Major Coins Plummet + Speculative Coins Dance Wildly, ETH Breaks Below 3000, XRP Crashes to 1.9, RATS Buying Opportunity + MERL Shorting Opportunity Both Emerge

金色财经Опубліковано о 2025-12-16Востаннє оновлено о 2025-12-16

Анотація

The cryptocurrency market is experiencing a sharp divergence. Major coins like ETH and XRP are declining sharply, while some altcoins show volatile, mixed performances. ETH dropped over 5%, breaking below the key $3,000 support and falling to around $2,916. It faces resistance at $2,980, $3,050, and $3,080. If the downtrend continues, support levels to watch are $2,950, $2,920, $2,880, and $2,800. Technical indicators like MACD and RSI suggest bearish momentum remains. XRP broke below $1.95, with its price falling to around $1.855. Key resistance levels are at $1.90, $1.92, and $1.95. If it fails to rebound, further decline toward $1.82 or even $1.765 is possible. In contrast, RATS shows strength with three consecutive bullish daily candles, forming a W-pattern. A pullback to around $0.000035 may present a buying opportunity, with a potential rise toward $0.00005. MERL surged 17%, possibly due to low-liquidity manipulation. A short position around $0.46-$0.48 is suggested, with downside targets at $0.40 or even $0.35. ASTER dipped to $0.765 but quickly recovered. It may be forming a descending wedge—wait for a clearer bottom signal before entering. FOLKS shows a pump-and-dump pattern, with a gradual decline after a sharp rise. A low-leverage long-term short position could be profitable. Overall, major coins like ETH and XRP remain bearish short-term. RATS offers a potential long opportunity on dips, while MERL and FOLKS may be suited for short strategies. ASTER require...

The crypto space is experiencing "polar opposites" again! ETH and XRP are diving along with Bitcoin, while some altcoins are surging wildly and others are setting traps. Let's break it down one by one to avoid pitfalls and seize opportunities~Free group access +Q:3260353596

? ETH: Drops 5%, Breaks Below 3000! $2920 Becomes the Lifeline

Ethereum really couldn't hold up this time. After failing to defend $3150, it plunged straight down, breaking through the $3120, $3050, and $3000 support levels, hitting a low of $2916. It's now hovering below $3000 and has fallen below the 100-hour moving average. The bearish momentum is strong.

Want a rebound? It must first break through 3 hurdles:

First hurdle: $2980, any minor rise might face resistance here;

Second hurdle: $3050 (the 50% retracement level of the previous decline);

The tough one is $3080. Only a break above this could target $3120 and $3175.

If the rebound fails, watch these support levels closely: $2950→$2920→$2880→$2800. If $2920 doesn't hold, a deeper decline is highly probable. Technical indicators are also weak: MACD is strengthening in the bearish zone, RSI is below 50, and the downward momentum hasn't stopped.

? XRP: Crashes Through 1.95! $1.85 Hangs by a Thread

XRP just attempted a rebound at $2.02 but was immediately beaten back down, breaking below $2.00 and $1.95, hitting a low of $1.855. It now can't even hold $1.90 or the 100-hour moving average. A bearish trendline has formed on the hourly chart, with resistance pressing down at $1.980.

Key levels for a rebound are: $1.90→$1.92→$1.95. Only by stabilizing above $1.92 is there hope to charge towards $1.98 and $2.05. If it can't break above $1.90, watch the support level at $1.855 closely. A break below that targets $1.82 and $1.765. MACD is accelerating in the bearish zone, RSI is below 50, short-term bias remains bearish.Free group access +Q:3260353596

? RATS: 3 Consecutive Green Candles, Strong Rise! Buy Opportunity Around 0.000035

Contrary to the major coins, RATS has been strengthening against the trend recently, with 3 consecutive green daily candles and a W-bottom pattern forming. MACD is above the zero axis, and momentum is increasing. It's highly likely to fill the upper wick next and challenge the resistance around $0.00005.

Trading suggestion: On a short-term pullback to around $0.000035, those who like trading swings can buy spot with a small position. Take profit near $0.00005. Good risk-reward ratio~Free group access +Q:3260353596

⚠️ MERL: Hard Pump of 17% Luring Bulls! Short on Rallies at 0.46-0.48

MERL's move is too obvious – a 17% pump in 24 hours to $0.48, now struggling around $0.46-$0.47. This is purely the whales pumping in a low liquidity window to trap bulls.

I'm bearish! The likely script is "expected selling pressure → slow grinding bottom → panic dump". I suggest shorting on rallies near $0.46-$0.48 directly. Don't wait for the whales to paint a big green candle to lure the last batch of bulls. Short-term target first at $0.4, a drop to $0.35 is also possible.Free group access +Q:3260353596

? ASTER: Wicked Down to 0.765 and Recovered! Wait for Buying Opportunity

ASTER wicked down to $0.765 and immediately recovered,正好踩在 0.618 Fib level (though opening wicks have limited reference value). It now looks like it might be forming a falling wedge. Need to observe if the base is stable.

