U.S. Government Shutdown Difficult, as Both Parties Have Already Calculated the Costs
The U.S. government faces a shutdown risk by January 30 if a funding bill isn't passed, but prediction markets show the probability dropping to 42%, down from 80%. The deadlock stems from partisan disputes over funding for the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), particularly ICE enforcement actions. Democrats seek restrictions after a fatal incident in Minnesota, while Republicans defend ICE's role.
Both parties are maneuvering ahead of midterm elections, where control of Congress is at stake. A shutdown could harm the ruling party’s image, making compromise likely. A temporary funding extension is expected to avoid a full shutdown, with negotiations focusing on separating DHS funding from other bills. Reports indicate ongoing talks between Trump and Democratic leaders to prevent a disruption.
Odaily星球日报01/29 05:56
