HYPE Sees Relief Rally, Bearish Channel Persists Ahead of $327M Token Unlock

TheNewsCryptoОпубликовано 2026-01-19Обновлено 2026-01-19

Введение

HYPE (Hyperliquid) experienced a relief rally, gaining 5.92% to $26.52 amid broader crypto market improvements, though it remains down 55% from its September peak. Daily trading volume rose 84% to $242 million, while futures trading and open interest also increased, indicating sustained investor activity without a clear directional trend. A significant token unlock of 12.46 million HYPE tokens (worth ~$327 million, 3.61% of supply) is approaching, which may trigger short-term selling pressure and hinder upward momentum, especially given the ongoing price slump. Technically, HYPE is stabilizing around $25–26 on the 4-hour chart, with RSI above 60 and a positive MACD crossover suggesting growing buyer interest. However, breaking above the $29–$30 resistance is crucial for a sustained rally, while losing the $25 support could lead to further declines.

Hyperliquid gained around 5.92% to $26.52 as broader crypto markets improved. Despite the increase, the token remains significantly lower, down almost 55% from its September top of $59.39. With that, the daily trading volume has also increased roughly 84% to $242 million.

Then, Coinglass derivatives data show futures trade surges 42% to $1.21 billion, while open interest positions increased 3.51% to $1.44 billion. This increased daily trading, futures trade and open interest, signals a continuous investor engagement around the HYPE altcoin without a clear directional move.

12.46M HYPE Token Unlock Approaches

As per the tokenomist data, 12.46 million HYPE tokens will be unlocked, worth about $327 million, accounting for 3.61% of the supply. While token unlocks often trigger short-term selling. For HYPE, which is already facing a price slump, this adding supply is a major hurdle, which could make it difficult for the token to gain any real upward momentum.

HYPE Price Analysis

From a technical point of view, HYPE is attempting to stabilize on the 4-hour chart after an extended downtrend, with price consolidating around the $25–26 zone. With that, RSI is moving above 60s, signaling growing buyer interest without entering overbought territory. Also, the MACD shows positive crossover, these indicators point towards a relief rally.

However, if HYPE breaks above the key $29 – $30 range to confirm an upside rally and it needs to maintain the $25 support zone through the unlock event to maintain stability; losing it could cause a downside trend.

Highlighted Crypto News Today:

‌Visa-Issued Crypto Card Spending Soars 525% in 2025, Led by EtherFi

TagsHYPEHyperliquid (HYPE)

Связанные с этим вопросы

QWhat is the current price of HYPE and how much has it gained recently?

AHYPE is currently trading at $26.52, having gained approximately 5.92% as broader crypto markets improved.

QWhat major event is approaching for the HYPE token and what is its potential impact?

AAn unlock of 12.46 million HYPE tokens, worth about $327 million, is approaching. This event, accounting for 3.61% of the supply, is a major hurdle that could trigger short-term selling and make it difficult for the token to gain upward momentum, especially given its current price slump.

QWhat do the technical indicators like RSI and MACD suggest about HYPE's price action?

AThe RSI is moving above the 60s, signaling growing buyer interest without being overbought. The MACD shows a positive crossover. These indicators point towards a relief rally, suggesting the token is attempting to stabilize after a downtrend.

QWhat are the key price levels to watch for HYPE's future price direction?

AHYPE needs to break above the key $29 - $30 range to confirm a sustained upside rally. To maintain stability, it must hold the $25 support zone; losing this support could lead to a renewed downside trend.

QHow have HYPE's trading metrics, such as volume and open interest, changed?

AThe daily trading volume has increased roughly 84% to $242 million. Futures trade surged 42% to $1.21 billion, and open interest positions increased 3.51% to $1.44 billion, signaling continuous investor engagement without a clear directional move.

