# Пов'язані статті щодо CME

Центр новин HTX надає останні статті та поглиблений аналіз на тему "CME", що охоплює ринкові тренди, оновлення проєктів, технологічні розробки та регуляторну політику в криптоіндустрії.

Bitcoin Expert Commentary Ahead of Fed Decision: 'Everything Will Be Different'

Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer, Matt Hougan, suggests that the Federal Reserve's upcoming interest rate decisions may have a less decisive impact on Bitcoin's price over the next five years compared to the past. He argues that future interest rate fluctuations are likely to be more limited in scale. Historically, Bitcoin experienced rate swings measured in full percentage points (e.g., 0% to 5%). In contrast, current market expectations, per CME data, point to a total increase of around 50 basis points over the next year. Hougan believes such smaller moves will have a more muted effect on Bitcoin. He further speculates that the Fed, under potential future leadership, might adopt a policy of smaller, gradual adjustments akin to the mid-1990s Greenspan era, rather than the large-scale shifts seen more recently. While interest rates will remain relevant, their market influence is expected to diminish. Other factors like institutional adoption, regulatory changes, capital flows, and Bitcoin-specific supply/demand dynamics are predicted to become more significant price drivers in the coming years.

cryptonews.ruВчора 19:26

Bitcoin Expert Commentary Ahead of Fed Decision: 'Everything Will Be Different'

cryptonews.ruВчора 19:26

CME Launches Single-Stock Futures on Over 50 Leading U.S. Companies, and Its Cryptocurrency Derivatives Division Continues to Grow

CME Group has launched futures contracts on individual stocks of more than 50 leading U.S. companies, marking a significant expansion of its equity derivatives offerings. A total of 77 contracts are now available, comprising 55 standard-sized futures (each representing 100 shares) and 22 micro-sized contracts (each for 10 shares). The lineup includes mega-cap tech firms like Alphabet, Meta, and Tesla, recently public SpaceX, as well as major names such as Micron, Pfizer, and Walmart. These cash-settled contracts feature a quarterly expiration cycle, similar to CME's existing equity index futures. Tim McCourt, CME's Global Head of Equities, FX, and Alternative Products, stated the launch responds to client demand for more precise single-stock risk management and the capital efficiency benefits of a centralized marketplace. He noted the products aim to broaden CME's client base beyond traditional institutional investors, with the group partnering with over 35 retail brokers for distribution. Trading will occur nearly 23 hours a day, five days a week on CME Globex, far exceeding standard U.S. equity trading hours. While this allows traders to react to news around the clock, officials warn of potential liquidity risks and volatility during overnight sessions, echoing concerns seen in CME's 24/7 crypto markets. Notably, the new contracts, which exclude any crypto tokens, leverage the cash-settled, margined infrastructure CME has honed through its cryptocurrency derivatives business. That division continues to grow; CME launched round-the-clock Bitcoin and Ether futures and options in late May 2024 and has since added futures on crypto indices tracking Bitcoin, Solana, and XRP, with Bitcoin volatility futures planned. However, activity in CME's core Bitcoin futures has cooled from recent peaks, with open interest hitting a 14-month low in April amid reduced yields and trading volumes.

cryptonews.ru2 дні тому 16:39

CME Launches Single-Stock Futures on Over 50 Leading U.S. Companies, and Its Cryptocurrency Derivatives Division Continues to Grow

cryptonews.ru2 дні тому 16:39

Perpetual Futures 'Landing in the US' Hits Roadblock: Why is CME Suing the CFTC in Court?

Perpetual crypto futures, which dominate global crypto derivatives trading, are entering the U.S. market. The CFTC approved KalshiEX to launch a true Bitcoin perpetual contract (BTCPERP) and issued rules allowing licensed exchanges to convert expiring crypto futures into perpetual ones. This move was challenged when CME Group sued the CFTC, arguing that perpetuals should be regulated as "swaps" under stricter rules, not as futures. The lawsuit's outcome will significantly impact the legal foundation of the nascent U.S. perpetuals market. Currently, two legal structures exist in the U.S.: true perpetuals (like Kalshi's) and long-dated futures (like Coinbase's) that mimic perpetuals via frequent funding rate settlements. These funding rates, paid between longs and shorts, keep contract prices anchored to spot. The proliferation of U.S. perpetuals creates fragmented liquidity across platforms (Kalshi, Coinbase, CME), with different rules on leverage, margining, and clearing. This fragmentation reduces capital efficiency, as collateral cannot be shared across products. Key competitive battlegrounds will be cross-product margin efficiency and the response of these new markets to extreme volatility. A pending Coinbase proposal to allow USDC stablecoin as futures margin could improve capital efficiency. Ultimately, the market's evolution hinges on two factors: how U.S. perpetuals behave during sharp Bitcoin price moves, and the court's ruling on whether they are futures or swaps.

