一览链上巨鲸动向：暴跌已至，巨鲸先跑

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-07-05Last updated on 2024-07-05

Abstract

正准备抄底的你，知道巨鲸们都跑了吗？

原文作者：shushu

感谢 0x Scope 提供的数据支持

6 月 24 日，比特币跌破短期高位 64, 000 万美元。今日，比特币又跌破 54, 000 美元， 24 小时跌幅扩大至 8.8% 。「 6 · 18 大促」持续至今，遭 7 · 5 暴跌，迎来属于币圈人的黑色星期五。

一览链上巨鲸动向：暴跌已至，巨鲸先跑

此前，据加密 KOL Ignas 分析表示比特币的价格正在被人为压低，通过巨鲸的欺骗性卖单，诱使散户及投资经理避险卖出。无论这种情况是否存在，链上数据确实是预判行情的风向标。

在 0x Scope 的数据帮助下，BlockBeats 整理了在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日期间以太坊链上单笔 swap 交易额超过 30 万美元的巨鲸持仓买卖动向，来看看巨鲸们近期都买/卖了哪些代币。同时，也采用 Trading View Pro 中的斐波那契回撤指标来简单判断一下比特币价格将何时受阻，以及会在那些价位获得一定支持。

什么是斐波那契回撤

斐波那契回撤（Fibonacci Retracement）是一种技术分析工具，用于识别金融市场中的潜在支撑和阻力位。该工具基于意大利数学家斐波那契发现的一系列数字，即斐波那契数列。这些数字应用于技术分析时，可以帮助交易者预测价格回调的潜在水平。

斐波那契回撤的主要水平包括： 23.6% 、 38.2% 、 50% 、 61.8% 和 78.6% 。这些水平是通过在趋势的高点和低点之间绘制水平线来计算的。例如，价格从低点 A 上涨到高点 B，然后开始回调，斐波那契回撤水平就会显示出价格可能在这些特定百分比水平上找到支撑或阻力。

基于斐波那契回撤工具，比特币价格在回调过程中可能会在 51, 500 美元左右找到支撑。这个价格点位对应于斐波那契回撤的 38.2% 水平（即从近期的高点到低点的 38.2% 的位置）。此外，这个价位区域之前也曾是比特币价格在最后冲刺前进行短暂盘整的地方，这进一步增加了 51, 500 美元作为支撑位的可能性。

一览链上巨鲸动向：暴跌已至，巨鲸先跑

下面让我们进入数据环节

ETH 系（包括 ezETH、weETH、wstETH、stETH、rETH、cbETH、mETH、sfrxETH、swETH、frxETH、uniETH、pufETH、rswETH、rsETH 等）

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 1116 笔 ETH 交易，其中 697 笔为买入， 419 笔为卖出。买入一共 210, 922.01 枚 ETH，价值约合 740, 328, 736.22 美元；卖出一共 123, 136.27 枚 ETH，价值约合 430, 677, 058.52 美元。

一共有 186 个巨鲸在此期间，执行了净买入操作，净买入 87, 785.74 枚 ETH（买入总量减去卖出总量），价值约合 309, 651, 677.70 美元；一共有 204 个巨鲸在此期间，执行了净卖出操作，净卖出 87, 785.74 枚 ETH（卖出总量减去买入总量），价值约合 309, 651, 677.70 美元。

BTC 封装版本（包括 tBTC、WBTC 等）

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 89 笔 BTC 交易，其中 55 笔为买入， 34 笔为卖出。买入一共 1, 743.79 枚 BTC，价值约合 107, 920, 685.42 美元；卖出一共 414.55 枚 BTC，价值约合 25, 479, 089.16 美元。

一共有 28 个巨鲸在此期间，执行了净买入操作，净买入 1, 329.24 枚 BTC（买入总量减去卖出总量），价值约合 82, 441, 596.26 美元；一共有 20 个巨鲸在此期间，执行了净卖出操作，净卖出 1, 329.24 枚 BTC（卖出总量减去买入总量），价值约合 82, 441, 596.26 美元。

除去 ETH 和 BTC 相关操作，巨鲸对于其余山寨币的处理，仅有 MKR、LDO 有净买入，其余多为净卖出。

MKR

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 17 笔 MKR 交易，其中 12 笔为买入， 5 笔为卖出。买入一共 4, 313.68 枚 MKR，价值约合 10, 798, 758.34 美元；卖出一共 1, 817.12 枚 MKR，价值约合 4, 408, 743.63 美元。

一共有 6 个巨鲸在此期间执行了净买入操作，净买入 2, 496.56 枚 MKR，价值约合 6, 390, 014.71 美元；一共有 3 个巨鲸在此期间执行了净卖出操作，净卖出 2, 496.56 枚 MKR，价值约合 6, 390, 014.71 美元。

