# Risk Related Articles

HTX News Center provides the latest articles and in-depth analysis on "Risk", covering market trends, project updates, tech developments, and regulatory policies in the crypto industry.

Venus Protocol Integrates Tokenized Stocks As Lending Collateral On BNB Chain

Venus Protocol now allows tokenized stocks from companies like Apple, Tesla, and Microsoft to be used as borrowing collateral on BNB Chain. This integration brings a key real-world asset (RWA) use case into DeFi lending. Users can deposit these tokenized equities, which are described as 1:1 backed by real shares held by regulated custodians, into isolated pools to borrow stablecoins or BNB without selling their underlying positions. This move expands DeFi lending beyond crypto-native assets, resembling traditional margin finance. It highlights BNB Chain's competition for RWA activity and aims to attract more stable liquidity. However, tokenized stocks introduce different risks, including dependency on off-chain custodians and challenges with collateral valuation due to differing market hours between traditional and on-chain trading. While not an immediate price catalyst, this development is significant within broader crypto trends like compliance pressure and RWA tokenization. Success will depend on growing liquidity, reliable custody, robust price oracles, and clear rules for redemptions and liquidations.

bitcoinist5h ago

Venus Protocol Integrates Tokenized Stocks As Lending Collateral On BNB Chain

bitcoinist5h ago

Strategy's Preferred Stock STRC Unpegs by 11%, Can Its Perpetual Motion Machine Keep Spinning?

The preferred stock STRC issued by Strategy (MicroStrategy) has depegged over 11% from its $100 target par value, raising questions about the sustainability of the company's capital flywheel strategy. STRC, a perpetual preferred stock designed to trade around $100, serves as a key engine for Strategy's expansion, allowing it to raise fiat currency via at-the-market offerings to buy Bitcoin without diluting common shareholder equity. Its depegging, despite dividend rate hikes, suggests market concerns extend beyond yield to the core stability of Strategy's model. Analysts point to potential leveraged unwinding and, more critically, worries about Strategy's liquidity. While the company cites its massive Bitcoin holdings as covering decades of dividends, a recent small BTC sale—a first—has shaken confidence in its "never sell" narrative. If STRC remains discounted, impairing Strategy's fundraising ability, fears may grow that the company could be forced to sell Bitcoin to meet obligations, potentially turning a major market buyer into a seller and exerting significant downward pressure on Bitcoin's price.

marsbitYesterday 01:20

Strategy's Preferred Stock STRC Unpegs by 11%, Can Its Perpetual Motion Machine Keep Spinning?

marsbitYesterday 01:20

Strategy’s STRC Drop Shows The Risk Behind Bitcoin-Linked Credit Products

Strategy Inc.'s (formerly MicroStrategy) preferred stock, STRC, traded sharply below its $100 reference value during recent market stress, hitting an intraday low of $82.53. The company's CEO framed the drop as a "leverage flush"—forced selling by investors using borrowed money—rather than a fundamental default event. This distinction highlights that the selloff resulted from market mechanics and liquidity pressures, not missed payments by the issuer. The episode underscores the specific risks embedded in Bitcoin-linked credit products, which can behave differently from holding Bitcoin or common stock. As Bitcoin treasury strategies become more complex and financialized, instruments like preferred shares introduce additional layers of risk, including leverage, liquidity constraints, and sensitivity to Bitcoin's volatility. The STRC movement serves as a warning about the fragility of these structures in stressed markets, even when the underlying company remains solvent.

bitcoinistYesterday 18:51

Strategy’s STRC Drop Shows The Risk Behind Bitcoin-Linked Credit Products

bitcoinistYesterday 18:51

STRC Unpegged by 11%, Can Strategy's Perpetual Motion Machine Keep Turning?

