# Short İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Short" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

After Nine Months of Shorting, a Full Turn to Long: Renowned Trader Opens Bitcoin Positions Around 64K, Crypto Market Long-Short Divergence Intensifies

After nine months of being short, prominent crypto trader Doctor Profit has closed all his bearish positions and started buying Bitcoin near $64,000, signaling a complete bullish reversal. He argues that structural market changes—such as impending U.S. regulation (CLARITY Act) and institutional adoption via securities tokenization—are rewriting the traditional four-year cycle script, potentially bringing the market bottom forward from the widely expected September/October timeframe. This view finds some technical support from on-chain analyst gumsays, who notes a bullish divergence on Bitcoin's weekly chart has persisted for 147 days, nearing the 161-day duration seen before the 2022 cycle low. However, cycle researcher Jake Pahor presents a counter-argument based on historical data. Analyzing patterns since 2014, he identifies three common features of past bear market bottoms: a ~12-month duration from peak to trough, a sustained period of extreme fear (with a proprietary risk score below 20), and the price falling below Bitcoin's realized price (~$53,000 currently). The current cycle, only nine months from its October 2025 peak, meets none of these conditions. The debate highlights a market torn between "front-running" a potential early bottom driven by new fundamentals and waiting for confirmation through traditional on-chain and sentiment metrics. While Doctor Profit opts for aggressive buying, Pahor maintains a disciplined, tiered accumulation strategy, continuing weekly buys at current risk levels but reserving larger orders for if more extreme fear emerges.

marsbit2 gün önce 05:46

After Nine Months of Shorting, a Full Turn to Long: Renowned Trader Opens Bitcoin Positions Around 64K, Crypto Market Long-Short Divergence Intensifies

marsbit2 gün önce 05:46

Cooling US inflation catches crypto bears off guard as short liquidations reach $179M

Cooling U.S. inflation data triggered a broad market rally, leading to $219.77 million in cryptocurrency liquidations over 12 hours. Bearish traders were caught off guard, with short positions accounting for $179.26 million (over 80%) of the total. Ethereum saw the largest liquidations at $98.73 million, followed by Bitcoin at $59.59 million. The softer Consumer Price Index report for June boosted risk appetite, as investors bet on potential Federal Reserve policy easing, forcing many who positioned for lower prices to unwind their trades.

ambcrypto07/14 14:34

Cooling US inflation catches crypto bears off guard as short liquidations reach $179M

ambcrypto07/14 14:34

Bitcoin whale places $31M short bet – Will BTC drop to $60K again?

Bitcoin has declined for two consecutive days, trading near $62,7K. Amid this pullback, a whale opened a significant 40x short position on 493 BTC (worth $31 million), indicating strong bearish sentiment. This aligns with a broader market shift, as the overall Long/Short Ratio fell below 1, showing more traders are betting on a price drop. Furthermore, derivatives and options trading volumes have notably declined, signaling reduced speculative activity and a cautious, wait-and-see approach among traders. Technical analysis points to continued weakness, with indicators like the MACD still negative and the trend structure favoring further downside. Analysts suggest Bitcoin could retest the $60K level unless it manages to reclaim $64K to reverse the bearish pressure.

ambcrypto07/08 14:02

Bitcoin whale places $31M short bet – Will BTC drop to $60K again?

ambcrypto07/08 14:02

Is ‘gold becoming roomies with Bitcoin’ and will a short squeeze trigger a rebound?

Gold and Bitcoin are experiencing significant investor outflows and rising short interest in the first half of 2026, with Bloomberg analyst Eric Balchunas noting they are close to "becoming roomies" in terms of capital exits. Bitcoin, mirroring gold's weakness, saw its U.S. Spot ETFs post a net outflow of $5.4B in H1 2026—the first since their 2024 debut—while institutional positioning on the CME remained predominantly short. Despite this pressure and the potential for a prolonged downturn into Q4, a weaker U.S. jobs report recently triggered a brief recovery, with ETFs seeing net inflows and CME positioning turning positive. QCP Capital analysts suggest spot demand may be firming, but confirmation hinges on upcoming mid-July inflation data. Key short-term resistance levels are identified at $62.3K, the $65K-$67K zone, and $75K.

