$20K Bitcoin may return, says analyst as US unemployment hits 54-year low

CointelegraphPublished on 2023-02-04Last updated on 2023-02-04

Abstract

Bitcoin buyers may get a chance to “load up” below $22,000 on the back of employment statistics.

Bitcoin fell prior to the Feb. 3 Wall Street open as fresh United States economic data came in “hot hot hot.”

⠀

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

⠀

“Think again” over U.S. recession

⠀

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC/USD as it erased gains from earlier in the day to center on $23,000 support.

⠀

The pair reacted negatively to U.S. unemployment data for January, which beat expectations so considerably that overall jobless figures fell to their lowest since 1969.

⠀

Non-farm payrolls (NFP) data likewise outperformed, while average hourly earnings conformed to forecast 0.3% growth.

⠀

“HUGE beat in NFP,” popular analytics account Tedtalksmacro responded on Twitter.

⠀

Returning to predictions from the day prior, Tedtalksmacro eyed a potential opportunity to increase Bitcoin exposure, given the latest come-down, which it said could take BTC/USD all the way to $20,000.

⠀

“An opportunity to reload on this news, potentially,” a further tweet added.

⠀

Bitcoin’s cold feet come from the implication that a stronger-than-forecast labor market allows the Federal Reserve to maintain tighter, less liquid monetary conditions for a longer period of time.

⠀

“US economy sliding into a recession? Well, think again. At least not in the near term,” economist and analyst Jan Wüstenfeld continued.

⠀

U.S. civilian unemployment rate chart. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

⠀

$25,000 Bitcoin now “crowded trade”

⠀

As Cointelegraph reported, the Fed raised interest rates by 0.25% this week, in line with almost all expectations, while Chair Jerome Powell caused excitement by using the term “disinflation” in accompanying comments.

⠀

BTC/USD thus spiked above $24,000 for the second time in as many days, with market participants still hopeful of a trip to $25,000 before a more significant retracement.

⠀

“BTC has had a clean breakout above its macro downtrend line + a backtest,” investment research resource Game of Trades stated.

⠀

“The next big resistance to clear is the $25k region.”

⠀

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Game of Trades/Twitter

⠀

Popular trader Crypto Tony nonetheless acknowledged that that target may no longer materialize.

⠀

“$25,000 is my main target, but I am seeing now a lot of people asking for this, and is becoming a crowded trade,” he wrote in part of a fresh update on the day.

Trending Cryptos

ctr
CitreaCTR
wstusdt
wrapped stUSDTWSTUSDT
apr
aPrioriAPR
ctx
Cryptex FinanceCTX
audio
AudiusAUDIO
mantra
MantraMANTRA
xvs
VenusXVS
waxl
AxelarWAXL
bill
Billions NetworkBILL
pyth
PYTH (Pyth)PYTH
rune
THORChainRUNE
brev
BrevisBREV
zrx
ZRX（0X）ZRX
cake
PancakeSwapCAKE
jst
JUSTJST

Related Reads

Catholic And Law Enforcement Groups Warn CLARITY Act Could Weaken Crypto Crime Safeguards

A coalition of Catholic leaders, law enforcement groups, and anti-trafficking advocates warns that the CLARITY Act could weaken safeguards against crypto-enabled crime. Their criticism focuses on provisions that would protect developers of non-custodial software (like wallets and DeFi protocols) from being regulated as money transmitters. This highlights a core regulatory dilemma: distinguishing neutral software from financial intermediation. Crypto advocates argue such developers should not be treated like exchanges, while critics fear broad exemptions could hinder the tracking of illicit finance, including human trafficking and sanctions evasion. The bill aims to create clearer market-structure rules, but this opposition shows the debate extends beyond investor protection to law enforcement concerns. The pushback means supporters may need to address these issues, potentially leading to amendments or stricter requirements. For the crypto industry, clearer rules could spur U.S. investment, but the bill faces a tougher political path if framed as weakening crime-fighting tools.