STRC, the perpetual preferred stock of MicroStrategy, is experiencing a persistent de-pegging from its target par value of $100, with the discount recently widening to over 11%. This de-anchoring challenges the core design of STRC, which was intended as a stable, income-oriented security operating near $100. As a crucial funding engine for MicroStrategy's Bitcoin acquisition strategy, STRC's price reflects market confidence in the company's entire capital model. The company's "capital flywheel" relies on issuing STRC at or above $100 via an At-the-Market (ATM) program to raise cash for buying Bitcoin, thereby boosting company equity and theoretically supporting STRC's value. A monthly adjustable dividend mechanism was designed to maintain this peg. Despite raising the dividend to 11.5% and increasing payment frequency, the de-pegging persists. Market concerns extend beyond technical factors like leveraged arbitrage unwinding. Analysts point to MicroStrategy's limited cash reserves relative to its ~$1.7 billion annual dividend obligation for preferred shares. While the company counters that its vast Bitcoin holdings could cover decades of payments, this argument hinges on the potential need to sell Bitcoin—a shift from its longstanding "hodl" narrative. The company's recent sale of a small amount of BTC, framed as a test, amplified these liquidity and strategy concerns. If STRC remains discounted, impairing MicroStrategy's ability to raise cheap capital, fears may grow that the company could sell more Bitcoin to meet obligations. This scenario could transform MicroStrategy from a major market buyer into a potential seller, posing significant downside risk for Bitcoin. The re-pegging of STRC is thus a key indicator for the health of MicroStrategy's capital structure and its market impact.

Odaily星球日报Yesterday 09:05

STRC Unpegged by 11%, Can Strategy's Perpetual Motion Machine Keep Turning?

Odaily星球日报Yesterday 09:05

After semiconductors lead the gains, are funds buying into AI orders or a macroeconomic rebound?

After US-Iran talks led to a temporary ceasefire and framework for reopening the strategic Strait of Hormuz, U.S. stocks rose on June 18, with the Nasdaq gaining 1.9%. The semiconductor and AI hardware sectors outperformed. This rally stemmed primarily from reduced geopolitical risk, which lowered oil prices and inflation expectations, easing discount rate pressure on high-valuation growth stocks like tech. The key question is not whether tech rebounded, but the nature of the rebound. The market appears to be selectively repricing AI infrastructure plays rather than broadly chasing AI narratives. Gains were concentrated in chips, optical interconnects, memory, and domestic manufacturing—segments tied to tangible data center build-outs and capital expenditure. Intel's ~10% surge, fueled by a Trump statement about potential Apple collaboration, exemplifies this mixed dynamic. It reflects policy catalysts and domestic manufacturing sentiment more than confirmed fundamentals. Meanwhile, strong earnings from companies like Astera Labs (revenue up 93% YoY) provided concrete evidence of AI-driven demand in hardware. In essence, the rally represents a risk-premium recalibration. Lower Middle East tensions opened a valuation repair window, and capital flowed first into AI infrastructure segments with visible near-term revenue streams. The sustainability of this move hinges on upcoming Q2 earnings, specifically continued strength in cloud provider capex, AI server orders, and hardware company guidance. Policy hopes alone are insufficient; the cycle needs validation from orders and financials.

marsbitYesterday 04:18

After semiconductors lead the gains, are funds buying into AI orders or a macroeconomic rebound?

marsbitYesterday 04:18

Gate Research Institute: ETF Outflows Suppress Risk Appetite, Two-Way System Navigates Weak Market

