Breaking Downward: Where Is Bitcoin's Bottom? How to Operate Now?
Bitcoin has broken down below the key $80,600 support, confirming a weekly C-wave decline as anticipated. The current bearish trend is part of an A-B-C correction structure that began after the $126,200 high in October 2025. Technical analysis suggests further downside potential, with key support levels at $74,500–$75,200 (Fibonacci 50% retracement and April 2025 low), $69,000–$72,500 (Fibonacci 61.8% level), and $64,500–$65,500. However, improved liquidity and positive policy expectations may limit severe declines, potentially leading to a prolonged consolidation.
Short-term trading using proprietary momentum and spread models yielded a 5.1% profit last week by shorting the rebound at ~$89,268 and covering near $84,000. Current weekly and daily indicators show strong bearish momentum with no clear bottom signal yet.
This week, Bitcoin is expected to trade within a range, with resistance at $80,000–$80,600 and $84,000–$86,500. Support is at $74,500–$75,200. Trading strategies recommend maintaining 60% short exposure for medium-term and using 30% capital for short-term scalping based on model signals. Two scenarios are outlined: shorting rebounds near $80,600 (Scheme A) or breaking below $75,200 (Scheme B), both with strict 1.5% stop-loss and dynamic profit protection rules.
Odaily星球日报15 ч. назад
