National-Level Players Enter the Game: Deciphering the Escalation and Transformation of Crypto Crime in 2025

marsbit發佈於 2026-01-12更新於 2026-01-12

文章摘要

In 2025, state-level involvement in cryptocurrency-related activities has significantly increased, marking a new phase in the maturation of illicit on-chain ecosystems. Illicit addresses received at least $154 billion, a 162% year-over-year surge, largely driven by a 694% increase in transactions involving sanctioned entities. Even excluding these, 2025 was a record year for crypto crime, with growth across most illegal categories. Stablecoins now dominate illicit transactions, accounting for 84% of the total. Nation-state threats were particularly prominent: North Korean hackers stole $2 billion, including a historic $1.5 billion attack on Bybit. Russia launched the ruble-backed A7A5 token, which saw $93.3 billion in transactions within a year, facilitating large-scale sanctions evasion. Iranian proxy networks and China-based money laundering networks also expanded their operations, offering specialized services like fraud, terror financing, and sanctions avoidance. The rise of full-stack illicit infrastructure providers has enabled both criminals and state actors to conduct malicious activities more effectively. Moreover, the connection between crypto crime and real-world violence is growing, with increased use in human trafficking and violent coercion attacks. Despite these challenges, illicit activity still represents less than 1% of all traceable cryptocurrency transaction volume. Collaboration among law enforcement, regulators, and crypto businesses remains crucial t...

Authored by: Chainalysis

Compiled by: Chopper, Foresight News

In 2025, we observed a significant increase in state-level cryptocurrency-related activities, marking a new mature phase in the development of the illegal on-chain ecosystem. Over the past few years, the professionalization within the crypto crime sphere has deepened; illicit organizations have established large-scale on-chain infrastructure to support transnational criminal networks in procuring goods and services and laundering crypto crime proceeds. Against this backdrop, national governments have also begun to engage in this domain, leveraging these mature professional service providers on one hand, and building their own customized infrastructure on the other, to evade sanctions on a large scale. As governments tap into this illicit cryptocurrency supply chain originally built for cybercriminals and organized crime groups, government agencies, compliance, and security teams now face severe challenges in terms of consumer protection and national security.

What are the specific on-chain manifestations of these developments and other industry changes? Next, we will analyze them by combining data and macro trends.

According to our monitoring data, the scale of funds flowing into illicit cryptocurrency addresses in 2025 reached at least $154 billion, a sharp increase of 162% year-on-year. This growth was primarily driven by a surge in fund inflows to sanctioned entities, which soared by 694% year-on-year. However, even excluding the growth from sanctioned entities, 2025 still stands as a record year for crypto crime, as the vast majority of illicit activity categories saw growth.

Nevertheless, the scale of these illicit transactions still pales in comparison to the overall cryptocurrency economy, where legitimate transactions remain the mainstay. We estimate that although the proportion of illicit transactions in the total traceable cryptocurrency transaction volume in 2025 increased slightly compared to 2024, it remained below 1%.

As shown in the figure below, we also observed a continuing shift in the types of assets involved in crypto crime.

Over the past few years, stablecoins have gradually become the dominant asset for illicit transactions, currently accounting for 84% of the total illicit transaction volume. This trend aligns with the overall development characteristics of the cryptocurrency ecosystem: with advantages such as convenience for cross-border transfers, low volatility, and wide application scenarios, the share of stablecoins in the entire cryptocurrency transaction volume continues to expand.

The following sections will delve into the core trends that defined the crypto crime landscape in 2025, trends that will remain important to watch in the future.

National-Level Threats Drive Transaction Volume: North Korean Thefts Hit Record High, Russian A7A5 Token Facilitates Large-Scale Sanction Evasion

In 2025, stolen funds remained a major threat to the cryptocurrency ecosystem, with North Korean-linked hacker groups alone stealing $2 billion. This figure was primarily driven by several highly destructive large-scale hacking incidents, the most notable being the attack on the Bybit exchange in February. The incident involved nearly $1.5 billion, making it the largest digital asset theft in the history of cryptocurrency. Although North Korean hackers have long been a major force threatening the cryptocurrency ecosystem, the past year saw record highs both in the amount stolen and in the sophistication of their intrusion and money laundering methods.