Gate Institute Research Report: May 2026 Crypto Market Review & Strategy Analysis In May 2026, the crypto market shifted from an early-month rally to a mid-month correction, concluding with low-volatility consolidation. BTC, ETH, and SOL peaked in early May before declining. The primary market dynamic was a divergence between weakening spot ETF inflows and persistently high leverage-driven perpetual trading volume. A dual-direction moving average cluster breakout strategy outperformed, returning +2.11% for an equally-weighted BTC/ETH/SOL portfolio. This contrasted with a -6.09% return for buy-and-hold and -3.65% for a long-only version of the strategy. Profits were primarily generated from short positions on ETH and SOL during the mid-to-late May downtrend, demonstrating the month's suitability for two-way trend trading. Market structure evolved in three phases: an initial surge (May 1-6), a failure and reversal (starting May 7), and low-volatility compression (May 22 onward). While stablecoin supply remained stable, significant outflows from mainstream BTC and ETH ETFs created selling pressure. Concurrently, high correlation with the S&P 500 (~0.6) and stronger performance from AI equities like Nvidia highlighted crypto's position as a high-beta risk asset within a broader risk-budget framework, lacking independent momentum. The successful strategy employed a 4-hour chart system using a cluster of six moving averages (EMA6,12,24 & SMA6,12,24). A breakout signal was triggered after the cluster width compressed below 2.2%. Trades were managed with a 2.5% fixed stop-loss, a 3:1 Risk/Reward (7.5%) take-profit, and an EMA12-based exit rule to control losses from false breakouts. The strategy's low win rate but high payoff from a few large trend moves was effective in May's conditions. The report concludes that for June, a disciplined, bidirectional approach remains superior to subjective directional bets. The framework should adapt signal weighting based on BTC's position relative to key EMAs, ETF flow trends, and the relative strength of the Nasdaq, prioritizing risk management and trend preservation.

marsbit2 days ago 08:37

Gate Research Institute: ETF Outflows Suppress Risk Appetite, Two-Way System Navigates Weak Market

marsbit2 days ago 08:37

Dalio's Key Long-Read: How to Position in the Current Market Environment?

Ray Dalio's latest article provides a strategic framework for navigating the current investment landscape, characterized by a market heavily concentrated in AI and other revolutionary new technologies. He argues that investors should view their decisions like moves in a game (e.g., chess, poker), assessing the current "board" shaped by key forces: the AI-driven industry cycle, debt/money, politics, geopolitics, and nature. He warns that such technology-driven periods naturally involve high excitement, volatility, and uncertainty, with historical precedents showing most investors fail by concentrating bets on a few leading companies. The core choice is whether to (a) overweight the new tech sector, (b) match index weightings, or (c) diversify away from this concentration. Dalio strongly advocates for (c) – embracing diversification. He emphasizes that large, new tech companies face inherent risks: over/under-investment, external shocks, future disruption, and intense geopolitical competition (notably from China). His guiding principle is the "holy grail" of investing: a well-engineered portfolio of 15+ high-quality, uncorrelated, and risk-balanced bets. Mathematically, this significantly improves the risk-return ratio compared to any concentrated position. Given the current environment's high uncertainty and concentration, he believes no one can reliably predict outcomes to justify large, concentrated bets. Dalio also expresses a tactical view that future equity returns appear low, with his metrics suggesting potentially negative real returns over 5-10 years. He cautions against conflating excitement about a technology with the attractiveness of its stocks. The key takeaway is that investors should acknowledge the limits of their knowledge, avoid forced opinions, and prioritize a strategically diversified portfolio over risky, correlated concentrated bets.

marsbit06/18 03:17

Dalio's Key Long-Read: How to Position in the Current Market Environment?

marsbit06/18 03:17

Dalio's Major Article: How to Position in the Current Market Environment?

In the current market environment, dominated by excitement and uncertainty around revolutionary AI technology, Ray Dalio emphasizes the critical importance of diversification. He identifies key drivers—debt/monetary conditions, political/social issues, geopolitics, natural forces, and new tech—that create a highly concentrated and risky landscape, reminiscent of past technological cycles. Dalio argues that while AI presents immense opportunities, investing heavily in a few leading tech stocks carries significant risk due to their inherent volatility, competitive pressures, potential over/under-investment, and unforeseen disruptions. Historical precedent shows that most investors fail during such phases by making concentrated bets. His core principle is to embrace diversification—holding 15+ high-quality, uncorrelated, and risk-balanced investments. This mathematically improves the risk-return profile, allowing for better returns at the same risk level through engineering, compared to any single concentrated bet. He notes that current equity valuations suggest low-to-negative expected returns, and cautions against conflating excitement for the technology with the attractiveness of the stocks. Ultimately, Dalio advises that knowing when not to bet—acknowledging the limits of one's knowledge—is as vital as knowing when to bet. In an environment of high uncertainty and concentration, a well-constructed, diversified portfolio is the optimal strategy.

