[Key interpretation] Whale sold BTC for a profit of $100 million, and eth financing interest rate fell below 0

Huobi发布于2022-08-29更新于2022-08-30

文章摘要

BTC prices fell at a faster pace, ETH was dumped rapidly, and the financing interest rate dropped significantly.

1. BTC fell for two consecutive weeks

The weekly K-line chart of BTC shows that with the continuous expansion of the decline for two consecutive weeks, the trading volume has continued to have a clear amplification signal, indicating that BTC has a large short-term selling pressure and is seeking a new supporting price. At the point, the BTC in the early stage can reach as low as US $17622, while the support line corresponding to the typical Fibonacci 78.6% is at US $17246. Therefore, even if BTC really falls below US $17622, it may not effectively fall below US $17246. However, judging from the trend of price operation, the direction of expanding the decline in the near future is intensified.

2. Giant whale clearance 5000 BTC

Before the BTC price fell, the trend of BTC giant whale has attracted the attention of investors. In fact, even when the BTC reached the low level within the year, the long-term cash holding giant whale still made transfers or transactions. At 16:31 on August 28, the short-term clearing of Jujing with 5000 coins was a transfer, and all BTCs in the account were transferred out. The giant whale has a long holding time. It has held BTC since the end of 2013. Until the transfer is completed, there has never been any sign of how to transfer out. Up to

From the BTC price performance after the transfer out of BTC, BTC soon reached the short-term low of $19520. After the range decline expanded, the Bollinger line expansion trend continued. BTC is below the middle rail of the brin line, and there are obvious signs of further expansion of the decline.

3. Eth remains weak

The contraction of eth trading volume began on July 30, and the trading volume in the next range remained low, which was significantly lower than the trading volume performance from June 11 to July 29. According to this judgment, ETH signs into the contraction adjustment stage, and the market is in a relatively weak downward trend. In the same period, after the ETH price retreated from the middle rail of the brin line, it is strengthening the decline performance on the basis of the obvious expansion of the decline. Therefore, it is expected that a new low at the point will be possible.

4. Eth financing interest rate significantly retreated

The financing interest rate of eth has remained above 0 for a long time, reaching 0.012 to 0.024 in the last four months. Since August 22, the financing interest rate has started to decline significantly, with a minimum of 0.026. Based on this, it is judged that investors have actively sold eth, which has significantly reduced the financing interest rate to below 0. At the third stage, the acquisition of eth is relatively easy, especially for investors who are prepared to buy at a low price. Therefore, when dealing with market fluctuations, we should mainly buy at a low price in the near future.

你可能也喜欢

AI 成绩单背后,藏着一位华人“出题人”

AI领域重要的基准评测MMLU-Pro、MMMU、MMMU-Pro背后,都站着同一位“出题人”——加拿大滑铁卢大学助理教授陈文虎。 随着大语言模型能力快速提升,旧的评测基准如MMLU逐渐“失灵”,顶尖模型得分趋近满分,难以区分高下。为此,陈文虎团队于2024年推出MMLU-Pro。它通过将选项扩至10个、增加推理题比例、剔除简单题等方式,使模型准确率相较旧基准显著下降16%-33%,成绩波动更小,有效拉开了模型间的真实差距。 在多模态评测方面,陈文虎团队推出的MMMU基准包含1.15万道需结合图像与专业知识的复杂题目,即便是当时最强的GPT-4V和Gemini Ultra准确率也未超过60%。后续的MMMU-Pro则进一步堵住模型仅凭文本猜答案的漏洞,强制其进行真正的多模态理解。 陈文虎的研究方向长期聚焦于复杂信息理解与推理。他曾于谷歌DeepMind参与Gemini多模态模型的研发与评估工作,这让他深谙模型能力增长路径与评估盲区。他创立的“老虎实验室”不仅做评测,也研发视频理解与生成等模型,这种“既做题也出题”的经历,使其能更精准地设计出触及模型能力边界的评估体系。 如今,陈文虎已加入Meta超级智能实验室,继续专注于多模态预训练与评估工作。他的故事反映了在AI浪潮中,众多华人研究者正深度参与并塑造着行业发展的核心基础工作。

marsbit1小时前

AI 成绩单背后,藏着一位华人“出题人”

marsbit1小时前

Alliance 联创致创业者的一封信:写在 Cursor 卖出 600 亿美元之际

作者Imran以Cursor以600亿美元被收购为引,致信创业者,探讨如何发现并抓住创业机遇。 文章指出,许多创业者在看到成功案例后,因感觉市场饱和而放弃。真正的机会在于识别长期的技术趋势转变,并基于对未来的非共识信念,在市场成熟前默默构建。Cursor、Stripe、Figma、Shopify等公司均遵循此模式:在现有解决方案(如PayPal、Adobe、亚马逊)验证市场后,围绕新洞察、新技术或变化的用户需求进行重构。 创业者应首先找准自己在技术周期中的位置:早期入场者(如Coinbase、Cursor)应致力于让新技术对重度用户更易用;后期入场者则需寻找先行者忽视的“阴面”机会。 积累独特见解至关重要。创业者需深度沉浸于目标市场,体验所有竞品,与用户深入交流,从而发现未被满足的“火烧眉毛”般的痛点或能带来十倍提升的机会。产品MVP应极其聚焦,提供用户无法拒绝的转换理由,并尽可能降低用户的转换成本。 分发渠道常被低估,却是关键护城河。创业者需打造自己的分发引擎,通过无法规模化的“笨功夫”手动获取早期用户,实现渠道与市场的契合。 最后,成功离不开坚韧与适应力。伟大公司的创始人并非更聪明,而是能在漫长而艰难的过程中坚持足够久,让洞察产生复利。文章总结框架为:寻找技术周期更迭、培养独特洞察、痴迷市场、与客户交流、找到核心痛点、打造简单切入点、赢得分发渠道,并在困难时永不放弃。

链捕手2小时前

Alliance 联创致创业者的一封信:写在 Cursor 卖出 600 亿美元之际

链捕手2小时前

交易

现货
合约
活动图片