# Сопутствующие статьи по теме Stock

Новостной центр HTX предлагает последние статьи и углубленный анализ по "Stock", охватывающие рыночные тренды, новости проектов, развитие технологий и политику регулирования в криптоиндустрии.

Q4 Net Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Soars 16%, Don't Buy Coinbase Now

Coinbase reported a net loss of $667 million in Q4 2025, with revenue of $1.78 billion falling short of expectations. Despite this, its stock surged 16.46% the next day, reflecting short-term market confidence. However, analysts caution against investing in Coinbase at this time, citing high cyclicality and near-term headwinds. The company’s revenue is split between transaction-based income (56%) and subscription & services (44%). Transaction revenue relies heavily on retail trading spreads, which remain vulnerable to crypto market volatility. Subscription revenue includes stablecoin-related income (mainly from USDC interest sharing), staking, and emerging services like Coinbase One and Base L2. Key challenges include Coinbase’s high correlation with Bitcoin’s, regulatory uncertainty in the U.S., and growing competition from decentralized exchanges (DEXs) globally. Although Coinbase maintains a dominant position in the U.S. due to its regulatory compliance and trust, analysts expect continued pressure on brokerage fundamentals through 2026. Earnings are projected to underperform consensus estimates by 14% in 2026, with potential downside in a prolonged crypto downturn. While regulatory clarity may eventually benefit Coinbase, its effects are likely too slow to offset near-term financial weakness. Analysts advise waiting for a better entry point, as current risk-adjusted returns appear unfavorable.

marsbit02/14 06:06

Q4 Net Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Soars 16%, Don't Buy Coinbase Now

marsbit02/14 06:06

Q4 Net Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Soars 16%, Don't Buy Coinbase Now

Coinbase reported a net loss of $667 million in Q4 2025, with revenue of $1.78 billion falling short of expectations. Despite this, its stock surged 16.46% the next day, reflecting short-term market optimism. However, analysts caution against investing in Coinbase at this time, citing high cyclicality and near-term headwinds. Revenue is split between transaction-based income (56%) and subscription/services (44%). Transaction revenue relies heavily on retail trading spreads, which are under pressure due to declining crypto prices and reduced volatility. Subscription revenue, led by USDC interest income and staking, offers diversification but remains sensitive to interest rates and market conditions. Key debates include whether Coinbase can reduce its dependence on crypto market cycles, the sustainability of stablecoin profits, and the impact of future regulations. While the company holds a dominant position in the U.S. market due to its regulatory compliance and trust, it faces growing competition from decentralized exchanges globally. Analysts project underperformance in 2026, with earnings potentially 14% below consensus due to compressed client assets and trading activity. Although regulatory clarity may benefit Coinbase long-term, it is unlikely to offset immediate financial pressures. Valuation scenarios range from a negative IRR in a bear case to a high IRR in an optimistic rebound, but near-term risks currently outweigh potential returns.

Odaily星球日报02/14 06:03

Q4 Net Loss of $667 Million, Yet Stock Soars 16%, Don't Buy Coinbase Now

Odaily星球日报02/14 06:03

Trading Volume Hits New Highs Repeatedly, Why Is Kalshi's Pre-IPO Stock Price Experiencing a Tale of Extremes?

Amidst a declining broader market, the prediction market sector has shown remarkable resilience, with trading activity hitting record highs. Kalshi, the largest regulated prediction market platform in the U.S., reached over $9.5 billion in trading volume in January, ranking first in the sector and setting a new monthly record. This has sparked renewed discussions about the fair pre-IPO share price of Kalshi, which is poised to become the "first prediction market stock." Currently, significant price discrepancies exist on crypto-based pre-IPO trading platforms: PreStocks lists Kalshi shares between $364 and $369, while Jarsy shows a price of around $504. In traditional markets, Nasdaq Private Market prices shares at approximately $320, and Hiive at $358. Kalshi completed a Series E funding round last year at a $11 billion valuation. Based on this, the reasonable pre-IPO share price range is estimated to be between $320 and $358. However, considering Kalshi's dominant market share and January volume nearing the entire prediction market's size from October last year, its implied valuation could be at least $15 billion. This would adjust the reasonable share price range to approximately $320–$423. Thus, Jarsy's current pricing appears high, while PreStocks may present arbitrage opportunities. With 2026 being a major year for global sporting events, Kalshi's annual revenue potential is significant, likely exceeding earlier estimates for competitor Polymarket, which could further drive up its pre-IPO valuation in the future.

比推02/11 15:25

Trading Volume Hits New Highs Repeatedly, Why Is Kalshi's Pre-IPO Stock Price Experiencing a Tale of Extremes?

比推02/11 15:25

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