Foresight News2 дні тому 13:30

Perpetual Futures 'Landing in the US' Hits Roadblock: Why is CME Suing the CFTC in Court?

Foresight News2 дні тому 13:30

‘Chicago’s last trade?’ – CFTC Chair warns against new 0.2% crypto tax

CFTC Chair Mike Selig criticizes a new Illinois law imposing a 0.2% tax on every cryptocurrency transaction, warning it could undermine Chicago's financial standing by driving investors and businesses away. He argues the state's punitive approach contradicts the federal government's more measured CLARITY Act, aimed at fostering innovation. The tax is set to take effect in January 2027. Broader federal crypto tax proposals addressing issues like double taxation are under review but face delays, with progress likely dependent on the outcome of the November midterm elections.

ambcrypto07/04 00:02

‘Chicago’s last trade?’ – CFTC Chair warns against new 0.2% crypto tax

ambcrypto07/04 00:02

Rented Conviction: How Much Real Money Is Behind the Bitcoin ETF Flows

Borrowed Belief: How much of Bitcoin ETF flows are real money? Weekly Bitcoin ETF flows, often interpreted as a measure of institutional conviction, are heavily influenced by a hidden arbitrage trade rather than genuine directional buying. A cash-and-carry arbitrage, where traders buy the ETF while simultaneously shorting Bitcoin futures on the CME to lock in a basis spread (the price difference between futures and spot), drives roughly half of the week-to-week flow volatility. This delta-neutral activity appears as ETF inflows but is unrelated to price views. Data shows a strong correlation (0.70) between weekly ETF inflows and increases in hedge fund short positions on CME futures, while Bitcoin’s weekly price returns have almost no explanatory power. However, this arbitrage activity dominates short-term *fluctuations*, not the cumulative *stock* of investments. Of the total ~$55 billion in net ETF inflows since launch, only about $1 billion currently represents net arbitrage exposure. The vast majority consists of steady, directional buying averaging around $400 million per week. The arbitrage trade has been unwinding for two years, with hedge fund short positions peaking near $14 billion in late 2024 and declining to ~$4.5 billion. Recent ETF outflows partly reflect this ongoing unwind as the basis compresses, not a loss of faith in Bitcoin. Thus, ETF flows overstate the *volatility* of belief, not its *level*. The headline number is more a gauge of arbitrage desk activity than conviction. For accurate interpretation, monitor the CME basis relative to Treasury yields and hedge fund net shorts—these reveal how much of the reported “demand” is truly directional.

marsbit06/22 13:52

Rented Conviction: How Much Real Money Is Behind the Bitcoin ETF Flows

marsbit06/22 13:52

24/7 Unstoppable Derivatives Wave: Cryptocurrency Is Forcing Traditional Finance to 'Change Time Zones'

The article discusses how the 24/7 nature of the cryptocurrency market is compelling traditional finance to adapt its operating hours and infrastructure. The key catalyst is the CME Group's planned launch of nearly round-the-clock trading for regulated crypto derivatives, a move driven by strong institutional demand for continuous risk management. This shift highlights a fundamental change: derivatives, not spot trading, now dominate crypto market activity and price discovery. However, integrating continuous trading into traditional finance reveals structural tensions. While execution times can be extended, settlement, clearing, and regulatory reporting largely remain bound to traditional business-day cycles. This creates a lag where weekend price movements can impact risk exposures before traditional control systems are fully active. Furthermore, the article explores new challenges arising from this always-on environment. The inherent transparency of public blockchains, while ensuring auditable settlement, also exposes sensitive corporate information like treasury flows to competitors in real-time. This has elevated privacy from a feature to a core requirement for institutional adoption. The next phase hinges on building systems that balance this necessary privacy with regulatory accountability and compliance. In conclusion, the move towards 24/7 trading signifies more than crypto becoming institutionalized. It represents traditional finance beginning to adopt the temporal structure of crypto-native markets. The future will be defined by how successfully traditional risk, identity, privacy, and settlement frameworks can operate at the continuous speed cryptocurrency markets demand.