Похожее

600 People, $66 Billion: The First Major Cash-Out in the Era of Large Models

The first systematic "big cash-out" of the AI era occurred in October 2025, when over 600 current and former OpenAI employees sold a total of $6.6 billion in shares via a secondary market. Approximately 75 individuals maxed out a $30 million per-person sale limit, while around 525 others cashed out an average of $8.3 million each. This event, exceeding the scale of any 2024 US IPO, functioned as a "shadow IPO." It marked a radical departure from the traditional Silicon Valley path of waiting for a public listing, instead allowing employees to convert equity to cash after just two years of tenure—a direct retention tool in a fiercely competitive talent market where rivals like Meta have offered packages worth hundreds of millions. This massive liquidity event presents a dual-edged sword for OpenAI. While it helps retain talent, it also risks triggering a brain drain as newly wealthy employees may depart. Furthermore, it creates a dilemma for those who sold: they forfeited potential future gains as the company's valuation soared from $400 billion to $852 billion within months. In stark contrast, employees at rival Anthropic demonstrated greater reluctance to sell during their own secondary offering. The financial narratives of the two labs also diverge sharply. OpenAI, while achieving over $20 billion in annualized revenue by 2025, faces massive projected losses (up to $14 billion in 2026), a long path to cash flow positivity, and significant revenue-sharing payments to Microsoft. Anthropic reports rapid revenue growth, improving gross margins, and a faster path to profitability. OpenAI's trajectory is thus balanced precariously between skyrocketing valuation based on funding narratives and the pressures of sustained financial losses post-cash-out. The event underscores that the AI race has evolved into a capital and human experiment, where immense wealth crystallizes the complex calculations of greed, fear, and ambition within the industry.

marsbit4 мин. назад

600 People, $66 Billion: The First Major Cash-Out in the Era of Large Models

marsbit4 мин. назад

NVIDIA Begins Adding Soap to the Bubble

NVIDIA is taking on a dual role: not just as a leading chip supplier, but as a massive capital allocator across the entire AI supply chain. In 2026, the company has committed over $40 billion in investments within five months, targeting everything from optical fiber manufacturing and data center operations to foundational AI model development. This investment spree, described as a systematic "sprinkler" approach, primarily funds companies that are major buyers of NVIDIA's own GPUs. Critics, including analysts from Goldman Sachs, label this a "circular revenue" loop—comparable to a supplier financing a customer to buy more of its products. A prominent example is NVIDIA's investment in OpenAI, which is expected to generate around $13 billion in revenue for NVIDIA, much of which may be reinvested back into OpenAI. While CEO Jensen Huang dismisses the "circular financing" critique as "absurd," arguing the investments are confidence votes in long-term generational shifts, some analysts express discomfort. They note that while investments in critical supply chain components like optics are strategically sound, funding new cloud providers like CoreWeave feels like "pre-paying for your own GPUs." The strategy carries significant risks. If the AI investment cycle turns, the market may question how much demand is genuine versus artificially sustained by NVIDIA's own balance sheet. Despite posting record-breaking earnings—$215.9 billion in annual revenue and $120 billion in net profit for FY2026—NVIDIA's stock fell after its report, signaling that "beating expectations" may no longer be enough to assure investors about the duration of the AI spending boom. The article concludes that while a bubble isn't necessarily a fraud, NVIDIA's actions resemble adding soap to a bubble—making it appear more robust and durable. This creates a complex scenario requiring extreme冷静 from investors to distinguish between real structural growth and financial engineering.

marsbit21 мин. назад

NVIDIA Begins Adding Soap to the Bubble

marsbit21 мин. назад

Short Positions Have Been Squeezed Out: Will the Next Leg of the U.S. Stock AI Rally Continue in Seoul?

"Short Squeeze Exhausted: Will the Next Leg of the AI Rally Continue in Seoul?" A Nomura report suggests the US AI stock rally, which saw the S&P 500 rise ~16.6% in 28 days largely driven by 10 key stocks, may be pausing. The fuel from short covering, CTA fund positioning, and volatility-control strategies is nearing its limit. For the rally to continue, new momentum from retail and sentiment-driven FOMO (Fear Of Missing Out) is needed. South Korea's market provided a potential answer on the very day the report was published. The KOSPI index surged 4.32%, triggering a buy-side circuit breaker, led by massive gains in chip giants SK Hynix (+11.98%) and Samsung. This surge is characterized by retail "hynix FOMO" and overseas funds precisely buying into AI themes via chip-focused ETFs, shifting from broad Korean market ETFs. The Korean rally is a high-beta extension of the US AI capital expenditure story, as major cloud providers plan massive infrastructure spending, directly benefiting memory chip leaders. However, this linkage also implies vulnerability. The sustainability of this next leg depends on whether US tech stocks correct, the trajectory of US inflation (with upcoming CPI data key), and geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. Seoul has emerged as the new epicenter of the AI trade, but its fate remains tied to these broader macro and market dynamics.

marsbit25 мин. назад

Short Positions Have Been Squeezed Out: Will the Next Leg of the U.S. Stock AI Rally Continue in Seoul?

marsbit25 мин. назад

Торговля

Спот
Фьючерсы
活动图片