策是ETH价格的更大驱动力,而不是ETF和过去几年对以太坊的看涨言论。

“我最终认为,ETH的现货ETF不一定会使ETH/比特币的估值保持在相对较低的水平……过去几年里,关于为什么ETH/Bitcoin的估值永远不会达到目前的水平,已经有很多说法……2022年,当ETH/比特币为0.08 BTC时,如果你告诉他们,到2024年,它将跌至0.04 BTC中期,他们会嘲笑你…

我们有这些关于从工作量证明到权益证明的过渡的叙述,这种通缩机制理论上导致以太坊/比特币估值“保持良好”,但并没有发挥作用。因此,它让我们看到了这样一个想法,嘿,也许这更多的是关于货币政策,而不是其他任何事情。”

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