随着 ETH、APT、QNT 和 RUNE 转为看涨比特币价格徘徊在 3.5 万美元附近

金色财经Published on 2024-07-15Last updated on 2024-07-15

BTC 价格上涨至 35,000 美元,可能为 ETH、APT、QNT 和 RUNE 上涨打开大门。

美国证券交易委员会批准现货比特币 ( BTC ) 交易所交易基金的希望推动比特币价格在 10 月份上涨了 27%。这改善了市场情绪,吸引了加密货币投资者的积极购买。

彭博社高级 ETF 分析师埃里克·巴尔丘纳斯 (Eric Balchunas) 在 X(前 Twitter)上发帖强调,ProShares 比特币策略 ETF (BITO) 是 2021 年美国首个获得监管机构同意的期货 ETF,其第二大交易周价格为 1.7美元亿。同样,灰度比特币信托(GBTC)的交易量达到 8 亿美元。现有工具交易量的急剧上升表明,现货比特币 ETF 上市后可能会出现巨大的交易量。

792772ac-5955-4fb5-8759-8f047276c7db.png

当领导者开始表现时,它通常会提振整个行业。这一点可以从山寨币的强劲表现中看出,山寨币已从多年低点大幅上涨。

然而,在最初的反弹之后,一些山寨币将难以维持上涨走势,而少数将引领市场走高。最好坚持选择领先者,因为他们最有可能在下一个加密货币牛市阶段表现出色。

让我们看一下可能在未来几天内延续涨势的前 5 名加密货币的图表。

比特币价格分析

10 月 24 日,比特币从 35,280 美元回落,表明更高的水平正在吸引交易者抛售。10 月 27 日,空头试图开始更深层次的回调,但烛台上的长尾显示出较低水平的强劲买盘。

3276a1ad-4b92-48bf-aa17-89a473ae741e.png

尽管上升的移动平均线对买家来说是有利的,但相对强弱指数 (RSI) 的超买水平表明 BTC/USDT 货币对可能会花费更多时间进行盘整。

下行方面需要注意的重要水平是 32,400 美元,然后是 31,000 美元。卖家必须将价格拉至该区域以下才能夺取控制权。

相反,如果价格从当前水平上涨并突破 35,280 美元,则表明多头重新占据主导地位。随后该货币对可能飙升至下一个目标 40,000 美元。

05ea1899-c337-411d-b2f7-5dfd4b4cd3c5.png

20 日均线逐渐趋于平缓,表明多头在短期内正在失去控制。这可能会使该货币对在一段时间内在 35,280 美元至 33,200 美元之间波动。如果空头将价格拉低至 33,200 美元以下,该货币对可能会跌至 32,400 美元。

相反,如果价格上涨并反弹至 35,280 美元上方,则表明当前的盘整是一种延续模式。然后,该货币对可能会飙升至 40,000 美元。

以太币价格分析

以太坊 ( ETH ) 于 10 月 23 日攀升至 1,746 美元阻力位,并于 10 月 26 日达到 1,865 美元。这一水平吸引了短期交易者的抛售,将价格拉回到 1,746 美元的突破水平。

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多头成功守住了重新测试 1,746 美元的位置,表明该水平可能会成为新的底部。不断上涨的 20 日均线(1,693 美元)和 RSI 接近超买区域,表明多头处于主导地位。买家随后将努力将价格推高至 1,865 美元以上。如果他们成功,ETH/USDT 货币对可能会飙升至 2,000 美元。

如果空头想要阻止上涨,他们将不得不大幅拉低价格并将价格维持在 1,746 美元以下。这可能为跌至 20 日均线打开大门。

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4小时图上的20-EMA正在趋于平缓,RSI接近中点,表明近期将呈区间波动。该货币对可能会继续在 1,746 美元至 1,865 美元之间波动一段时间。

如果多头将价格推升至 1,812 美元上方,则反弹至上方阻力位 1,865 美元的可能性就会增加。另一方面,如果价格维持在 20 均线下方,空头将试图将该货币对拉至 1,746 美元以下。如果发生这种情况,短期趋势将转为看跌。