链捕手06/18 03:07

Dalio's Major Article: How to Position in the Current Market Environment?

链捕手06/18 03:07

Won't US Stocks Ever Fall Again? The 'Great Melt-up' Trap in the Era of High Debt

The article analyzes a popular theory circulating online that the U.S. stock market may be mathematically incapable of a true, sustained decline due to the country's massive and growing national debt. The argument suggests that the government's only path to managing this debt is through inflation and money printing, which would nominally lift asset prices like stocks, creating a perpetual "melt-up." The author places this idea within the historical context of market melt-ups, such as the dot-com bubble and Japan's asset bubble, where prices detach from fundamentals driven by momentum and FOMO. While acknowledging that a high-debt environment creates incentives for inflation, which is generally favorable for assets over cash, the article refutes key claims of the online theory. It clarifies that interest payments are not about to exceed GDP, that printing money is not the only option for the government, and that stocks do not reliably rise in lockstep with hyperinflation, citing historical examples from Germany, Zimbabwe, and Venezuela. The more probable outcome, according to the author, is a prolonged period of financial repression—moderate inflation above interest rates that slowly erodes debt and cash purchasing power, leading to nominally higher asset prices but potentially lower real returns. The core warning is that while long-term market trends may be upward, this does not eliminate the risk of significant interim crashes (30%, 40%, or more) or guarantee real wealth creation during inflationary times. The conclusion advises against betting one's entire financial future on a smooth, perpetually rising market narrative. Instead, it recommends a disciplined, diversified strategy involving productive assets (stocks, real estate, some gold, short-term bonds) and an adequate cash buffer to avoid forced selling during downturns. The key takeaway is to avoid extreme concentration in expensive assets and leverage, and not to base investment decisions on the hope that every market dip will inevitably be rescued.

marsbit06/17 10:11

Won't US Stocks Ever Fall Again? The 'Great Melt-up' Trap in the Era of High Debt

marsbit06/17 10:11

USDe Circumvents GENIUS Act Yield Ban: How Synthetic Dollars Became Crypto's Most Successful Gray Area?

In drafting the GENIUS Act, Congress prohibited licensed payment stablecoin issuers from paying interest or yield to holders—a rule that forced changes for USDC. However, Ethena's USDe, a rapidly growing "yield dollar," operates outside this regulation. USDe is a delta-neutral synthetic dollar backed by crypto collateral and hedged perpetual futures positions, generating yield from funding rates rather than traditional reserves. Because it doesn't fit the legal definition of a payment stablecoin, the GENIUS Act's restrictions do not apply. USDe's supply peaked above $14 billion in 2025, making it a top-three dollar-denominated crypto asset. Its model carries distinct risks, notably dependence on sustained positive funding rates and vulnerability during market deleveraging events, as seen in a brief depeg in October 2025. Regulatory approaches differ: Germany's BaFin banned USDe sales, viewing it as an unregistered security, while U.S. institutional capital, like Janus Henderson, has embraced it for treasury management. The GENIUS Act defined and regulated payment stablecoins but left synthetic dollars like USDe in a gray area. The unresolved question is whether future regulations will address this category or if yield will continue migrating to undefined spaces.

marsbit06/17 04:42

USDe Circumvents GENIUS Act Yield Ban: How Synthetic Dollars Became Crypto's Most Successful Gray Area?

marsbit06/17 04:42

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