# Пов'язані статті щодо FOMC

Центр новин HTX надає останні статті та поглиблений аналіз на тему "FOMC", що охоплює ринкові тренди, оновлення проєктів, технологічні розробки та регуляторну політику в криптоіндустрії.

Breaking News: Full Detailed Rationale and Explanation of the Fed's Interest Rate Decision Released!

As expected, the Federal Reserve kept its key interest rate unchanged at 3.50-3.75 percent, marking the fifth consecutive meeting without a rate change. The Federal Open Market Committee's (FOMC) decision passed with a 9-3 majority vote. Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, and Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan dissented, voting in favor of a 25 basis point rate hike. This was the first meeting since 2016 where three regional Fed presidents voted against holding rates steady, signaling growing influence among members advocating for tighter monetary policy to combat inflation. The Fed's statement noted that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace despite high uncertainty, partly due to Middle East conflicts. It highlighted that growth in productivity and investment remained strong, employment gains have aligned with labor force growth, and the unemployment rate has remained relatively stable. The Fed also committed to maintaining ample reserves in the banking system. The statement emphasized that inflation remains above the Fed's 2% target. It noted that supply shocks, including in the energy sector, are adding to inflationary pressures. The Committee stated it will continue to closely monitor incoming data and risks in pursuit of its price stability goal. The dissenting members argued that the target range for the federal funds rate should have been increased by 25 basis points.

cryptonews.ru1 год тому

Breaking News: Full Detailed Rationale and Explanation of the Fed's Interest Rate Decision Released!

cryptonews.ru1 год тому

The Fed's Interest Rate Decision is Inevitable! Former Senior Fed Advisor Reveals His Forecast for Today!

Former Federal Reserve senior advisor John Faust stated he does not expect the Fed to raise interest rates at the FOMC meeting concluding today. He argued the Fed will not try to win credibility by deliberately surprising markets. In his assessment, Faust noted that Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh has used strong rhetoric on restoring price stability but largely failed to share details on how he plans to achieve it. This information gap has led to various market scenarios. However, Faust believes the reality is simpler: Warsh positions himself as a pragmatic, tough-minded policymaker, placing high importance on monetary policy communication while showing flexibility regarding balance sheet reduction. Faust compared Warsh's approach to the "refined intuitive approach" used by former Chairman Alan Greenspan. Faust stated that, unlike strict policy rules, this approach does not yield clear-cut answers on rate decisions. In current conditions, both a 25-basis-point hike and waiting for the next meeting could be reasonably justified. Aligning with market expectations, Faust predicts the Fed will choose to wait today. He believes the benefit of waiting outweighs the negatives, partly because he agrees that deliberately surprising markets to boost credibility is not a valid factor. Faust also argued there is no substantial macroeconomic difference between hiking today and holding steady, as a 25-basis-point move over eight weeks alone is not economically decisive. He emphasized that the important aspect will not be the decision itself, but how it is explained to markets. Warsh has so far advocated forward-looking policy without clear guidance on economic forecasts or the likely rate path. Faust warned that if the Fed does not explicitly state grounds for a hike and opts to wait for more data, markets may misinterpret the decision's meaning. Regardless of today's outcome, how Warsh explains the policy decisions at the meeting and press conference may be the most critical information for investors.

cryptonews.ru2 год тому

The Fed's Interest Rate Decision is Inevitable! Former Senior Fed Advisor Reveals His Forecast for Today!

cryptonews.ru2 год тому

Bitcoin's $66K Rebound Meets Warsh Moment: This Week's FOMC is the Crypto Market's Baton

Bitcoin Briefly Rebounded to $66,9K, Retreats as Focus Shifts to Fed's FOMC Meeting Bitcoin touched a high of $66,910 last Tuesday but later retreated, with its price movement closely tied to shifting expectations around the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy decision. The market's attention is firmly on the July FOMC meeting, Chair Warsh's second, where the statement and press conference will set the tone for the September path. CME FedWatch indicates a ~64% probability rates remain unchanged. Institutional flows were mixed. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw their longest inflow streak since May end with net outflows later in the week, while spot Ethereum ETFs recorded a third consecutive week of net inflows. Over 2.52 million ETH is queued for staking, signaling strong structural demand for yield-bearing assets. Corporate holdings showed stability: Tesla maintained its 11,509 BTC position (recording an unrealized loss), while Sarcity (formerly MicroStrategy) held its 843,775 BTC but paused new purchases, boosting its cash reserves. Morgan Stanley filed for spot Ethereum and Solana staking ETFs with a low 0.14% fee, highlighting the growing competition in crypto yield products. The overarching narrative is one of cross-market linkage: crypto prices are increasingly driven by macro signals, with the Fed's guidance acting as a primary short-term directional catalyst.

marsbit8 год тому

Bitcoin's $66K Rebound Meets Warsh Moment: This Week's FOMC is the Crypto Market's Baton

marsbit8 год тому

To Hike or Not Tonight: Economists Unanimous on 'No', Markets Price in a 30% Chance

Federal funds futures are repricing ahead of the July FOMC decision, as traders pay a higher premium for the risk of a surprise rate hike or more hawkish signals. This contrasts with economists, where a Reuters survey of 104 analysts unanimously expects rates to remain unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, with 78 foreseeing no change through year-end. Yet, futures markets have priced in about a 30% probability of a 25-basis-point hike. The core debate, especially under new Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, centers on how the Fed will respond to the oil price shock from Middle East tensions. The market is not necessarily predicting a hike tonight but is hedging against two tail risks: an immediate rate increase, or a hold combined with communication that seriously opens the door for a September hike. This hedging activity has driven up open interest in Fed funds futures. Analysts are divided on how to weight the oil price surge in the Fed's reaction function. Hawkish voices (e.g., BofA) worry that completely dismissing the price pressure could challenge the Fed's inflation credibility in Warsh's first major test. Dovish views (e.g., Citi) argue the shock is primarily supply-driven and that overreacting with rate hikes could unnecessarily hurt growth, unless clear signs of secondary inflation emerge. Warsh's new tenure amplifies policy path uncertainty, as markets lack a stable baseline for his communication style. This environment forces traders to price in a wider range of outcomes, explaining the divergence between unanimous economist forecasts and market hedging. The key focus will be on Warsh's post-meeting commentary. If he downplays the oil shock and stresses anchored long-term expectations, hawkish pricing may recede. If he emphasizes the risk of broader price spillovers and prioritizes returning to 2% inflation, the market will interpret this as reopening the door for a September hike. This would sustain support for the USD, keep pressure on JPY (testing intervention thresholds), and challenge risk assets like stocks and crypto through higher discount rates and weaker sentiment. The baseline remains no action in July, but the communication will determine how far this repricing extends.

marsbit16 год тому

To Hike or Not Tonight: Economists Unanimous on 'No', Markets Price in a 30% Chance

marsbit16 год тому

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