Aptos (APT) 价格分析

Aptos(APT)在过去几天大幅上涨,表明多头正试图卷土重来。

APT/USDT 日线图。来源:TradingView

APT/USDT 货币对在 7 美元附近获利了结,但一个小小的积极因素是多头并没有放弃太多阵地。这表明每次小幅下跌都会有人买入。多头将再次尝试克服 7 美元的障碍。如果他们成功做到这一点,该货币对可能会开始向 8 美元进军。

相反,如果价格从 7 美元下跌,则表明空头在较高水平上仍然活跃。然后,该货币对可能会在 7 美元至 6.20 美元之间的窄幅区间内花费更多时间。跌破该支撑位可能标志着更深层次调整的开始。

0e286d65-f166-4ce7-9812-f9be5e81b425.pngAPT/USDT 4 小时图。来源:TradingView

该货币对一直在 20 日均线处找到支撑,但 RSI 的负背离表明看涨势头可能正在放缓。如果价格突破并维持在 20 均线下方,则表明将开始对 50 均线进行更深层次的修正。

这仍然是下行方向值得关注的关键水平,因为如果该水平破裂,该货币对可能会跌至 5.80 美元。从好的方面来看,多头必须将价格推高至 7.02 美元以上,才能表明下一阶段复苏的开始。

量化价格分析

10 月 23 日, Quant ( QNT ) 升至 95 美元的突破水平,表明市场已经拒绝了较低的水平。10 月 25 日,买盘仍在继续,多头将价格推升至下降趋势线上方。这标志着潜在的趋势变化。

49df2f58-443f-45b4-83a4-0d3e40f8b436.pngQNT/USDT 日线图。来源:TradingView

在最近的反弹之后,短期多头似乎正在获利了结。这可能会将价格拉低至下降趋势线。这是一个值得关注的重要水平,因为跌破该水平可能表明上涨至下降趋势线上方可能是牛市陷阱。

相反,如果价格从下降趋势线反弹,则表明多头已将该水平转变为支撑位。如果买家突破 110 美元的关口,则表明反弹将恢复至 120 美元,然后升至 128 美元。

bdbebc43-b88d-4465-9b8f-1a7127b95015.pngQNT/USDT 4 小时图。来源:TradingView

4 小时图显示,QNT/USDT 货币对面临 108 美元附近的抛售。空头将价格拉低至 20 均线下方,表明短期交易者正在获利了结。如果价格跌破 103 美元,该货币对可能会跌至 100 美元。

相反,如果多头将价格维持在 20 均线上方,则表明较低水平继续吸引买家。然后,多头将再次尝试将价格推至 110 美元上方,并开始下一阶段的上涨。

THORChain价格分析

THORChain ( RUNE ) 于 10 月 23 日突破并收于 2 美元上方阻力位上方,完成看涨的反向头肩形态。

f4e6a892-a3ba-4010-9263-1333a9984538.pngRUNE/USDT 日线图。来源:TradingView

两条移动平均线均向上倾斜,RSI 处于超买区域,表明多头仍处于主导地位。然而,短期内,RUNE/USDT 货币对可能会进入小幅调整或盘整。

如果该货币对没有从当前水平回撤太多,则表明多头正在坚持其头寸。这可能会改善反弹至 3 美元的前景,并随后达到 3.23 美元的模式目标。如果空头想要阻止这种上涨趋势,他们将不得不将价格拉至并维持在 2 美元以下。

8b51324d-c1d3-4e45-8448-5c999a658f2d.pngRUNE/USDT 4 小时图。来源:TradingView

该货币对一直处于强劲的上升趋势,多头逢低买入 20 日均线。尽管向上倾斜的移动平均线表明买家有优势,但 RSI 的负背离表明看涨势头可能正在减弱。

如果价格跌破 20 均线,可能会吸引短期交易者获利了结。这可能会将价格拉至 50 移动平均线。

相反,如果价格从 20 均线强势反弹,则表明市场情绪依然乐观。然后,多头将尝试恢复上涨趋势,并突破 2.57 美元。

本文不包含投资建议或建议。每一项投资和交易行为都涉及风险,读者在做出决定时应自行研究。

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