Luke Gromen: Why I Sold Most of My Bitcoin by the End of 2025
Luke Gromen, a long-term Bitcoin and gold bull, sold the majority of his Bitcoin holdings in late November 2025. He clarifies that this was not a full exit but a strategic reduction based on a shift in his macro outlook.
Gromen remains a long-term Bitcoin supporter but now sees it behaving like a high-beta tech stock during deflationary periods—not as a neutral reserve asset as he once expected. He argues that in a highly leveraged global system, Bitcoin acts as the "equity layer" of the capital structure, making it highly vulnerable during liquidity tightening.
A key reason for his caution is the rise of AI and robotics, which he believes are driving an exponential, technology-driven deflation. This deflation is structurally different—it’s efficiency-led, fast-spreading, and damaging to employment. In such an environment, he argues, anything short of "nuclear-level money printing" effectively acts as monetary tightening, and risk assets like Bitcoin suffer first.
He also emphasizes a broader macro shift: the world is moving from a "finance-first" era to one where "realpolitik" returns—geopolitics, industrial capacity, and supply chain security are becoming hard constraints. This new world is less stable, less friendly to financial assets, and more volatile.
Despite reducing Bitcoin exposure, Gromen remains bullish on silver due to strong industrial demand and inelastic supply. He expects that a future crisis will eventually force massive monetary intervention, but until then, he prefers to step back, preserve capital, and re-enter when the macro landscape becomes clearer.
marsbit12/27 16:23