ambcrypto07/04 07:03

Is ‘gold becoming roomies with Bitcoin’ and will a short squeeze trigger a rebound?

ambcrypto07/04 07:03

Solana whales bet $15mln against SOL – Bears can drive it down to $40 IF…

Despite Solana demonstrating strong on-chain growth and diversification, with Q2 trading volume surging over 3,200% to $67 billion, its price action remains weak. A $15 million short position has been placed against SOL, suggesting some traders are betting on a bearish move. The rationale hinges on crowded leveraged long positions that could trigger forced selling if market momentum weakens, especially if Bitcoin faces pressure. This could drive SOL to retest the $40 level. The article frames Solana's current consolidation near $70 as a potential bull trap, noting early ETF outflow weakness in June 2026 as a counterpoint to the network's robust underlying activity.

ambcrypto06/28 17:02

Solana whales bet $15mln against SOL – Bears can drive it down to $40 IF…

ambcrypto06/28 17:02

Major whale shorts $4.92M in ZEC – Can Zcash rebound to $520?

A major Zcash whale, Garrett Bullish, has opened a new $4.92 million leveraged short position on ZEC, reinforcing his bearish stance following two previous profitable trades. Despite this high-profile move, derivatives data shows sustained buyer dominance in the futures market, with aggressive participants absorbing selling pressure. Technically, ZEC remains below a key broken ascending channel, with $520 as major resistance and $335.50 as support. The Stochastic RSI indicates oversold conditions, suggesting potential for a rebound, but the Parabolic SAR still favors buyers. The market's direction hinges on whether ZEC can reclaim the broken channel and push above $520; failure could lead to a test of lower support.

ambcrypto06/28 04:05

Major whale shorts $4.92M in ZEC – Can Zcash rebound to $520?

ambcrypto06/28 04:05

Borrowed Faith: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Flows Are Real Money

"Rented Faith: How Much of Bitcoin ETF Flows Are Real Money?" Bitcoin ETF inflows are often seen as a barometer of institutional conviction. However, week-to-week analysis reveals they are primarily driven by a hidden arbitrage trade rather than directional bullishness. This is the cash-and-carry trade: buying the ETF while simultaneously shorting Bitcoin futures on the CME to lock in the price difference (basis). This delta-neutral activity registers as ETF inflows but reflects a rate-seeking, not price-betting, strategy. Data shows weekly ETF flow volatility is closely tied to hedge fund ("leveraged funds") short positions on CME futures, with a correlation of 0.70. About half of weekly flow variation can be explained by this single factor. In contrast, Bitcoin's weekly price changes have no statistically significant power to predict flows. Crucially, while this arbitrage trade dominates weekly *fluctuations*, it is not the main component of the cumulative *stock*. Of the ~$55 billion total net inflow, the estimated net arbitrage position is only about $1 billion. The vast majority is steady, directional buying averaging ~$400 million per week. Thus, ETF flows overstate the *volatility* of belief, not its *level*. The "rented" arbitrage capital churns, while "owned" directional capital forms the bedrock. This arbitrage trade has been unwinding for two years, with hedge fund shorts peaking at ~$14 billion in late 2024 and falling to ~$4.5 billion. Recent outflows align with basis compression, signaling the trade's exit, not a loss of faith. For Ethereum ETFs, the same dynamic is weaker due to negative carry from forgone staking yield. The key takeaway: To interpret ETF flows, watch the basis vs. Treasury yields and CME hedge fund net shorts. They reveal how much of the weekly "demand" headline is driven by rented, rate-seeking capital versus real conviction.

链捕手06/22 13:38

Borrowed Faith: How Much of the Bitcoin ETF Flows Are Real Money

链捕手06/22 13:38

A Whale is Betting Big Against Crypto: Will BTC, ETH, and SOL Face Fresh Pressure?

