从1000到1亿美元,你需要做对这些事

Web3动向Published on 2024-01-30Last updated on 2024-01-30

Abstract

随着整个行业市值的膨胀,大家的财富规模应该也经历了变动。在个人财富增长的旅程中,哪个阶段是您认为最为艰难的?并请分享是什么原因让这一阶段变得如此挑战。

随着整个行业市值的膨胀,大家的财富规模应该也经历了变动。在个人财富增长的旅程中,哪个阶段是您认为最为艰难的?并请分享是什么原因让这一阶段变得如此挑战。

之前微博炸了,搬运下 N 年前在微博上写给新手的建议:在区块链行业如何从 1000 刀的本金赚到 1 亿刀?

10 万美元以内: 多学习,多动手

刷核心赛道 DeFi 项目的空投;

刷热门 NFT 项目的白名单 mint;

此阶段需要花费大量时间获取信息,分析研究判断潜力项目,执行力一定要强,坚持不懈薅羊毛。

10 万美元 -100 万美元

不要杠杆炒币,不要玩合约;

在新的公链和 L2 上,按照时光机法则找到潜力的项目,低价获取筹码;

找到属于你的十倍币。

100 万美元 -1000 万美元

选择你的币本位 BTC 或者 ETH 等,深入研究;

适当交易,不要做空,不要做空,不要做空!

灵活使用低杠杆的 DeFi 借贷协议,提高资金利用率,可以使用类似 dydx 这样的平台,交易同时获取到 token 奖励。

多观察,多套利, 坚持币本位,追求币本位的增长;

不要贪图参与每一个热点,赚每一分钱,通过套利 staking 等获取稳定现金流;

心态稳定,淡然处之,财富水平能否突破,剩下交给时间和行业发展。

1000 万美元 -1 亿美元

一旦资产超过一个小目标,改善下家人生活,多读书多健身,改变下个人认知和圈层;

拿住核心资产不踩大坑的前提下,追求低风险稳定增值和良好的现金流;

不要玩合约,不要创业,注意避免入坑;

保持一定的币本位资产不踏空;

保持一定的稳定币资产获取稳定的现金流。同时应对生活中突发情况,暴跌时候也可以有子弹抄底;

拿 10-15% 资产投投自己看好的赛道,让自己有事可做,同时也能防止自己手贱。

我刚入圈的时候就反复看过神鱼的这篇《在区块链行业如何从1000刀的本金赚到1亿刀》,还存在了手机相册里,那时候我刚读研一,带入币圈的本金不到五万元,今天看到这条推特还是挺感慨的。这几天有很多朋友都分享了财富增长的经验,我也斗胆借此机会讲讲自己的看法。

首先最重要的一点,我认为是找到自己擅长或是感兴趣的赛道,当然能两者兼得是最完美的。例如你组织能力强或者动手能力强就去撸空投,对游戏数值和策略比较了解就去研究链游,擅长估值分析和投研就去炒山寨,币圈的赛道非常多,吃透其中一条对绝大部分人而言已经足够。高倍合约等杠杆率太高的方式我是从来不碰的,也不建议大家接触。

对我自身而言,比较强的能力是快速地获取信息、分析决策并且执行操作,同时我对市场热点也有不错的敏感度,所以自然而然地选择了链上一级这条赛道,现在也有很多人称其为1.5级。它的定义很广泛,例如NFT、土狗币、铭文等其实都可以纳入,核心是在相对早期的阶段接触项目,从而获得成本较低的筹码,但又不同于私募等回报周期通常较久的形式。

链上一级的优缺点都很鲜明,在对项目大致判断正确的前提下,这种玩法具有极高的盈亏比,但也正因为接触项目处于早期,又带来了更大的不确定性和风险。从收集信息、做出分析再到执行操作这三个步骤,每一步的失误都可能带来结果的巨大差异。接下来更具体地分享我的经历,以下单位为CNY。

1万~10万:以小博大、见好就收

可以泛指所有在币圈没有投入较大本金的情况,对小资金来说,追求年化几个点的稳定收益没有太大意义,平时大家也总打趣说“是来币圈翻身的,不是翻倍的”,所以这一阶段要尽量寻找潜在倍数高、前期投入小的项目,我在21年的时候是参与BSC上的土狗币,同样道理但更符合当下币圈生态的例如铭文新协议、SOL土狗币等,或者一些投入成本较小的撸毛项目,殊途同归。

一些朋友可能认为资金少所以一定要死拿到百倍千倍才卖,但是我有不同看法,小资金意味着低容错率,在这一阶段更重要的是获利出本,及时止盈,只要你的路径是对的,一定可以把雪球越滚越大。那些靠拿住一个币暴富的故事往往是幸存者偏差,新闻稿可以从1000个人中选出一个成功者大书特书,而不会提及剩下的999个失败者。

10万~100万:对所在的赛道有一定的深度了解

2021年年底的时候我发现只要持有几个平台的代币就可以获得打新额度,而这些打新项目通常开盘就有几十倍,所以我把大部分资金用于买入GAFI、Redkite、Poolz等平台的代币,剩下的就是不断参与打新并在开盘不久后卖出,而这种造富效应又带动平台币价上涨,又吃又拿,我在进圈三个多月的时候赚到了第一个一百万。

时至今日,信息传播的速度越来越快,这种简单粗暴的左脚踩右脚已经很难持续下去,而且质量不错的项目通常都会选择有各类筛选和风控机制的打新平台。不过如果把我那段经历背后的逻辑抽象出来,那么依然是通用的,也就是在自己最熟悉的赛道经过钻研后找到一些存在信息差的机会,投入适当的仓位,静待开花结果。

100万~1000万:深度、宽度和高度

客观来说,个人资产超过千万在国内已经远超绝大部分人了,所以没必要把这当做一个很大的目标或者压力,一切平常心看待。

想要度过这一阶段,我总结了三种方式,分别对应深度、宽度和高度,做到其一即可。第一个是把资金容量足够的机会研究透,第二个是在自己所处赛道形成规模化,第三个是早于大部分人看到了引领市场的赛道。

先说深度,单项目千万收益听起来很夸张,大家听闻比较多的应该是Blur第二季空投名列前茅的几位大哥。当然,刷Blur毕竟对技术、资金量都有要求,时间周期也长达几个月,很多人可能根本没有意识到更夸张的是去年10月的NFT碎片化平台代币FLC、去年12月的BTC NFT节点猴和今年1月的BTC二层代币SAVM,都是能在1周甚至1天内将100万转化为1000万的项目,对于分析足够透彻并且敢上仓位的人是实实在在可以做到的,而这还仅仅是短短过去3个月内的部分机会而已。

再说宽度,也就是在自己擅长的赛道形成规模化,可以是通过铺人力和高效的组织管理形成的,对应的机会例如Sui打新,也可以是借助代码和工具实现的,例如NFT图狗早期大部分人还在前端手搓的时候,用脚本合约批量Mint就是降维打击,收益也是成倍增长。不过宽度的扩张是存在边际效益的,一方面是每个项目的资金容量都有限,利润并不是完全跟随规模的扩大而扩大,另一方面是随着某个赛道上扩大规模的玩家越来越多,财富效应就逐渐被稀释了。

最后是高度,通过精准的判断和敏锐的嗅觉在极早期介入某个赛道的龙头标的,然后充分享受赛道扩大的胜利果实,随风起舞,例如21年的链游和今年的铭文。这也是我个人认为难度最大的一种方式,因为不仅要求有极强的判断力,更需要敢为天下先的勇气,某个赛道在极早期的时候要么无人问津,要么备受嘲讽,能在这种情况下耐得住寂寞的投资者才能守得云开见月明,我想只要见证过PEPE、ORDI和TIA发展历程的朋友都深有体会,正是这3个曾经被百般嫌弃的标的开启了2023年的Meme、铭文和模块化这三大标志性叙事。

这也引出了另一个重要话题,就是赛道的选择,一般情况下在币圈还是得追逐热点,玩新不玩旧,两个各方面水平相同的人,假如在2023年的下半年一个选择了NFT赛道,另一个选择了铭文赛道,他们最终的收益率肯定是云泥之别,大部分人最终所能拿到的结果还是依托于市场的红利,要学会顺势而为。

此外,在这个阶段还可以适当扩大一下自己的接触面,敢于拿小仓位试错各个赛道,说不定收获的经验在日后就成了宝贵的财富。也可以分配一定比例的资金去参与各类相对稳定的打新机会,给自己配置安全垫的同时也一定程度形成了现金流。

最后就是做好风险控制和仓位管理,尤其在牛市,账面财富其实分文不值,没有落袋为安之前都是虚的,有太多牛市风光一时熊市回撤严重甚至倾家荡产的例子,不多赘述。

1000万~1亿:

还在摸索,争取早日再做分享,希望与大家顶峰相见。

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