Bitcoin’s Correlation with Traditional Markets and Gold Diminishes: Here’s Why

zycrypto發佈於 2023-07-10更新於 2023-07-10

文章摘要

The correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and gold, as well as the traditional market continues to be a burning issue. z

The correlation between Bitcoin (BTC) and gold, as well as the traditional market continues to be a burning issue.

According to IntoTheBlock, a shift is being witnessed because the connection between BTC and the traditional market continues to decline.

The market insight provider stated, “Bitcoin Correlation Shift: A month ago, BTC demonstrated an inverse correlation with the stock market and a minor positive link with Gold. Fast forward to today, it’s intriguing to see BTC showing no connection with traditional markets & a negative correlation with gold.”

Source:IntoTheBlock

Glassnode, a leading on-chain metrics provider, shared similar sentiments and acknowledged that Bitcoin’s price action was decoupling from both gold and silver. This was because its 30-day correlation with gold stood at lows of -0.78, whereas that of silver hit -0.9.

Source: Glassnode

What Does the Declining Correlation Mean?

The decoupling of BTC from the stock and traditional market, as well as its negative connection with gold is a welcome move because the leading cryptocurrency is showcasing itself as a different asset class. This might be the case as more big players continue penetrating the Bitcoin market.

Notably, correlation illustrates the tendency of two items to move in a similar or opposite direction after a given period of time.

The comparison between gold and BTC has gained steam over the years, especially when it comes to the issue of being a hedge against inflation or store of value. Bitcoin’s status as an alternative to gold continues to be tested based on its decentralized nature and finite supply.

Previously, Bitcoin showed a strong correlation with the stock market. This was because whenever the stock market experienced a sharp sell-off, BTC followed suit, especially during periods of economic uncertainty, as showcased during the peak of the pandemic in 2020.

Meanwhile, a research report by Bernstein acknowledged that BTC was a ‘faster horse’ than gold. This was after the top cryptocurrency breached the psychological price of $30K for the first time in April since June 2022.

你可能也喜歡

比特币价格逼近10万美元关口:市场预测与华尔街观点

比特币价格正逼近10万美元大关,市场预测平台的数据显示交易员对此持谨慎乐观态度。在Polymarket上,关于比特币在2026年底前达到特定价格的概率合约吸引了近5970万美元的交易量。目前比特币交易价格高于7.5万美元,交易员评估其达到8.5万美元的概率为69%,达到9万美元的概率为49%。达到10万、11万和12万美元的概率分别为29%、20%和13%,而达到15万美元的概率仅为4%,更高目标如25万至100万美元的概率则更低至1-2%。 市场活动并非单边看涨。交易员同样为价格下跌的可能性下注,认为比特币跌至7万、6.5万、6万、5万和4万美元的概率分别为67%、44%、29%、17%和8%。这形成了一个广泛的多空博弈场。另一个关于比特币何时达到10万美元的独立合约显示,交易员认为在2026年底、2027年一季度末、二季度末及全年达到该目标的概率分别为34%、48%、60%和81%。 在另一预测平台Kalshi上,针对比特币达到10万美元的合约交易额约为1150万美元,概率预测显示在10月、12月及2027年1月前达到的概率分别为7%、22%和29%。另一个合约关注比特币是否会先跌至5万美元而非涨至10万美元,目前交易员认为“先到5万”的概率约为21%。至于达到15万美元的目标,交易员评估在2027年1月前实现的概率仅为6%。 与此形成对比的是华尔街机构伯恩斯坦的乐观预测。其分析师预计比特币将在今年底回升至约12.5万美元,2027年中达到15万美元的新高,并最终在2029年底达到约30万美元的周期峰值。其论点基于机构持有、ETF需求、比特币供应上限以及宏观经济背景。然而,预测市场的投机者总体上预期路径将更为曲折,近期阻力位在8.5万、9万和10万美元,而7万和6万美元则是交易员积极对冲的关键支撑位。

cryptonews.ru7 分鐘前

比特币价格逼近10万美元关口:市场预测与华尔街观点

cryptonews.ru7 分鐘前

交易

現貨
活动图片