marsbit06/01 10:36

24/7 Unstoppable Derivatives Wave: Cryptocurrency Is Forcing Traditional Finance to 'Change Time Zones'

marsbit06/01 10:36

Bitcoin Trading Enters New Era With SEC-Approved Nasdaq Index Options

The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved Nasdaq's proposal to list and trade Bitcoin index options, though trading is not immediate. Final approval is also required from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), which has jurisdiction over Bitcoin as a commodity. The cash-settled, European-style options, to trade under ticker QBTC on the Philadelphia Stock Exchange, will derive their value from the Nasdaq Bitcoin Index and will not involve physical Bitcoin delivery. This decision reflects a broader regulatory shift under SEC Chairman Paul Atkins, including a move toward clearer rules supporting innovation and reports of a potential "innovation exemption" for tokenized securities. The approval represents a continued integration of Bitcoin-linked products into mainstream finance.

bitcoinist05/23 19:01

Bitcoin Trading Enters New Era With SEC-Approved Nasdaq Index Options

bitcoinist05/23 19:01

Wall Street Giants Vie for GPU Futures, Crypto Market Already in Early Skirmish

Wall Street giants CME and ICE are racing to launch GPU futures, marking a pivotal shift as computing power transforms from a critical IT resource into a tradable financial asset. In mid-May, both exchanges announced plans for futures contracts tied to GPU compute pricing indices, aiming to establish a benchmark and provide hedging tools for the volatile, trillion-dollar AI compute market. ICE partnered with data provider Ornn for a broad index covering enterprise and consumer GPUs, while CME teamed with Silicon Data to focus on an H100 leasing index with cash settlement. This push for financialization addresses a key industry pain point: the lack of risk management tools in a market dominated by a few cloud providers, where prices are opaque and highly unstable. Proponents argue futures will help large cloud operators and AI labs lock in costs and manage investment risk. However, challenges remain, including the intangible nature of compute, high market concentration, and the potential for leveraged speculation to exacerbate price swings and resource inequality. Notably, the crypto market has moved faster. Platforms like Architect Financial have already launched perpetual contracts tied to compute indices, leveraging DeFi's agility to create a parallel, global market. As Wall Street awaits regulatory approval, the race to define and control the pricing of "21st-century oil" is accelerating both in traditional and decentralized finance.

marsbit05/22 07:42

Wall Street Giants Vie for GPU Futures, Crypto Market Already in Early Skirmish

marsbit05/22 07:42

21Shares Report: HYPE's P/S Ratio Only Half That of CME, Bull Market Target Price $70

21Shares Research Report: HYPE's P/S Ratio Half of CME's, Bullish Target $70 A recent report from 21Shares highlights Hyperliquid's evolution from a crypto derivatives DEX into a 24/7 "everything exchange" for perpetual contracts across various asset classes. The platform gained prominence during a February geopolitical incident when it provided real-time price discovery for WTI crude oil while traditional markets like CME were closed. Non-digital assets now account for approximately 35% of its volume, with traditional commodities and indices featuring among its top-traded assets. Hyperliquid's business model is rapidly diversifying, significantly reducing its dependence on crypto market cycles. Its cumulative trading volume and revenue are approaching levels comparable to CME Group's crypto derivatives segment. A key feature is its Assistance Fund, which directs 97%-99% of protocol fees to automated HYPE token buybacks, creating a deflationary mechanism with an implied buyback yield significantly higher than CME's traditional share repurchase program. Despite strong fundamentals, HYPE currently trades at a Price-to-Revenue (P/R) ratio of ~10x, roughly half of CME's ~17x. The report outlines valuation scenarios: a bullish case targets $62-$70 based on annualized revenue reaching $12-$15B and applying CME's P/R multiple. A bear case considers $15-$19 if growth slows. Key risks include platform centralization during crises, regulatory uncertainty for on-chain commodities, dependence on geopolitical volatility for non-crypto volume, and the need for sustained high trading volume to offset token unlocks. The analysis concludes that HYPE is increasingly being valued as a legitimate exchange business rather than a speculative crypto asset.

marsbit05/22 05:56

21Shares Report: HYPE's P/S Ratio Only Half That of CME, Bull Market Target Price $70

marsbit05/22 05:56

Hyperliquid Sued by Two Major Traditional Exchanges

In a notable development within the financial sector, two of the world's largest traditional exchanges, CME Group and Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), have jointly filed a complaint with the U.S. Congress and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). They are demanding stricter regulatory oversight of the cryptocurrency derivatives platform Hyperliquid. This move signals escalating tensions between established traditional financial institutions and emerging digital asset trading venues, highlighting the ongoing regulatory debate surrounding the crypto industry.

marsbit05/16 10:57

Hyperliquid Sued by Two Major Traditional Exchanges

marsbit05/16 10:57

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