# Event Contracts İlgili Makaleler

HTX Haber Merkezi, kripto endüstrisindeki piyasa trendleri, proje güncellemeleri, teknoloji gelişmeleri ve düzenleyici politikaları kapsayan "Event Contracts" hakkında en son makaleleri ve derinlemesine analizleri sunmaktadır.

Kalshi-CFTC Fight In New Mexico Could Shape Prediction Market Rules

A jurisdictional battle between the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) and the state of New Mexico over the regulation of prediction markets could set national rules for the industry. At issue is who polices platforms like Kalshi, with the CFTC asserting federal oversight and New Mexico arguing state gaming and consumer protection laws apply, especially for contracts resembling wagers on events like elections or sports. The outcome will determine if prediction markets can scale nationally under a clear federal framework or face a fragmented, state-by-state regulatory landscape. This dispute is significant for the crypto-adjacent trading community, which often engages with these speculative event markets. A clearer rulebook could boost mainstream adoption, liquidity, and integration with crypto infrastructure, while a state-led challenge could stifle growth. The case is particularly sensitive for sports-related contracts, where the line between financial markets and gambling blurs. Ultimately, this legal fight will shape whether prediction markets become a scalable national product or remain constrained by jurisdictional conflicts.

bitcoinist7 saat önce

Kalshi-CFTC Fight In New Mexico Could Shape Prediction Market Rules

bitcoinist7 saat önce

CFTC Proposes New Rules for Prediction Markets, Redefining Which Events Can Be Listed and Who Can Participate

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has proposed new rules to establish a clearer regulatory framework for prediction markets. The proposal aims to modify how "event contracts" are reviewed, creating a structured process to determine if contracts involving terrorism, assassination, war, or illegal activities violate the public interest. This moves away from a blanket ban toward a case-by-case assessment of whether a contract's subject matter is acceptable for financial trading. A key focus is distinguishing between predicting the impact of risks and predicting the occurrence of harm. The proposal suggests that many sports-based prediction markets—such as those on game outcomes, scores, or season standings—may be permissible as they can provide price discovery and meaningful information. However, markets on easily manipulated events like specific player injuries, referee calls, or outcomes of youth sports would face stricter scrutiny. The rules directly target insider trading and manipulation risks, highlighting cases where individuals with non-public information or the ability to influence an event's outcome could unfairly profit. This underscores a shift toward ensuring market fairness. The proposal does not end the regulatory debate, particularly with state gambling regulators who argue that sports prediction markets are essentially sports betting and should fall under state jurisdiction. Nonetheless, the CFTC's action signals a move toward formalizing prediction markets, pushing the industry from a phase of rapid, often unregulated expansion into a more institutionalized, rule-based environment that more closely resembles traditional financial markets.

marsbit06/11 02:42

CFTC Proposes New Rules for Prediction Markets, Redefining Which Events Can Be Listed and Who Can Participate

marsbit06/11 02:42

US CFTC Backs Kalshi in Ohio Prediction Market Clash

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed an amicus brief supporting prediction market platform Kalshi in its legal battle with Ohio. The CFTC argues that an Ohio district court took an "improperly narrow view" of the federal agency's jurisdiction when it allowed the state to order Kalshi to stop offering event contracts, which Ohio deemed unauthorized sports gambling. CFTC Chairman Mike Selig stated the agency will not allow state overreach to undermine its authority over these markets. The case, now before the Sixth Circuit Court of Appeals, could set a significant precedent for federally authorized prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket facing state-level restrictions. This marks the second recent instance of the CFTC backing a prediction market against state authorities.

TheNewsCrypto05/13 12:41

US CFTC Backs Kalshi in Ohio Prediction Market Clash

TheNewsCrypto05/13 12:41

TurboFlow Announces Strategic Partnership with Global Giant Susquehanna Crypto, Introducing Wall Street Institutional-Grade Liquidity and Dynamic Odds Market Structure Support

TurboFlow announces a strategic partnership with Susquehanna Crypto, a leading global proprietary digital asset trading firm. As part of this collaboration, Susquehanna Crypto will act as an on-chain liquidity provider and market maker for all TurboFlow products. This partnership brings institutional-grade liquidity, market-making support, and expertise in professional trading, market structure, price discovery, and risk management to the TurboFlow ecosystem. This marks a significant milestone for TurboFlow as it expands its product suite, which includes perpetual contracts and newly launched Event Contracts with durations as short as 30 seconds. Enhanced liquidity depth, efficient price discovery, and market stability are becoming increasingly critical for user experience. Notably, TurboFlow is transitioning its Event Contracts from a traditional fixed-odds model to a more dynamic, market-driven odds structure. Susquehanna Crypto will inject deep liquidity through TurboFlow's proprietary PFOF (Payment for Order Flow) architecture. This aims to ensure minimal slippage and millisecond-level execution for users, even during extreme market volatility, whether trading 1000x leveraged perpetuals or short-duration event contracts. Looking ahead, TurboFlow plans to onboard more top-tier institutional market makers to build a diversified liquidity network. The platform will continue expanding its product ecosystem across several verticals: Event Contracts (extending to assets like crude oil and gold), prediction markets and Telegram Mini Apps, and perpetual contracts. TurboFlow's mission is to democratize trading by making professional-grade infrastructure and a simplified, engaging experience accessible to all users.

