# Leverage İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Leverage" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

STRC Hits Historic Low, Saylor's Perpetual Motion Machine Grinds to a Halt

STRC, the perpetual preferred stock issued by MicroStrategy to fund its Bitcoin purchases, hit a historic low of $85.32, a 17% discount to its $100 par value. Designed as a "digital credit engine" to trade stably near par and enable continuous share issuance for buying Bitcoin, its plunge signals a breakdown in this model. Three key factors drove the decline: 1. Bitcoin's price fell over 50% from its peak, trading around $63,000 amid hawkish Fed signals. 2. MicroStrategy's cash reserves were depleted after a $1.5 billion convertible note repayment, slashing the dividend coverage for STRC's 11.5% yield to ~7 months. The company then sold 32 BTC to cover dividends—Michael Saylor's first Bitcoin sale since 2022—damaging the "never sell" narrative. 3. A competing Bitcoin-backed preferred stock, Strive's SATA, offers a higher yield (~13%) and daily dividends, drawing investors away from STRC. The drop triggers a negative cycle: STRC below par halts ATM share issuances, cutting off a key funding source for Bitcoin buys and potentially forcing more BTC sales for dividends, further eroding confidence. While Saylor argues the model is mathematically sound—needing only 2.3% annual Bitcoin growth to sustain itself—the market is testing the resilience of the leveraged Bitcoin treasury strategy in a bear market. The STRC price now reflects rising skepticism about this financial machinery's durability during downturns.

marsbit23 saat önce

STRC Hits Historic Low, Saylor's Perpetual Motion Machine Grinds to a Halt

marsbit23 saat önce

STRC Severely Unpegged, What Risks Is the Market Pricing In?

The article analyzes the recent significant de-pegging of Strategy's perpetual preferred stock, STRC, whose price fell to approximately $89, far below its $100 face value. This discount has pushed its simple yield to around 12.9%, creating a paradox. The stock was designed as a high-yield instrument trading near par, and Strategy maintains an 11.5% annual dividend, even recently switching to semi-monthly payments to support the price. The author explores several reasons why the high yield hasn't attracted enough buying pressure to restore the par value. A key factor is potential reverse deleveraging from carry trades, where leveraged investors may be forced to sell due to margin calls as the price falls, creating a self-reinforcing downward spiral. Additionally, the tokenization and integration of STRC into DeFi protocols (like Apyx, Saturn, Pendle) have introduced faster, more transparent, and potentially more volatile price adjustment mechanisms through leverage and yield-splitting products. The emergence of a competing product, Strive's SATA, offering a 13% yield with daily dividends, has also changed the yield benchmark, challenging STRC's unique high-yield narrative. Furthermore, the market is questioning the distinction between Strategy's substantial Bitcoin reserves, which provide long-term balance sheet coverage, and the certainty of stable near-term cash flow for dividends. Ultimately, the price dip represents a stress test for this type of BTC-backed, high-yield financing tool. The future path of STRC depends on whether Strategy acts to reinforce the $100 peg (e.g., by adjusting dividends), whether DeFi-related leverage unwinds further, and how investors ultimately price the risks of leverage, competition, and cash flow uncertainty against the offered yield.

marsbitDün 06:51

STRC Severely Unpegged, What Risks Is the Market Pricing In?

marsbitDün 06:51

An AI Version of the 'Subprime Crisis'? A Hidden Debt of $1.8 Trillion is Accumulating in the Shadows Amid the Frenzy

Amidst the AI infrastructure construction boom, a massive debt expansion is forming, with the most dangerous portion remaining off-balance sheets. Morgan Stanley research reveals approximately $1.8 trillion in off-balance-sheet exposures, including nearly $1 trillion in purchase commitments and over $800 billion in non-active lease contracts. These future cash outflows are not recorded as liabilities. The leverage of hyperscale cloud companies has surged from 0.9x to 1.8x in just two quarters. Private credit firms like Apollo and Blackstone are shifting leverage into the supply chain through complex, opaque SPV (Special Purpose Vehicle) financing structures. Global AI-related bond issuance has skyrocketed, with annual volume projected to exceed $570 billion. However, capital expenditure growth is outpacing revenue and free cash flow. Major cloud providers may see free cash flow approach zero or turn negative in 2026. A significant 'depreciation cliff' looms as vast amounts of current capital spending, recorded as 'construction in progress,' have yet to begin depreciating, artificially inflating current profit margins. Future depreciation could severely pressure earnings. The core risk is identified as a series of timing mismatches, not an immediate solvency crisis. Investment is racing ahead of monetization, leverage is being obscured, and accounting classifications hinder comparability. The entire financing structure faces a fundamental stress test if AI commercialization lags or enterprise clients shift to cheaper alternatives, potentially triggering chain reactions within the highly interconnected funding ecosystem.

