# USD İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "USD" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Peace Talks Hit an Impasse Again, U.S. Stocks Retreat from Highs, Can Bitcoin Hold the $80,000 Level?

Peace Talks Stalemate Sinks Stocks, Tests Bitcoin's $80K Support Optimism over a potential U.S.-Iran peace deal, which briefly propelled the S&P 500 and Nasdaq to record highs, evaporated within 24 hours. Iran dismissed key U.S. proposals regarding uranium enrichment and Strait of Hormuz access, reversing market sentiment. U.S. stocks fell, led by semiconductors and small caps, while oil prices whipsawed violently. The core narrative is a binary market bet on war or peace, creating extreme volatility. The probability of a deal by mid-May dropped to 20%. Oil (Brent) briefly crashed 12% before recovering to around $100, but a shift in its market structure hinted at ample physical supply despite geopolitical risk. Bitcoin fell roughly 1.56%, finding support near $80,000. The pullback was considered structurally healthy, backed by strong institutional inflows into U.S. ETFs and rising long-term holder conviction. Ethereum gained on positive U.S. crypto regulation hopes. In equities, major indices declined with the Russell 2000 hit hardest. The "Magnificent Seven" tech stocks were a rare bright spot, but the semiconductor sector sold off sharply. Notably, high-beta momentum stocks suffered dramatically worse losses than the broader market. Upcoming U.S. non-farm payrolls data is the next key catalyst. Treasury yields rose with oil, the dollar was steady, and gold/silver gained on a mix of inflation and safe-haven demand. European markets also fell. The situation in the Strait of Hormuz remains unresolved, keeping markets on edge.

marsbit05/09 03:43

Peace Talks Hit an Impasse Again, U.S. Stocks Retreat from Highs, Can Bitcoin Hold the $80,000 Level?

marsbit05/09 03:43

BIT Research: Why Could Gold Rush to $5,000 Faster After the Sudden Plunge?

The article "BIT Research: After Gold's Sharp Decline, Why Could It Reach $5,000 Faster?" presents a bullish outlook for gold despite recent price drops. It argues that the core bullish structure remains intact, with the recent sell-off seen as a correction rather than a trend reversal. The primary drivers are expected to be a re-pricing of the US dollar and the interest rate path. The market currently prices in a potential 2026 rate hike, yet simultaneously expects a more dovish stance from incoming Fed Chair Kevin Warsh, creating a contradiction. A correction of these expectations could weaken the dollar and lower real rates, fueling gold's ascent. Additionally, the expanding US national debt provides long-term structural support. Technically, gold is forming a consolidation pattern with higher lows, suggesting underlying strength. Quantitative and trend models have turned bullish, with historical data from similar signals pointing to an average ~12.8% gain over two months, projecting a target near $5,306. Key upcoming catalysts include the June FOMC meeting, the July BRICS summit, and the September US fiscal cliff. In summary, the convergence of a potential dollar downturn, interest rate re-pricing, supportive technicals, and upcoming macro events could propel gold into a new phase of accelerated growth, with $5,300 as a near-term target.

marsbit05/08 07:39

BIT Research: Why Could Gold Rush to $5,000 Faster After the Sudden Plunge?

marsbit05/08 07:39

Gold Returns to $4800, Where Is This Year's Peak?

Gold has rebounded above $4,800 per ounce amid easing U.S.-Iran tensions after six weeks of conflict. This article explores gold's potential peak in 2026, citing predictions from platforms like Polymarket, where some traders bet on prices exceeding $6,000 by year-end. Key drivers include sustained central bank purchases (notably China’s 17-month buying streak), institutional demand from entities like Tether (now a top-30 global gold holder), and retail investment, particularly in Asia. While short-term volatility persists, analysts from UBS and Goldman Sachs project gold could reach $5,200-$5,400 by mid-year and $5,900-$6,300 longer-term, supported by geopolitical uncertainty, dollar weakening, and gold’s role as a hedge in a shifting global monetary system. The outlook remains bullish despite periodic corrections.

Odaily星球日报04/09 10:41

Gold Returns to $4800, Where Is This Year's Peak?