LDO

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 2 笔 LDO 交易，全部为买入。买入一共 378, 496.10 枚 LDO，价值约合 727, 684.08 美元；没有卖出交易。

ONDO

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 2 笔 ONDO 交易，全部为卖出。卖出一共 585, 538.30 枚 ONDO，价值约合 684, 062.78 美元；没有买入交易。

PEIPEI

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 4 笔 PEIPEI 交易，全部为卖出。卖出一共 12, 175, 219, 831, 862.45 枚 PEIPEI，价值约合 1, 913, 465.89 美元；没有买入交易。

PEPE

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 19 笔 PEPE 交易，其中 6 笔为买入， 13 笔为卖出。买入一共 282, 119, 856, 081.88 枚 PEPE，价值约合 3, 312, 172.18 美元；卖出一共 600, 266, 202, 374.30 枚 PEPE，价值约合 6, 884, 446.80 美元。

一共有 4 个巨鲸在此期间执行了净买入操作，净买入 318, 146, 346, 292.42 枚 PEPE，价值约合 3, 572, 274.62 美元；一共有 6 个巨鲸在此期间，执行了净卖出操作，净卖出 318, 146, 346, 292.42 枚 PEPE，价值约合 3, 572, 274.62 美元。

BEAM

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 4 笔 BEAM 交易，其中 2 笔为买入， 2 笔为卖出。买入一共 341, 459.62 枚 BEAM，价值约合 293, 409.11 美元；卖出一共 341, 459.62 枚 BEAM，价值约合 287, 857.04 美元。

FLOKI

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 1 笔 FLOKI 交易，为卖出。卖出一共 2, 000, 000, 000 枚 FLOKI，价值约合 343, 140.00 美元。

AQTIS

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 1 笔 AQTIS 交易，为卖出。卖出一共 20, 000, 000 枚 AQTIS，价值约合 313, 158.60 美元。

PEAS

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 1 笔 PEAS 交易，为卖出。卖出一共 130, 020.96 枚 PEAS，价值约合 418, 667.52 美元。

1INCH

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 1 笔 1INCH 交易，为卖出。卖出一共 1, 612, 124.25 枚 1INCH，价值约合 633, 992.04 美元。

WOJAK

巨鲸们在 6 月 24 日到 7 月 4 日之间，一共执行了 1 笔 WOJAK 交易，为卖出。卖出一共 314, 962, 538.13 枚 WOJAK，价值约合 340, 968.99 美元。

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
mantra
MantraMANTRA
xvs
VenusXVS
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
velodrome
Velodrome FinanceVELODROME
brev
BrevisBREV
zrx
ZRX（0X）ZRX
cake
PancakeSwapCAKE

Related Reads

28,000-Star Hit Creator Unexpectedly Fired by Google, Silicon Valley Big Shots Quickly Vie for the Talent

A nearly 7-year Google veteran, Justin Poehnelt, was fired shortly after his open-source project 'gws' (a Google Workspace CLI built in Rust) went viral, amassing over 28,000 GitHub stars. The tool, designed for both humans and AI agents, allowed terminal access to all major Workspace services like Gmail and Drive by dynamically generating commands from Google's own APIs. The dismissal came just two days after Google announced its "official" Workspace CLI at its Cloud Next 2026 conference, leading to widespread criticism that the company appropriated his work. Poehnelt believes the real reason was internal fear that his project demonstrated how AI agents could fundamentally disrupt and simplify interaction with Google's core Workspace products, potentially threatening its established business model. Following his public disclosure of the events, which garnered millions of views, tech leaders like OpenClaw's Peter Steinberger and CEOs from OpenRouter and Vercel swiftly offered him jobs, highlighting the perceived misstep by Google in letting a top-performing innovator go.

marsbit42m ago

28,000-Star Hit Creator Unexpectedly Fired by Google, Silicon Valley Big Shots Quickly Vie for the Talent

marsbit42m ago

Canada MSB, Why is it More Suitable for Teams Focused on Long-Term Payment Solutions?

