加密市场新一轮牛市起源东方?

Odaily星球日报Published on 2023-02-20Last updated on 2023-02-20

Abstract

华流资产飞涨,香港合规进程加快

上周比特币突破 2.5 万美元,再次助长了市场的 FOMO 情绪。继 AI(人工智能)、元宇宙概念之后,一个全新概念板块在这两天成为焦点:Chinese Coin(中概币)。

中概币板块的诞生,主要受两方面因素影响:

一是以美国证券交易委员会(SEC)为首的美国监管机构,对美国头部加密企业 Kraken 以及 Paxos 展开调查—— Kraken 目前已经和解并支付罚款,似乎有意对加密产业收紧监管的口子,因此被戏称为「美版九四」。

二是港府曾计划在 3 月实施虚拟资产服务发牌制度,最新消息是 6 月执行;近期更是有传言称「 6 月 1 日起香港居民自由买卖加密货币将完全合法」,虽然最终辟谣,但在政策利好预期前景的刺激下,投资者依然对加密后市抱以极大的信心。

东西方截然相反的两种态度,也让全球加密投资者对中国加密企业的关注度上升。特别是在国产公链 Conflux 与中国央企(中国电信)合作后,Token 价格飙升,过去一周涨幅接近 400% ,起到了良好地「示范」作用。一时之间,海外投资者对中国项目 FOMO 情绪骤增,一些海外社交媒体大 V 更是开创了「Chinese Coin」作为一个全新板块。

2 月 18 日,在社交媒体拥有 29.3 万粉丝的加密 KOL「Miles Deutscher」发文晒出了自己总结的「Chinese Coin」概念列表,囊括 CFX、FIL 等 12 个代币。另外一位 KOL「Bera」继续拓展了该列表,将币种数量增加至 17 个——“有些是「中概币」,有些是我的中国朋友很喜欢的非中概币。”

还有一些海外加密 KOL,为了赶上这波中国热,主动在推文中使用中文,引来不少华语圈加密投资者进行互动。有趣的是,一些加密投资者甚至将会说中文的项目纳入中概币范畴,以太坊就因为创始人 V 神曾多次使用中文跻深「中概币」一员。

中概币的热度持续居高不下,也让一众华语区 web3 从业者与有荣焉。波场创始人孙宇晨引用了周杰伦曾经的经典语录:“华流才是顶流。”

针对近期的中概币热潮,美国合规交易所 Gemini 联合创始人 Cameron Winklevoss 评论称,下一轮牛市将从亚洲开始。他认为,加密货币是一种全球资产类别,而西方(实际上是美国)要么接受它,要么被抛在后面;但现实情况是美国如今正在打压加密货币,而东方对加密货币展现出了包容开放的态度。

加密分析师 GCR 飙升,“中国(以及整个亚洲)将推动下一波上涨。西方对这个领域的愤世嫉俗需要相当长的时间才能消解,但东方正在崛起并渴望征服。”加密衍生品巨头 BitMEX 前首席执行官 Arthur Hayes 去年 10 月预测 ,下一轮牛市将在中国重返市场时开始,并进一步表示香港在这一过程中将发挥重要作用。

今天下午,香港证监会就适用于虚拟资产交易平台营运者的建议规定展开咨询,明确宣布将于 2023 年 6 月 1 日实现新发牌制度。

此外,文件中表示,将允许个人投资者在证监会许可的交易所交易大市值代币,前提是知识测试、风险承受能力评估和合理的风险敞口限制等保障措施到位。文件意见征求期将于 3 月 31 日结束,目标是在 6 月 1 日的加密货币交易所新许可制度下允许零售交易。证监会发言人在简报中表示,比特币和以太坊这两种市值最大的数字资产可能会在香港的交易平台上线。

港府的入局,能否催化下一轮牛市的开启,还需要时间的检验。但毫无疑问,这算是近期为数不多可以提振加密投资者信心的一件大事。另外,需要提醒广大投资者,目前投机情绪高涨,警惕风险,DYOR。

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1.4k Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

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