Odaily星球日报04/09 10:41

Iran greenlights crypto for Strait of Hormuz tolls – Is BTC ultimate war hedge?

Iran now accepts cryptocurrency payments for tolls from ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, highlighting crypto's emerging role as a hedge during geopolitical turmoil and inflation. While Bitcoin saw a recent 4.06% price increase, it continues to underperform gold and struggles to break out against the U.S. dollar. Market data indicates Bitcoin is in a stabilization, not recovery, phase, remaining weaker compared to traditional assets like gold—which leads in market cap rankings—while Bitcoin ranks 12th. Despite this, Bitcoin dominance stands at 59.02%, and influential figures like Michael Saylor express strong confidence in its long-term value. Analysts suggest crypto markets will retain a geopolitical risk premium until there is clarity on conflict resolution.

ambcrypto04/07 00:02

Iran greenlights crypto for Strait of Hormuz tolls – Is BTC ultimate war hedge?

ambcrypto04/07 00:02

Has the Era of Global Central Banks 'Hoarding Gold' Come to an End?

The article questions whether the global central bank gold-buying spree, ongoing for 15 years, is ending. Citing a UBS report, it concludes that a structural shift to large-scale selling is highly unlikely. While the pace of purchases may slow to 800-850 tons in 2026 from 860 tons in 2025, central banks are expected to remain net buyers. The report challenges the narrative that recent sales, like Turkey's alleged sale of 50 tons, signal a trend. It argues Turkey's data is distorted by commercial bank positions and swaps, and its central bank uses gold for domestic liquidity management, not necessarily market speculation. Short-term price volatility is attributed to dollar strength and real interest rates, not central bank selling. The underlying logic for holding gold remains strong: over 60% of central banks follow a buy-and-hold strategy, with diversification being the primary motive. While short-term noise and price consolidation are expected, the medium-term outlook is bullish, with UBS forecasting an average 2026 price of $5000/oz and a year-end target of $5600/oz.

marsbit04/03 09:46

Has the Era of Global Central Banks 'Hoarding Gold' Come to an End?

marsbit04/03 09:46

Bitcoin Could Be Taiwan’s Lifeline In Conflict, Think Tank Suggests

A Bitcoin Policy Institute report suggests Taiwan should build a national Bitcoin reserve as a strategic hedge against a potential Chinese military blockade or invasion. The argument centers on Bitcoin’s ability to remain accessible and transferable if traditional assets like gold or U.S. dollar reserves are frozen or immobilized. While Taiwan’s central bank previously rejected the idea due to Bitcoin’s volatility and custody challenges, the report warns that over 80% of Taiwan’s reserves are in dollar-denominated assets—exposing it to U.S. fiscal and monetary risks. Taiwan currently holds 210 seized Bitcoin (worth ~$14M), which would rank it seventh globally if recognized as a reserve asset. The central bank continues testing digital assets in a sandbox program but has not changed its official stance.

bitcoinist04/03 06:02

Bitcoin Could Be Taiwan’s Lifeline In Conflict, Think Tank Suggests

bitcoinist04/03 06:02

Fed warns of ‘long, painful history’ – Why stablecoin oversight is urgent

Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr has called for strict stablecoin oversight, citing risks to financial stability and a surge in illicit use. Chainalysis data shows stablecoins now account for 84% of illegal crypto activity, up from 15% in 2020, often facilitating terrorism financing and sanctions evasion. Barr warned that unregulated private money historically caused bank runs, emphasizing the need for tight reserve asset controls, supervision, and liquidity requirements. While illicit activity remains below 1% of all crypto transactions, regulators are advancing the GENIUS Act, aiming for finalized rules by mid-2026. Meanwhile, non-USD stablecoins are growing rapidly, and Asian markets—which drive over 60% of global stablecoin activity—may restrict USD-based options, potentially reshaping the $315 billion market.