marsbit06/15 07:38

An AI Version of the 'Subprime Crisis'? A Hidden Debt of $1.8 Trillion is Accumulating in the Shadows Amid the Frenzy

marsbit06/15 07:38

The United States Finally Gets Perpetual Futures Contracts

The U.S. has finally entered the era of regulated perpetual futures contracts, a transformative development for the crypto derivatives market. On May 29, the CFTC approved Kalshi to list the first-ever regulated Bitcoin perpetual futures contract in the U.S. and allowed Coinbase to route its customers to global perpetual and options trading via Deribit. This approval acknowledges the critical role of perpetuals, which have grown to a staggering $90 trillion in annual trading volume, surpassing the combined GDP of the world's ten largest economies. Perpetual contracts, pioneered by BitMEX in 2016, eliminate expiration dates and use a funding rate mechanism to track the underlying asset's price, offering traders efficient, high-leverage exposure without the need for periodic rollovers. While this legitimizes the product category dominated by offshore and decentralized exchanges like Hyperliquid, U.S.-regulated offerings remain distinct. They are limited to Bitcoin, offer lower leverage caps (around 10x vs. 50-100x offshore), and provide CFTC-mandated protections. This creates separate markets for regulated U.S. institutions and the global, high-leverage retail traders. The significance extends far beyond crypto. Perpetuals are rapidly expanding to trade a wide array of assets like commodities (silver, oil), equities (Nvidia, Tesla), and even prediction markets. Their 24/7, digital-native structure challenges traditional time-bound derivatives. Hyperliquid, a leading decentralized exchange, exemplifies this shift, with daily volumes sometimes exceeding Bitcoin for assets like silver and attracting attention from traditional financial giants like ICE. This regulatory shift intensifies competition, potentially compressing fees and profits for established players like Coinbase as traders seek lower-cost venues. While perpetuals won't fully replace options or traditional futures—which offer unique risk profiles—they represent a superior, more economical vehicle for the vast majority of purely directional, leveraged trading activity. The $90 trillion annual volume is a testament to their overwhelming success and enduring appeal.

marsbit06/10 08:45

The United States Finally Gets Perpetual Futures Contracts

marsbit06/10 08:45

Monera Digital|Crypto Market May Report: Four Major Reasons Behind the Accelerated Decline

Monera Digital Crypto Market May Report: Four Key Reasons Behind the Accelerated Decline The crypto market experienced a significant downturn in May, driven by an internal liquidity crisis rather than external macro factors. Bitcoin fell from around $82,850 to $73,674, even as traditional markets rallied in the final week, highlighting a clear "liquidity transmission failure" specific to crypto. Four primary internal factors caused the accelerated sell-off: 1. **Major ETF Outflows:** U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $2.425 billion for the month, the third-largest monthly withdrawal since their launch. Ethereum ETFs also reversed to net outflows. This turned a key pillar of the bull run into a source of selling pressure. 2. **Holder Capitulation:** On-chain data showed textbook "surrender" patterns. The Short-Term Holder MVRV ratio fell below 1.0, indicating this cohort is now in aggregate loss. The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) metric also deteriorated significantly. 3. **Contagious Negative Sentiment:** The Coinbase Premium Index, which shows U.S. institutional buying/selling pressure, turned deeply negative for most of the month. This confirmed the ETF outflows and reflected a strategic shift away from crypto toward assets like U.S. Treasuries. 4. **Leverage Unwinding and Psychological Breaks:** Despite the downturn, futures open interest initially grew, signaling leveraged positioning. This culminated in a sharp deleveraging event with $307 million in long liquidations. Furthermore, the price broke below the critical $75K-$76K support zone, which is both a key gamma option level and the approximate average cost basis for major public companies holding Bitcoin, turning them from potential buyers into potential sellers. The report concludes that the market's pricing power has shifted from macro narratives to internal liquidation. While Bitcoin's 200-week moving average quantile has entered a historical "value zone" at 10.2%, this indicates a deep bear market reset is underway, not an immediate reversal. A sustainable recovery will require both a genuine improvement in the macro liquidity environment and clear signs of renewed on-chain demand, such as ETF inflows resuming and the Coinbase Premium turning positive. Until then, discipline and capital preservation are paramount.

marsbit06/09 07:46

Monera Digital|Crypto Market May Report: Four Major Reasons Behind the Accelerated Decline

marsbit06/09 07:46

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