bitcoinist1h ago

Catholic And Law Enforcement Groups Warn CLARITY Act Could Weaken Crypto Crime Safeguards

bitcoinist1h ago

The Full Story of How Crypto Unicorn Blockstream Is Mired in Serious Fraud Allegations

This article details serious allegations of fraud against Bitcoin infrastructure company Blockstream, founded by Bitcoin pioneer Adam Back. In June 2024, investigative account NatInfoSec published a report accusing Blockstream's mining note (BMN) program of potentially operating a multi-billion dollar scheme with Ponzi-like characteristics. The core allegations focus on Blockstream Mining Notes (BMNs), which offer investors fixed annual yields up to approximately 20% from Bitcoin mining. NatInfoSec's investigation raises several key issues: 1. **Suspicious Hashrate & Payout Capacity**: The analysis suggests Blockstream would need 20-45 EH/s of mining power to cover its BMN obligations, but its public dashboard shows only around 15 EH/s. Furthermore, no verifiable public evidence (e.g., grid connection records, import data) was found to support the massive mining operation required. 2. **Questionable Payout Source**: The BMN contract allows Blockstream to use Bitcoin from *any source* (Substitute Performance BTC) to fulfill investor payouts, raising concerns that payouts may not come from actual mining revenue. 3. **High-Risk, Fixed Returns**: Offering ~20% fixed yields in the volatile, cyclical Bitcoin mining industry is viewed as highly unusual and requires clear explanation. 4. **Undisclosed Criminal Record of Key Figure**: Christopher William Cook, a key figure in Blockstream's mining operations and CEO of spin-off Exacore, was found to have a federal felony conviction for mail fraud in 2008, a fact not disclosed in BMN offering documents. His background was also allegedly embellished. 5. **Potential Contagion to BSTR SPAC**: Questions were raised about whether these liabilities and Cook's record should have been disclosed in the SEC filings for Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (BSTR), a separate Adam Back-associated firm planning a SPAC merger. The crypto community is divided. BitMEX Research validated Cook's criminal record and expressed concern over the high yields but found other evidence lacking or misleading, noting the legal separation between BMN, Blockstream, and BSTR. Blockstream defenders, like Samson Mow, argue the mining is real. Critics, however, emphasize the lack of independent, verifiable proof of the mining operation's scale and the true source of investor payouts. The article concludes that BMN remains shrouded in key unanswered questions regarding its actual size, the verifiability of its underlying mining assets and payouts, the source of its high yields, and the full role and disclosure concerning Chris Cook. Blockstream had not issued a comprehensive response at the time of writing.

marsbit5h ago

The Full Story of How Crypto Unicorn Blockstream Is Mired in Serious Fraud Allegations

marsbit5h ago

South Korea Targets 40 Unregistered Crypto Operators in Regulatory Crackdown

South Korea's Financial Intelligence Unit has referred around 40 unregistered virtual asset service providers to the police as part of a regulatory crackdown. Under local law, all crypto exchanges must obtain ISMS certification and FIU registration before operating, yet only 28 entities are currently registered. The FIU identified methods used by offshore platforms to attract Korean users, including advertising on local messaging apps and using private money changers to convert stablecoins. Officials stressed that unregistered platforms are not protected by Korean law. This action aligns with South Korea's push for stricter global crypto compliance through FATF measures. FIU Director Lee Hyung-joo recently urged FATF members to remove transaction thresholds for the "Travel Rule," as South Korea plans to mandate identity checks for all crypto transactions starting in August, expanding from the current 1 million won (≈$730) minimum. Regulatory enforcement has intensified in 2026, with authorities pursuing criminal cases against market manipulation schemes and enhancing cooperation with financial institutions to curb cross-border illegal transactions.