ambcrypto04/01 11:09

Fed warns of ‘long, painful history’ – Why stablecoin oversight is urgent

ambcrypto04/01 11:09

Square Introduces Bitcoin POS Payments In Major US Expansion

Square, a financial services company, has launched a major US expansion of its Bitcoin point-of-sale payment system. As part of the initiative, businesses that accept Bitcoin will pay no processing fees for the next two years, until the end of 2026. The program is designed to help small merchants adopt new payment methods without incurring transaction fees. By default, merchants receive US dollars in their accounts instantly, eliminating exposure to Bitcoin's price volatility. However, they can also choose to "stack" a portion of their daily sales in Bitcoin. The rollout began in October 2025 and is scheduled to be available to all eligible Square users by November 10, though businesses in New York are currently excluded due to state regulations. This move is part of a larger trend of financial companies integrating digital assets into traditional services, such as using cryptocurrency as collateral for mortgages and loans.

bitcoinist04/01 05:02

Square Introduces Bitcoin POS Payments In Major US Expansion

bitcoinist04/01 05:02

Behind the Gold's Pullback Lies a More Significant Issue: The Loosening of the Old System

Gold's recent pullback has drawn superficial comparisons to the 1979 cycle, but the underlying global dynamics have fundamentally shifted. In 1979, gold fell due to extreme Fed rate hikes under Volcker and a renewed belief in U.S. credit stability, which attracted capital back to dollar assets. Today, the situation is inverted. The U.S. faces massive debt, uncontrolled deficits, and a financial system hypersensitive to interest rates. The critical change is the structural challenge to the dollar-centric system itself, particularly the petrodollar cycle. The ongoing Middle East conflict is not an isolated event but a self-reinforcing crisis that disrupts energy flows, elevates costs, and strains fiscal capacities—undermining the dollar’s role in global energy trade. This suggests that the recent gold sell-off is a short-term profit-taking move after a strong rally, rather than a loss of long-term value. The broader narrative is one of a deteriorating monetary order: the U.S. can no longer easily suppress inflation with high rates or assert global dominance as before. As the world reassesses the entire credit system, gold is poised to assume a new role as a hedge against systemic fragility.

Odaily星球日报03/23 12:13

Behind the Gold's Pullback Lies a More Significant Issue: The Loosening of the Old System

Odaily星球日报03/23 12:13

How to View the Divergence Between Gold and Oil Prices?

The article analyzes the divergence between gold and oil prices following the outbreak of the U.S.-Iran war. While oil prices surged significantly, gold experienced a decline, contrary to expectations given its traditional role as a safe-haven asset during geopolitical crises. Gold serves three primary hedging functions: against geopolitical risk, inflation risk, and U.S. dollar risk. Since late 2023, gold had been in a strong bull market, rising from $1,800 to over $5,000, driven by simultaneous geopolitical tensions (e.g., Russia-Ukraine war, Middle East conflicts), inflationary pressures, and a weakening dollar due to the Fed's premature rate cuts. However, after the U.S. "decapitation" strike on Iran, gold prices fell sharply. This was attributed to two main factors: a shift of capital from gold to oil, as investors repositioned portfolios to capitalize on rising oil prices, and a liquidity crisis in U.S. financial markets that forced large-scale sell-offs of gold—a highly liquid asset—to meet redemption demands. More critically, growing pessimism about a prolonged U.S.-Iran conflict raised fears of sustained high oil prices, potential global economic disruption, and a possible reversal of Fed monetary policy (delayed cuts or even renewed hikes). This expectation of tighter policy caused gold’s dollar-related hedging function to reverse, overwhelming its geopolitical and inflation hedging roles and leading to a severe correction. Oil prices also experienced volatility. They initially spiked to nearly $120 per barrel post-strike, then fell by 30% on Trump’s hints of a quick resolution, but rebounded as market expectations corrected when the conflict persisted and the Strait of Hormuz remained threatened. The outlook for both commodities depends on the evolution of the U.S.-Iran conflict. If it becomes a prolonged war like Ukraine, gold may lack short-term value as monetary fears prevail, while oil and energy assets may benefit. A critical factor will be whether the Strait of Hormuz is reopened, which hinges on geopolitical decisions ahead.

marsbit03/23 02:20

How to View the Divergence Between Gold and Oil Prices?

marsbit03/23 02:20

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