链捕手05/13 10:23

TurboFlow Announces Strategic Partnership with Global Giant Susquehanna Crypto, Introducing Wall Street Institutional-Grade Liquidity and Dynamic Odds Market Structure Support

链捕手05/13 10:23

Distribution is King: Robinhood is Devouring the Prediction Markets

Distribution is King: Robinhood is Consuming the Prediction Markets Robinhood has rapidly expanded into prediction markets by integrating Kalshi's event contracts, trading 88 billion contracts in Q1 2026 alone. Its key advantage is its 27.4 million funded users and its ability to cross-sell across stocks, crypto, options, and now prediction markets. This positions Robinhood to evolve from a broker to an integrated information-pricing platform, where event contracts for outcomes like earnings reports are displayed alongside the related assets. While dedicated platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket currently dominate, they face existential risk from potential US bans on sports betting contracts, which form a majority of their revenue. Robinhood, through its Rothera LLC joint venture, is moving to own the entire prediction market stack, capturing more revenue and adding interest income from user collateral. Financial modeling suggests Robinhood's prediction market segment could generate $8.25B to $15.75B in revenue by 2028, valuing it between $120B and $300B. Robinhood's deep integration, multi-asset user base, and regulatory diversification create a powerful distribution moat, threatening to absorb value from standalone prediction market platforms.

marsbit05/12 09:04

Distribution is King: Robinhood is Devouring the Prediction Markets

marsbit05/12 09:04

Prediction Market Clash: CFTC Sues Three States To Claim Exclusive Control

The US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has filed lawsuits against Arizona, Connecticut, and Illinois, including Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker, to assert exclusive federal authority over prediction markets. The CFTC argues that event contracts on platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket fall under its jurisdiction under the Commodity Exchange Act, and that state-level regulations create a fragmented system that increases risks of fraud and market abuse. This legal action reflects growing tension between federal and state regulators. Meanwhile, Congress is considering legislation to ban prediction markets on sensitive topics like elections and wars, and the NFL has requested operators block certain sports-related event contracts. The CFTC has also initiated a rulemaking process to clarify and reinforce its regulatory role over these markets.

bitcoinist04/03 12:01

Prediction Market Clash: CFTC Sues Three States To Claim Exclusive Control

bitcoinist04/03 12:01

CFTC warns on prediction market insider trading as volumes hit $75B in Q1

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has warned that insider trading laws apply to prediction markets, countering the belief that such activity operates in a regulatory gray area. A senior official stated the CFTC will aggressively pursue cases involving misuse of material non-public information, emphasizing that prediction market contracts fall under existing anti-fraud provisions. The regulator also highlighted exchanges' responsibilities to maintain surveillance systems and avoid listing easily manipulated contracts. This comes as prediction market trading volume surged to $75 billion in Q1 2026, up dramatically from $330 million in Q1 2024, driven by event-based trading on political, economic, and sports outcomes. The CFTC outlined enforcement priorities including insider trading, market manipulation, and retail fraud, while also introducing a new cooperation framework for self-reporting firms.

ambcrypto04/01 15:01

CFTC warns on prediction market insider trading as volumes hit $75B in Q1

ambcrypto04/01 15:01

Federal Ruling Raises Risk for Polymarket, Kalshi in Nevada

A US federal court ruling has increased the risk that Nevada regulators may halt prediction-market trading in the state. The court rejected arguments that federal commodity regulations preempt state gaming laws, allowing the Gaming Control Board to pursue its case against Polymarket’s parent company, Blockratize, in state court. This could lead to an injunction preventing Nevada residents from accessing event contracts offered by Polymarket or Kalshi. The decision comes amid growing regulatory pressure on prediction markets, with Kalshi also facing a similar state-level enforcement action. Legal experts suggest the ruling may encourage other states to seek injunctions against event contracts.

TheNewsCrypto03/03 12:47

Federal Ruling Raises Risk for Polymarket, Kalshi in Nevada

TheNewsCrypto03/03 12:47

CFTC Withdraws Proposed Ban on Sports and Political Prediction Markets

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has withdrawn its 2024 proposal to ban sports and political prediction markets. CFTC Chairman Michael S. Selig stated the agency will not proceed with final rules on the matter and will instead initiate new rulemaking based on a revised interpretation of the Commodity Exchange Act. The withdrawn proposal had sought to prohibit event contracts related to topics such as war, terrorism, and other outcomes deemed against public interest. The CFTC also repealed a 2025 staff advisory that had caused confusion. The new rulemaking aims to provide clearer guidelines, reduce regulatory uncertainty, and support innovation while reassessing the CFTC’s role in ongoing litigation regarding event contract jurisdiction. This shift signals a potential alignment of federal regulation with market practices amid ongoing tensions with state governments that often treat such contracts as unlicensed gambling.

TheNewsCrypto02/05 07:09

CFTC Withdraws Proposed Ban on Sports and Political Prediction Markets

TheNewsCrypto02/05 07:09

Krypto News: Coinbase and Crypto.com Launch Prediction Markets

Major cryptocurrency exchanges Coinbase and Crypto.com have recently launched prediction market platforms, expanding their offerings beyond traditional crypto trading. Coinbase activated its "Coinbase Predict" feature across all 50 U.S. states in partnership with regulated provider Kalshi. This allows users to trade binary event contracts on real-world outcomes in sports, politics, and economics, settled in USD or USDC. The platform operates under CFTC oversight, creating a regulatory distinction from gambling. Simultaneously, Crypto.com introduced its standalone prediction market app, "OG," operated by its CFTC-registered derivatives division. A key differentiator is its planned offering of margined, leveraged positions on prediction contracts, alongside social features and user incentives. The article highlights the growing interest in event-based trading and questions which infrastructure can best support it. It points to Bitcoin Layer-2 solutions, like the project "Bitcoin Hyper," as a potential foundation for building scalable, decentralized prediction markets. The project's ongoing presale, having raised over $31 million, is cited as evidence of significant market interest in expanding Bitcoin's use cases beyond a store of value.

bitcoinist02/04 14:24

Krypto News: Coinbase and Crypto.com Launch Prediction Markets

bitcoinist02/04 14:24

活动图片

Regulatory Policy

Industry News