TheNewsCrypto5h ago

South Korea Targets 40 Unregistered Crypto Operators in Regulatory Crackdown

TheNewsCrypto5h ago

Trading

Spot
Futures

Hot Articles

What is $BITCOIN

DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): A Comprehensive Analysis Introduction to DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a blockchain-based project operating on the Solana network, which aims to combine the characteristics of traditional precious metals with the innovation of decentralized technologies. While it shares a name with Bitcoin, often referred to as “digital gold” due to its perception as a store of value, DIGITAL GOLD is a separate token designed to create a unique ecosystem within the Web3 landscape. Its goal is to position itself as a viable alternative digital asset, although specifics regarding its applications and functionalities are still developing. What is DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) is a cryptocurrency token explicitly designed for use on the Solana blockchain. In contrast to Bitcoin, which provides a widely recognized value storage role, this token appears to focus on broader applications and characteristics. Notable aspects include: Blockchain Infrastructure: The token is built on the Solana blockchain, known for its capacity to handle high-speed and low-cost transactions. Supply Dynamics: DIGITAL GOLD has a maximum supply capped at 100 quadrillion tokens (100P $BITCOIN), although details regarding its circulating supply are currently undisclosed. Utility: While precise functionalities are not explicitly outlined, there are indications that the token could be utilized for various applications, potentially involving decentralized applications (dApps) or asset tokenization strategies. Who is the Creator of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? At present, the identity of the creators and development team behind DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) remains unknown. This situation is typical among many innovative projects within the blockchain space, particularly those aligning with decentralized finance and meme coin phenomena. While such anonymity may foster a community-driven culture, it intensifies concerns about governance and accountability. Who are the Investors of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN)? The available information indicates that DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) does not have any known institutional backers or prominent venture capital investments. The project seems to operate on a peer-to-peer model focused on community support and adoption rather than traditional funding routes. Its activity and liquidity are primarily situated on decentralized exchanges (DEXs), such as PumpSwap, rather than established centralized trading platforms, further highlighting its grassroots approach. How DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) Works The operational mechanics of DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) can be elaborated on based on its blockchain design and network attributes: Consensus Mechanism: By leveraging Solana’s unique proof-of-history (PoH) combined with a proof-of-stake (PoS) model, the project ensures efficient transaction validation contributing to the network's high performance. Tokenomics: While specific deflationary mechanisms have not been extensively detailed, the vast maximum token supply implies that it may cater to microtransactions or niche use cases that are still to be defined. Interoperability: There exists the potential for integration with Solana’s broader ecosystem, including various decentralized finance (DeFi) platforms. However, the details regarding specific integrations remain unspecified. Timeline of Key Events Here is a timeline that highlights significant milestones concerning DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN): 2023: The initial deployment of the token occurs on the Solana blockchain, marked by its contract address. 2024: DIGITAL GOLD gains visibility as it becomes available for trading on decentralized exchanges like PumpSwap, allowing users to trade it against SOL. 2025: The project witnesses sporadic trading activity and potential interest in community-led engagements, although no noteworthy partnerships or technical advancements have been documented as of yet. Critical Analysis Strengths Scalability: The underlying Solana infrastructure supports high transaction volumes, which could enhance the utility of $BITCOIN in various transaction scenarios. Accessibility: The potential low trading price per token could attract retail investors, facilitating wider participation due to fractional ownership opportunities. Risks Lack of Transparency: The absence of publicly known backers, developers, or an audit process may yield skepticism regarding the project's sustainability and trustworthiness. Market Volatility: The trading activity is heavily reliant on speculative behavior, which can result in significant price volatility and uncertainty for investors. Conclusion DIGITAL GOLD ($BITCOIN) emerges as an intriguing yet ambiguous project within the rapidly evolving Solana ecosystem. While it attempts to leverage the “digital gold” narrative, its departure from Bitcoin's established role as a store of value underscores the need for a clearer differentiation of its intended utility and governance structure. Future acceptance and adoption will likely depend on addressing the current opacity and defining its operational and economic strategies more explicitly. Note: This report encompasses synthesised information available as of October 2023, and developments may have transpired beyond the research period.

444 Total ViewsPublished 2025.05.13Updated 2025.05.13

What is $BITCOIN

Discussions

Welcome to the HTX Community. Here, you can stay informed about the latest platform developments and gain access to professional market insights. Users' opinions on the price of BTC (BTC) are presented below.

活动图片

Top Questions