**Canada MSB: Why Is It More Suitable for Teams Focused on Long-Term Payments?** Many crypto payment projects initially obtain a U.S. MSB registration for its cost-effectiveness and market recognition. However, as they scale operations, they often find it insufficient for sustainable, real-world payment business. This is where the Canadian MSB, regulated by FINTRAC, gains serious consideration. Unlike the U.S. framework, the Canadian MSB is not a "lightweight alternative" but a choice for projects committed to long-term, compliant operations, especially in B2B payments, cross-border settlements, and stablecoin transactions. **Key Distinctions:** The Canadian MSB emphasizes substantive, ongoing regulation. It requires establishing a full-fledged AML/CTF framework *before* launching operations, with continuous obligations for KYC, transaction monitoring, and reporting. This positions the holder as a regulated financial service provider from day one. **Operational Scope:** A properly structured Canadian MSB can support businesses like stablecoin/crypto payments and transfers, fiat-crypto exchange, B2B batch settlements, payment APIs for merchants, and underlying structures for services like crypto cards. **Strategic Advantages:** 1. **Bank & Partner Relations:** Its clear regulatory framework and operational requirements make it easier to explain compliance to banks and institutional partners, which is crucial for securing stable banking relationships. 2. **Centralized Path:** It offers a nationally unified system, avoiding the complexity and cost of navigating multiple U.S. state-level Money Transmitter Licenses (MTLs). 3. **Business Model Clarity:** It fosters long-term stability by requiring clear business structures, transparent fund flows, and real risk management from the outset, reducing future uncertainties. **Ideal Candidates:** The Canadian MSB is particularly suitable for B2B crypto payment platforms, cross-border stablecoin services, enterprise payment solutions, Web3 financial infrastructure projects, and teams building a "compliance benchmark" for sustainable growth. **Choosing Between U.S. and Canadian MSB:** The choice depends on the project's stage and goals. The **U.S. MSB** is better for **speed, initial validation, and early launch**. The **Canadian MSB** is better for **stability, substantive compliance, and long-term operation**, especially when serving B2B/enterprise clients and requiring reliable banking channels. In essence, while the Canadian MSB involves higher initial compliance rigor, it provides a more solid foundation for building a payment business that banks, partners, and regulators can accept over the long term.

marsbit1h ago

Canada MSB, Why is it More Suitable for Teams Focused on Long-Term Payment Solutions?

marsbit1h ago

Can Strategy rebound after its first close below $100 since 2024?

MicroStrategy's stock (MSTR) has fallen below $100 for the first time since March 2024, trading at $94.23 after a significant decline. Despite increasing its Bitcoin holdings to 847,363 BTC through recent share sales, the firm's strategy faces criticism. Market strategist Charlie Bilello warns of potential for further deep declines, citing historical precedents. CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju suggests the company's aggressive Bitcoin purchases act more as a "liquidity sink" than a price catalyst, noting new buying is offset by selling pressure. He recommends pausing BTC buys to rebuild cash reserves. Analysis shows MSTR's stock price and its price-to-BTC reserve ratio are in decline, meaning investors are paying a much smaller premium for its Bitcoin acquisition strategy compared to prior bull markets. As Bitcoin's price struggles, scrutiny grows on MicroStrategy's leveraged treasury model and its need for greater capital discipline.

ambcrypto1h ago

Can Strategy rebound after its first close below $100 since 2024?

ambcrypto1h ago

CoinGecko Says Most Pump.fun Memecoins Die Within 24 Hours

CoinGecko research reveals that the majority of memecoins launched via the Solana-based platform Pump.fun fail within 24 hours, quantifying the extreme risk in the current memecoin launch culture. The data shows a roughly 70% first-day failure rate, shifting the narrative from anecdotal evidence to a statistical reality where failure is the norm, not the exception. While Pump.fun's simplicity fueled a surge in token creation and network activity, it also led to a high volume of low-effort, short-lived launches. The report serves as a warning that high launchpad activity does not equate to healthy demand or durability, emphasizing that traders entering this space are effectively betting against overwhelming odds. This insight adds crucial context to the ongoing wave of memecoin crashes and liquidity wipeouts within the broader crypto market.

bitcoinist2h ago

CoinGecko Says Most Pump.fun Memecoins Die Within 24 Hours

bitcoinist2h ago

The DATA Foundation Launches to Tackle AI’s Multi-Billion Dollar Training Data Bottleneck

Story has rebranded as The DATA Foundation and launched the DATA Network alongside Trace, a public audit layer for AI training data provenance and licensing. The launch includes a flagship integration with Kled, the world's largest opt-in human data marketplace, registering 1.5 billion user-contributed records. This move addresses the AI industry's multi-billion dollar bottleneck in sourcing high-quality, legally compliant training data, as the supply of scrapable public web data is exhausted. Trace provides immutable receipts for each data contribution, enabling verification of consent, licensing, and provenance. The ecosystem also includes Poseidon's data processing and the contributor app Numo. The foundation's thesis is that proving data origin and ensuring fair compensation is critical for advancing trusted AI. The existing $IP token will migrate to $DATA on a one-to-one basis.

TheNewsCrypto3h ago

The DATA Foundation Launches to Tackle AI’s Multi-Billion Dollar Training Data Bottleneck

TheNewsCrypto3h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

456 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions