圣诞迎来普涨行情,明年注意哪些板块!

Web3动向Published on 2023-12-26Last updated on 2023-12-26

Abstract

2023年Solana (SOL)领涨,Avalanche (AVAX)、Stacks (STX)和Helium (HNT)紧随其后。此外,比特币这一年也表现强劲,市场越来越乐观地认为,比特币现货ETF将在明年年初获得批准。

2023年Solana (SOL)领涨,Avalanche (AVAX)、Stacks (STX)和Helium (HNT)紧随其后。此外,比特币这一年也表现强劲,市场越来越乐观地认为,比特币现货ETF将在明年年初获得批准。

Solana自10月中旬开始大幅上涨,今年年初以来已上涨超700%。今年6月,在美国SEC对Coinbase的投诉中,尽管SEC指控SOL和其他代币为“未注册证券”,但行情并未受到指控影响。

虽然Solana与破产的交易所FTX及其创始人SBF关系密切,但SOL市场表现还不错。SBF是Solana的知名支持者,并通过他的公司Alameda Research和FTX购入了价值超过10亿美元的SOL。

SOL的大部分收益是在SBF审判结束后实现的。自审判结束后,Solana网络的月活地址数有所增加,并推出了多种Memecoin,包括最近在Coinbase上线的BONK。

GSR的高级策略师Brian Rudick表示:“在FTX破产后,市场对Solana存在质疑,但随着链上活动越来越多,市场对其创新技术的新认识,以及几次高调的空投,Solana反而蓬勃发展起来”。

HNT

随着Helium进军移动服务领域,Helium原生代币HNT在2023年也取得了可观的收益,全年上涨500%,其中大部分是在12月实现。今年4月,Helium从自己的区块链迁移到了Solana。Helium是一个基于区块链的物联网设备网络,它使用节点作为热点将无线设备连接到网络中。

根据Amberdata研究总监Christopher Martin的说法,对于Helium来说,2023年是重要的一年,因为Helium开始涉足移动服务领域。Christopher Martin表示:“Helium网络似乎在移动和物联网方面有重大计划,允许用户通过支持该网络来赚取MOBILE代币,并每月用代币支付账单,这对网络产生了飞轮效应”。

Christopher Martin还指出,“最近BONK热潮导致Solana Saga手机售罄(因为Saga手机附带BONK空投),Saga手机还提供30天免费的Helium Mobile 订阅。简而言之,由于用户增长带来的网络效益之间的共生关系,随着移动网络的发展,市场对MOBILE和HNT充满了期待”。

AVAX

对于Avalanche来说,与各个机构的合作抬高了代币价格。AVAX今年迄今已上涨300%。今年1月,Avalanche宣布与亚马逊网络服务(Amazon Web Services)建立合作关系,并于11月宣布与摩根大通合作。(具体为摩根大通数字资产平台Onyx与另类资产管理公司Apollo达成合作,二者的合作将利用全链互操作协议LayerZero,从而将Onyx与经过许可的AvalancheEvergreen子网连接起来,从而促进由代币化资产应用 Wisdom Tree Prime 提供的资金认购和赎回)

DeFi咨询公司Infiniti Labs创始人Chris Newhouse表示,Avalanche今年的上涨主要是受新闻影响。Newhouse在接受采访时表示:“Avalanche在机构合作方面取得了巨大进展,与Apollo和摩根大通(JP Morgan)建立了合作关系,并在今年年初与AWS建立了合作关系,并正在将自己塑造成有利于机构活动的最佳区块链之一”。

就价格走势而言,比特币今年也表现强劲,主要是由于市场对潜在的比特币现货ETF的热情。今年迄今为止,这种加密货币已经上涨164%。GSR高级策略师Brian Rudick在接受采访时表示,ETF的炒作是主要的催化剂,有利的宏观经济环境也是一大积极因素。

STX

Stacks (STX)是Stacks Network的原生代币,今年上涨了623%。今年3月,随着比特币Ordinals的兴起,以及协议上TVL的不断增长,STX出现了反弹。

STX是2019 年第一个美国SEC所认可的合格代币发行。Stacks是一个用于智能合约的比特币Layer2协议,试图将比特币的功能从替代支付系统转变为一个更通用、可编程的平台。

根据DeFiLlama数据,Stacks Network的TVL在今年大幅上涨,从1月份的600万美元攀升至5000万美元。

最近,在资深投资者Tim Draper发表了一系列积极评论后,STX在12月20日上涨了27%。

2024年预测

GSR高级策略师Brian Rudick预计比特币和以太坊将在新的一年继续上涨,部分原因是美国可能批准比特币现货ETF。此外,Rudick还指出,到2024年可能会迎来新一波来自中国、欧盟、巴西和其他国家的区块链用户,因为这些国家计划或宣布对比特币感兴趣”。

Martin表示,除了新年伊始关注的ETF之外,RWA也将成为值得关注的蓬勃发展领域。“今年我们已经看到一些基金会成立了,但还没有看到主流社会赶上来”。展望未来,“去中心化物理基础设施(DePIN)叙事”将继续成为热门话题,RNDR和HNT等代币最近表现优于市场。DePIN使用加密代币来激励现实世界基础设施的建设。

Newhouse补充说:“传统基金经理也对HNT表示了特别的兴趣,Bill Ackman在2022年支持该代币”。

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