Particularly noteworthy is that the scale of on-chain activities by national governments reached unprecedented levels in 2025. Russia introduced relevant legislation in 2024 to promote the use of cryptocurrency to evade sanctions, and this measure was formally implemented in February 2025. The country launched the ruble-backed token A7A5, which saw its transaction volume exceed $93.3 billion in less than a year since its launch.

Meanwhile, over the past few years, Iran's proxy networks have conducted money laundering, illegal oil trading, and procurement of weapons and bulk commodities on-chain through identifiable wallet addresses already on sanctions lists, with a cumulative transaction volume exceeding $2 billion. Despite multiple military strikes, Iran-backed terrorist groups such as Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis continue to use cryptocurrency on an unprecedented scale.

In 2025, Chinese money laundering networks emerged as a dominant force in the illicit on-chain ecosystem. These organizations operate with sophisticated models, significantly driving the diversification and professionalization of crypto crime, offering specialized criminal services including "money laundering services." Building on early illegal operation models like "Huiyin Guarantee," these networks have established full-service criminal enterprises, covering areas such as fraud, scams, laundering proceeds from North Korean hacker thefts, sanction evasion, and terrorism financing.

Full-Stack Illicit Infrastructure Providers Fuel Malicious Cyber Activities

While national governments are increasing their use of cryptocurrency, traditional cybercrime remains rampant: ransomware operators, child sexual abuse and cybercrime platforms, malware distributors, scammers, and illicit marketplaces still rely on vast support networks to maintain operations. Illicit actors and national governments are increasingly dependent on full-stack on-chain infrastructure providers, including domain registrars, secure and reliable hosting services, and other technical infrastructure that can be used for malicious cyber activities.

These infrastructure providers have evolved into comprehensive infrastructure platforms capable of resisting platform takedowns, abuse complaints, and sanction enforcement. As the scale of these services continues to expand, they are likely to become a key force driving economic crime and state-backed entities to broaden the scope of their malicious cyber activities.

Growing Correlation Between Cryptocurrency and Violent Crime

In the perception of many, crypto crime is still confined to the virtual world. The masterminds are merely anonymous figures hiding behind keyboards, not translating into real-world threats. But in reality, the link between on-chain activities and violent crime is deepening. Human trafficking rings are increasingly using cryptocurrency for transactions; at the same time, disturbingly, there has been a significant rise in cases of violent coercion attacks, where criminals use violence to force victims to transfer crypto assets, and such assaults often occur during peak cryptocurrency price periods.

Looking ahead, collaboration between law enforcement agencies, regulatory bodies, and cryptocurrency companies will be key to addressing these complex, evolving, and interconnected threats. Although the proportion of illicit transactions within legitimate cryptocurrency trading volume remains limited, maintaining the integrity and security of the cryptocurrency ecosystem has never been more important.

相關問答

QWhat was the total value of illicit cryptocurrency transactions in 2025, and what was the primary driver of this growth?

AThe total value of illicit cryptocurrency transactions in 2025 reached at least $154 billion, a 162% year-over-year increase. This growth was primarily driven by a massive 694% surge in transaction volume from sanctioned entities.

QWhich asset type has become the dominant medium for illicit transactions and what percentage of the total illicit volume does it represent?

AStablecoins have become the dominant asset for illicit transactions, representing 84% of the total illicit transaction volume.

QWhat significant role did nation-states play in the 2025 crypto crime landscape, according to the article?

ANation-states played a significant role, with activities reaching unprecedented levels. This included North Korean hackers stealing a record $2 billion, Russia launching the A7A5 token to facilitate large-scale sanctions evasion (with nearly $93.3 billion in volume), and Iran's proxy networks laundering over $2 billion for activities like illegal oil trading and weapons procurement.

QWhat new concerning trend is emerging regarding the connection between cryptocurrency and real-world violence?

AA concerning trend is the increasing connection between on-chain activity and violent crime. This includes human trafficking syndicates using crypto for transactions and a significant rise in violent coercion attacks, where victims are physically forced to transfer crypto assets, often during periods of peak cryptocurrency prices.

QWhat is the role of 'full-stack illicit infrastructure providers' in the current crypto crime ecosystem?

AFull-stack illicit infrastructure providers offer comprehensive services to both criminals and nation-states. They have evolved into resilient platforms that can withstand takedowns, abuse complaints, and sanctions enforcement. Their services include domain registration, secure hosting, and other technical infrastructure for malicious cyber activity, making them a critical force in enabling economic crime and state-sponsored operations.

