# Пов'язані статті щодо Decline

Центр новин HTX надає останні статті та поглиблений аналіз на тему "Decline", що охоплює ринкові тренди, оновлення проєктів, технологічні розробки та регуляторну політику в криптоіндустрії.

Is the Sharp Decline Over? Let the Data Speak

**Has the Sharp Decline Ended? Let Data Speak** Bitcoin's recent significant drop has placed short sellers in a precarious position. Three concurrent pressures—sustained outflows from ETFs, miners offloading coins to exchanges, and short-term holders capitulating—pushed the price near $63k. The asset fell 13% this week and 21% this month, roughly halving from its all-time high. A critical data point is the extremely crowded short positioning, with a short-to-long ratio reaching 8:1, representing nearly $100 billion in short interest overhead. This creates conditions for a potential short squeeze if selling pressure merely pauses, similar to the event in November 2022 which triggered a 24% rally. The selling pressures are real: spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen a record $5.4 billion outflow over 20 days. Short-term holders moved 53k loss-held BTC to exchanges in a day, and miners sent 24k BTC to Binance, a six-month high. Capital is also rotating towards AI and tech stocks like SpaceX, with $400 billion invested in AI infrastructure recently. However, on-chain data shows accumulation by long-term holders, who added 200k BTC in a month, and institutions/miners have absorbed 1.24 million BTC since 2023. This indicates strong buying beneath the surface. Key levels to watch are the $67k-$70k zone (2021 high & 2024 breakout point). A swift recovery above it suggests a leverage washout; failure could test $60k-$55k. The direction also hinges on ETF flow reversal. Currently, the S&P 500 hits new highs driven by AI, while Bitcoin and DeFi (TVL down from $173b to $73.9b) lag. The most probable path is a grinding basing process between $60k-$58k with continued ETF outflows. A less likely but explosive scenario involves a sudden flow reversal, a surge above $70k triggering a short squeeze, and a rally back above $76k. The immediate trigger depends on when the relentless selling pauses. A final cautionary note questions Bitcoin's correlation: if the high-flying U.S. stock market corrects, will Bitcoin once again miss the rally but not the decline?

foresightnews_api06/05 05:58

Is the Sharp Decline Over? Let the Data Speak

foresightnews_api06/05 05:58

Ray Dalio's Latest Interview: Can the U.S. Still Escape the Cycle of Decline?

In a comprehensive interview, Ray Dalio, founder of Bridgewater Associates, analyzes whether the US can escape its historical "great cycle" of decline. He argues the nation faces a confluence of structural pressures, not a single crisis. Key points include: 1. **The Debt Cycle:** Unsustainable fiscal deficits and rising debt-to-income ratios are eroding national capacity, constraining spending on defense, welfare, and global commitments. 2. **Internal Political & Social Conflict:** Deep wealth gaps and value differences fuel intense political polarization. Addressing deficits becomes a zero-sum political battle over "who pays and who benefits," making consensus nearly impossible. 3. **Erosion of the World Order:** The post-1945 US-led, rules-based international system is breaking down, reverting to a state of great-power competition and conflict where raw power, not multilateral rules, resolves disputes. 4. **Currency & Safe Assets:** While the Chinese yuan may gain use as a medium of exchange, Dalio doubts it will become a primary global store of wealth. In an era of fiat currency debasement, assets like gold are regaining prominence as safe havens. 5. **AI's Dual Role:** Artificial Intelligence could boost productivity and help manage debt, but it also risks exacerbating wealth inequality, job displacement, and geopolitical tensions. Dalio concludes the US is in a period of increasing disorder, with debt, domestic strife, and international realignments converging. The critical factors for national recovery are foundational: improving education and civic素养, fostering social cohesion and productivity, and avoiding war—both civil and international. The path forward depends less on markets and more on these fundamental societal choices.

marsbit05/08 04:32

Ray Dalio's Latest Interview: Can the U.S. Still Escape the Cycle of Decline?

marsbit05/08 04:32

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