Flippening Forewarning? Ether Options Overtake Bitcoin As The Top Crypto To Trade

newsbtc发布于2022-08-18更新于2022-08-18

文章摘要

Ether options have been trading for a much shorter time compared to Bitcoin options, but the former has done an impressive job catching up with its predecessor. Bitcoin had dominated...

Ether options have been trading for a much shorter time compared to Bitcoin options, but the former has done an impressive job catching up with its predecessor. Bitcoin had dominated as the leading crypto options asset in the space, with billions pouring into it. However, the tide had begun to turn in the 3rd quarter of 2022 when an important update about the Ethereum Merge triggered a surge in interest for Ether options.

Ether Options Surpass Bitcoin

Ether options debuted in the market back in January 2020, and it has enjoyed steady growth since then. However, no matter how much Ether options had grown, bitcoin options remained higher with open interest in crypto pouring into the pioneer cryptocurrency. Then in July 2022, Ethereum developers made an announcement regarding the network’s upgrade to a proof of stake mechanism, and this would change the game completely.

In July, interest in Ether options had ballooned, leading to a meteoric rise. It had packed at a new all-time high of $8.1 billion, which was more than 50% high than bitcoin at the time, with an open interest of $5.4 billion. From there until the present day, Ether options remain on an impressive uptrend, continuing to surpass bitcoin at each turn.

ether options surpass bitcoin options

Public miners sell more BTC than they produced | Source: Arcane Research

The rise puts Ether options trailing at 100% recovery compared to bitcoin, which continues to trail at 70%. It is the first time ever that the open interest in Ethereum has grown larger than that of bitcoin, and it is all thanks to the much-anticipated Ethereum Merge.

Is The Flippening Imminent?

The “flippening” is a word that has come to mean Ether surpassing bitcoin in value. Mostly, this school of thought has emerged following the fact that the performance of the price of ETH has surpassed that of BTC on a year-to-year basis. Hence, some investors expect the digital asset to flip bitcoin at some point to become more valuable.

There is no set timeline for when the flippening is expected to happen. However, each time Ether overtakes Bitcoin on any metric, the flippening debates begin. The same has been the case with the ETH options growing larger than BTC.

Ethereum price chart from TradingView.com

ETH declines to low $1,800 | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

Presently, the price of BTC is still more than 10x that of ETH. So if there is going to be a flippening, then ETH would have to grow 1,000% while the price of BTC remains unmoved. This is unlikely to happen, given that the market actually moves with the price of BTC.

However, as the Merge draws closer and what is referred to as a “Triple halvening” is imminent, ETH will likely further close the gap between it and bitcoin. This event would see less supply of ETH in the market, giving it a genuinely deflationary model to be able to rival bitcoin’s limited supply.

你可能也喜欢

CPU杀回牌桌,一场1700亿美元的“上位”大戏开启

英伟达在2026年台北电脑展上首次发布独立CPU产品线Vera CPU,标志着其业务重心从GPU向更广阔的计算领域扩展。CEO黄仁勋指出,在AI智能体时代,CPU已成为数据中心性能的关键瓶颈。与此同时,AMD将服务器CPU市场规模预测大幅上调至1200亿美元以上,行业预测其潜在市场规模将在2030年达到约1700亿美元。 市场格局正在发生变化。2026年一季度,AMD在服务器CPU收入份额上逼近英特尔,显示出高核数产品的强大溢价能力。分析指出,AI发展正从训练转向推理和智能体阶段,后者需要频繁进行复杂控制流、工具调用和数据处理,这些任务严重依赖CPU而非GPU。在智能体任务中,GPU利用率可能低于50%,而CPU工作量占比可达七成以上。这导致CPU与GPU的配比从过去的1:8显著收敛至1:4甚至1:1。 需求变化直接推动了十多年来首次大规模涨价,英特尔和AMD服务器CPU价格普遍上涨10%-15%,且出现产能紧张。市场分化为配合GPU的高核数CPU和用于智能体任务编排的中核数批量CPU两类需求。 英伟达基于ARM架构的Vera CPU入局,进一步凸显了CPU的战略地位。这对中国CPU产业链既是机遇也是挑战。国产CPU厂商如海光信息、华为鲲鹏等,既受益于全球AI需求增长,也面临信创政策带来的国产替代窗口期。行业共识是,AI大规模落地的关键已从单芯片性能转向CPU与GPU的协同能力。

marsbit10小时前

CPU杀回牌桌,一场1700亿美元的“上位”大戏开启

marsbit10小时前

TechFlow 情报局:AMD AI 总监公开批评 Claude Code"变得更笨更懒",特朗普称霍尔木兹将全面停火但海峡仍有 80 枚水雷待清

**科技与地缘动态摘要** **AI与芯片领域** * **技术竞争与审查**:韩国SK Telecom因与Anthropic的合作面临美国出口管制审查。与此同时,中国Z.AI发布了不依赖英伟达芯片、性能对标Claude Opus的GLM-5.2大模型,引发关于技术围堵效果的讨论。 * **安全与伦理问题**:Google Gemini被曝在诈骗场景中提供误导建议,引发AI安全担忧。GitHub上发现上万个分发木马的仓库,开源供应链安全敲响警钟。 * **行业动态**:亚马逊正洽谈对外出售其自研AI芯片,意图进军市场。苹果据悉将为特殊版iPhone独享台积电最新制程工艺。0G Labs宣布其链上AI推理总量突破重要里程碑。 * **争议与监管**:AMD AI总监公开批评Claude Code性能下降。多名亚马逊工程师因批评公司AI数据中心扩张的环境影响遭内部调查。微软、亚马逊云服务或面临欧盟严厉反垄断审查。 **加密/Web3动态** * 韩国交易所Bithumb上线ReProtocol (RE)交易对,而Upbit则移除了KernelDAO (KERNEL)交易对。 **地缘与财经** * **霍尔木兹海峡局势**:尽管美伊达成协议,但霍尔木兹海峡主航道仍有约80枚水雷未清除,导致近8000万桶满载石油的油轮滞留,等待“安全信号”。伊朗取消了赴瑞士外交行程,和谈前景不明。特朗普称协议是伊朗“无条件投降”,并宣称总统拥有无限权力。 * **美股表现**:美股半导体板块大涨,英特尔因与苹果合作传闻暴涨10.6%,而SpaceX股价下跌3.5%。 **核心观察** 当前局势呈现鲜明对比:地缘政治达成临时“和平”,但实际风险(水雷)与不确定性(伊朗行程取消)犹存,导致经济活动(油轮通航)停滞。与此同时,科技领域的竞争与重构却在加速进行,从芯片自主研发、AI模型突破到供应链安全,科技公司正以另一种方式重塑全球格局。

marsbit10小时前

TechFlow 情报局:AMD AI 总监公开批评 Claude Code"变得更笨更懒",特朗普称霍尔木兹将全面停火但海峡仍有 80 枚水雷待清

marsbit10小时前

交易

现货
合约
活动图片