你可能也喜歡

TradeXYZ脱离Hyperliquid单飞的可能性有多高

**TradeXYZ脱离Hyperliquid单飞的可能性分析** 随着TradeXYZ业务规模持续扩大,并长期占据Hyperliquid HIP-3市场超过90%的份额,近期社区对其是否可能脱离Hyperliquid并独立搭建交易平台的讨论升温。 **自立门户的驱动力** TradeXYZ已借助Hyperliquid成长为RWA永续合约市场的巨擘,其贡献的交易量占Hyperliquid总交易量70%以上。若选择自立门户,核心商业驱动力可能是为了**捕获全部底层交易手续费**。目前,TradeXYZ与Hyperliquid的交易费用分成固定为50/50,这意味着近一半收入归属于Hyperliquid。对于一个创造超4000亿美元交易量的项目而言,调整分成比例或独立运营以获取全部收益,具有显著吸引力。行业历史上也存在类似案例,如Uniswap、dYdX等项目在壮大后选择构建自有基础设施。 **制约与风险** 然而,TradeXYZ独立面临多重制约: 1. **性能挑战**:Hyperliquid提供了强大的底层技术(HyperCore),管理着撮合、清算等核心功能。自建同等性能的基础设施短期内难以实现,可能影响产品体验和市场叙事。 2. **渠道依赖**:尽管TradeXYZ拥有自己的交易前端,但大部分用户仍习惯通过Hyperliquid前端访问其流动性市场。Hyperliquid是其主要的分发渠道,失去渠道支持的价值难以估量。 3. **合作关系与信任**:TradeXYZ创始人Shoku是Hyperliquid的早期支持者,双方团队关系密切,存在深厚的信任基础。“背刺”合作方可能引发舆论争议,损害信誉。 **双输的潜在结局** 分析指出,若TradeXYZ真的选择分裂,很可能导致**双输局面**: * 对Hyperliquid而言,将失去最大的增长点和叙事基础(RWA合约龙头地位),总交易量可能骤降超50%,其代币HYPE估值或受重创。 * 对TradeXYZ而言,将面临从零开始构建基础设施和培养用户习惯的挑战,同时可能因竞争关系失去原有渠道优势,并在激烈的市场中被其他竞争者趁虚而入。 **结论** 综合来看,虽然TradeXYZ市场影响力日益增强,拥有议价能力,但考虑到技术依赖、渠道价值、双方信任关系以及可能引发的双输竞争,**其脱离Hyperliquid自立门户的可能性较低,也并非理智选择**。更可能的发展路径是在维持现有合作集成优势的基础上,协商更有利的条款,并逐步将发展重点向自身品牌和用户生态建设倾斜。

marsbit5 分鐘前

TradeXYZ脱离Hyperliquid单飞的可能性有多高

marsbit5 分鐘前

从韩国到美国:多亏了AI,蓝领越来越吃香了

人工智能正在重塑劳动力市场,传统四年制大学学位的吸引力下降,而电工、焊工等技术型蓝领职业的需求和薪酬显著上升。数据显示,美国职业学校收入大幅增长,同时AI导致的白领裁员创下新高。供需两端变化推动年轻人重新规划职业路径,调查显示多数Z世代认为蓝领工作在AI时代更具就业保障。 职业教育热度近半年急剧攀升,年轻人主动寻求不易被AI替代且有实际用工需求的职业,技术岗位招聘甚至比程序员更困难。专家指出,这既是经济计算,也源于对高额学位债务和纯屏幕工作的反思。技术职业薪资中位数已追平或超越许多需要学位的工作,且提供边学边赚的学徒路径及创业可能。韩国半导体高中毕业生就业率极高,进入三星等企业可获得丰厚薪酬。 美国面临结构性技术工人短缺:大量婴儿潮一代即将退休,而新一代劳动力数量不足,缺口达数百万。同时,数据中心等基建扩张推高了相关技术工种需求。为此,摩根大通、Meta等企业正投资巨额资金开展培训项目。 尽管市场信号明确,但社会对职业教育的传统偏见仍构成“认知差距”。产业界需主动推广,让公众认识到技术职业不仅收入稳定,还是通向创业的快速路径,以真正缓解人才短缺。

marsbit1 小時前

从韩国到美国:多亏了AI,蓝领越来越吃香了

marsbit1 小時前

交易

現貨
活动图片