SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

Odaily星球日报Published on 2024-07-04Last updated on 2024-07-04

Abstract

数字货币方面,宏观层面释放的短暂利好并未能拨开笼罩在BTC币价上方的阴霾。BTC 币价也在今日跌下了 60000 美元这道极为重要的心里支撑位。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

尽管周二鲍威尔在谈话时有意回避了 9 月是否要降息的问题,强调了调整货币政策的双向风险,但昨天疲软的经济数据仍然提振了市场对降息的信心,美债收益率普遍下跌,道指微跌 0.06% ,纳指收涨 0.88% ,标普上涨 0.5% 再度突破历史新高。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

Source: SignalPlus, Econimic Calendar

数字货币方面,宏观层面释放的短暂利好并未能拨开笼罩在 BTC 币价上方的阴霾。据报道,德国政府从钱包里转出了价值$ 172 M 的比特币到 Coinbase, Kraken 和 Bitstamp 这三个交易所里,加上前段时间美国政府也做出了类似的举动(出售丝绸之路的缴款),以及近期 Mt. Gox 将要进行的偿还,都为市场带来了强劲的抛压。

BTC 币价也在今日跌下了 60000 美元这道极为重要的心里支撑位,一度跌穿 57000 后反弹回到 58000 ,导致 5 JUL 和 12 JUL 的短期看跌期权供不应求,推动了 IV 曲线摆脱了近期的超低位,一路走平走高,同时 26 JUL 看涨期权也遭到大量抛售,市场短期内的情绪相当不乐观。

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

Source: Deribit (截至 4 JUL 16: 00 UTC+ 8)

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

Source: SignalPlus

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

Data Source: Deribit,BTC 交易总体分布

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

Data Source: Deribit,ETH 交易总体分布

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

Source: Deribit Block Trade

SignalPlus波动率专栏(20240704):BTC跌破6W

您可在 ChatGPT 4.0 的 Plugin Store 搜索 SignalPlus ,获取实时加密资讯。如果想即时收到我们的更新,欢迎关注我们的推特账号@SignalPlus_Web3 ,或者加入我们的微信群(添加小助手微信:SignalPlus 123)、Telegram 群以及 Discord 社群,和更多朋友一起交流互动。SignalPlus Official Website:https://www.signalplus.com

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454 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

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