Those not in yet, don't rush. No need to chase the high. Wait to buy near the bottom before acting. Adjust strategy随时 as needed to avoid getting trapped by wicks.

? FOLKS: Pump then Grind Down! Low Leverage Long-term Short Opportunity

FOLKS is truly "heaven one moment, hell the next". After a sharp pump, it started grinding down relentlessly. Many new contract coins play this trick.

Trading suggestion: After the top appears, you can go short with low leverage for the long term. If you can hold, the returns could be high! Once this grinding downtrend forms, it's hard to reverse短期内. Don't worry about missing out.Free group access +Q:3260353596

Summary: ETH, XRP are short-term bearish, watch key support levels and don't blindly buy the dip; RATS can be bought on pullbacks, MERL is a suggested short, ASTER watch and wait, FOLKS suitable for low leverage long shorts. The crypto space is severely fragmented right now. Don't be greedy, focus on 1-2 targets~

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Пов'язані питання

QWhat are the key resistance levels for ETH to watch for a potential rebound according to the article?

AThe key resistance levels for ETH are $2980 (first level), $3050 (50% retracement of the previous decline), and $3080. A break above $3080 could push the price toward $3120 and $3175.

QWhy does the article suggest a short opportunity for MERL around $0.46-$0.48?

AThe article suggests shorting MERL because it believes the 17% pump to $0.48 was a low-liquidity manipulation by whales to lure in buyers, and it expects a pattern of 'expected selling pressure → slow grinding bottom → panic sell-off' to follow.

QWhat pattern did RATS form that indicates a potential rise to $0.00005?

ARATS formed a 'W-bottom' pattern on the daily chart and showed three consecutive bullish candles, with the MACD moving above the zero axis, indicating strong momentum and a potential rise to the $0.00005 resistance level.

QWhat is the critical support level for XRP that, if broken, could lead to further decline?

AThe critical support level for XRP is $1.855. If this level is broken, the price could fall further toward $1.82 and then $1.765.

QWhat trading strategy does the article recommend for FOLKS after its pump and subsequent decline?

AThe article recommends a low-leverage, long-term short position for FOLKS after its pump, as it believes the consistent downtrend is unlikely to reverse quickly, making it a high-potential profit opportunity for patient traders.

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Q2营收暴涨92%,依旧跌破IPO价,SpaceX该买还是等?

SpaceX's Q2 2026 earnings report surpassed expectations, with revenue surging 92% year-over-year to $7.814 billion. Starlink remained the largest contributor, while the AI segment saw explosive growth of 247%. However, the company still posted a net loss of $541 million. Despite the strong report, the stock price reversed gains after hours, falling below its IPO price. The market's negative reaction is attributed to two main factors. First, there is growing investor concern over the massive capital expenditures (CapEx) required for AI infrastructure. SpaceX's total Q2 CapEx was $18.369 billion, with $15.828 billion (over 86%) dedicated to AI, far exceeding the segment's revenue. While management argues the investment has a short payback period and projects immense future revenue, this spending pattern mirrors a broader market anxiety about AI profitability timelines. Second, a significant overhang comes from the imminent lock-up expiration on August 6th, which will release approximately 910 million shares into the market—far exceeding the current public float of 640 million shares. This potential selling pressure has created technical support levels near $100, with analysts warning of possible further downside if the market hasn't fully priced in this risk. The article concludes that while SpaceX's core businesses (rockets and Starlink) justify its current valuation, the added AI potential makes it a discounted play long-term. However, given the near-term pressures from CapEx concerns and the lock-up expiry, investors may be advised to wait for the post-expiration period before considering a purchase.

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15 Malicious Actors Exploited Coldcard Hardware Wallet Vulnerability

More than 15 distinct malicious actors exploited a vulnerability in the Coldcard hardware wallet, according to Alex Thorn of Galaxy Digital. Analysis of victim reports, including one involving the theft of under 1 BTC, led to the discovery of an attack that drained 12 BTC from 126 addresses. The estimated losses from this exploit have reached $100 million across three confirmed attack waves, with a potential fourth wave possibly raising total losses to around $130 million in Bitcoin. The incident has reignited debate about the security of cold storage. Notably, Haseeb Qureshi of Dragonfly suggested that spending roughly $2 on AI-powered code auditing could have potentially prevented the exploit, as some AI models reportedly identified the vulnerability in under 20 minutes post-disclosure. The core flaw was a critical reduction in private key entropy within the device's firmware. Instead of the standard 128 bits of entropy provided by a 12-word seed phrase, Coldcard's key generation was limited to just 40 bits, significantly simplifying the task for attackers. This case draws parallels to the 2023 "Milk Sad" vulnerability in Libbitcoin Explorer, highlighting how firmware errors compromising entropy can repeat across different products. The widespread exploitation by over 15 parties underscores how quickly vulnerability information spreads after disclosure.

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