A new crypto wallet has placed a large bearish bet against the market, opening 20x-leveraged short positions on Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL) worth nearly $48 million on Hyperliquid. This significant leveraged trade signals strong expectations of a near-term price decline but also carries high risk of liquidation if prices rise. Currently, Bitcoin trades around $63,888, with key support at ~$63,641 and resistance near $64,273. Ethereum hovers at $1,732, facing potential support near $1,619 and resistance around $1,811. Solana trades near $73.96, with immediate resistance at ~$74.52 and support at $72.04. The price action for all three assets is described in terms of potential bullish "golden cross" or bearish "death cross" technical patterns influencing their near-term direction.

TheNewsCrypto06/22 07:02

A Whale is Betting Big Against Crypto: Will BTC, ETH, and SOL Face Fresh Pressure?

TheNewsCrypto06/22 07:02

Crypto Market Plunges: Bitcoin Breaks Below $60k, Ethereum Drops Over 10%, Strategy Hunted by Short Sellers

Bitcoin experienced a severe sell-off, falling below $60,000 to its lowest point since October 2024, with weekly losses reaching 16%. The decline was triggered by Michael Saylor's MicroStrategy selling part of its Bitcoin holdings, which sparked hundreds of millions in forced liquidations. Stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data then pushed Treasury yields higher, further pressuring risk assets like crypto. MicroStrategy's stock plummeted 24% for the week, its worst performance since late 2022, as bearish bets against the company surged. The sell-off was exacerbated by a shift of speculative capital towards AI and semiconductor stocks, as well as dimming prospects for key U.S. crypto legislation. Bitcoin's correlation with major stock indices has recently broken down, failing to rally alongside record-high equities. While Bitcoin ETFs saw a slight inflow after a record 13-day outflow streak, total assets under management have shrunk significantly. Despite the gloom, some, like Strive's CEO, view the drop to the 200-week moving average as a historic buying opportunity. Meanwhile, options markets show intense put buying on MicroStrategy, and its floating-rate preferred shares (STRC) have also plunged, reflecting heightened market risk perception towards Saylor's strategy amid a rising rate environment.

华尔街日报06/05 23:56

Crypto Market Plunges: Bitcoin Breaks Below $60k, Ethereum Drops Over 10%, Strategy Hunted by Short Sellers

华尔街日报06/05 23:56

Is the Sharp Decline Over? Let the Data Speak

**Has the Sharp Decline Ended? Let Data Speak** Bitcoin's recent significant drop has placed short sellers in a precarious position. Three concurrent pressures—sustained outflows from ETFs, miners offloading coins to exchanges, and short-term holders capitulating—pushed the price near $63k. The asset fell 13% this week and 21% this month, roughly halving from its all-time high. A critical data point is the extremely crowded short positioning, with a short-to-long ratio reaching 8:1, representing nearly $100 billion in short interest overhead. This creates conditions for a potential short squeeze if selling pressure merely pauses, similar to the event in November 2022 which triggered a 24% rally. The selling pressures are real: spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen a record $5.4 billion outflow over 20 days. Short-term holders moved 53k loss-held BTC to exchanges in a day, and miners sent 24k BTC to Binance, a six-month high. Capital is also rotating towards AI and tech stocks like SpaceX, with $400 billion invested in AI infrastructure recently. However, on-chain data shows accumulation by long-term holders, who added 200k BTC in a month, and institutions/miners have absorbed 1.24 million BTC since 2023. This indicates strong buying beneath the surface. Key levels to watch are the $67k-$70k zone (2021 high & 2024 breakout point). A swift recovery above it suggests a leverage washout; failure could test $60k-$55k. The direction also hinges on ETF flow reversal. Currently, the S&P 500 hits new highs driven by AI, while Bitcoin and DeFi (TVL down from $173b to $73.9b) lag. The most probable path is a grinding basing process between $60k-$58k with continued ETF outflows. A less likely but explosive scenario involves a sudden flow reversal, a surge above $70k triggering a short squeeze, and a rally back above $76k. The immediate trigger depends on when the relentless selling pauses. A final cautionary note questions Bitcoin's correlation: if the high-flying U.S. stock market corrects, will Bitcoin once again miss the rally but not the decline?

foresightnews_api06/05 05:58

Is the Sharp Decline Over? Let the Data Speak

foresightnews_api06/05 05:58

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