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Bitcoin's Key Channel Broken? History Won't Simply Repeat Itself | Invited Analysis

This analysis by Odaily's market analyst Cody examines Bitcoin's recent price action and potential future trajectories. The key technical focus is the breach of Bitcoin's critical upward channel support line, which had been acting as a "lifeline" for the market since the November 21, 2025, low of $80,600. The report compares the current market structure to the 2021 cycle, noting similarities but cautioning that history does not simply repeat itself. The current correction from the October 2025 high is analyzed as a potential three-wave structure (A-B-C). The recently concluded B-wave rally has potentially ended, and the market is now in a C-wave correction. Key support levels to watch are identified at $86,000-$86,500, $84,000, and crucially, the $80,000-$80,600 zone (the November low). A decisive break below the channel support, accompanied by a bearish crossover on the daily momentum indicator, could signal a resumption of the downtrend towards these targets. Conversely, holding above the channel could lead to a retest of resistance near $94,500. The analyst details a successful short trade from the previous week, yielding a 3.76% return, executed based on a confluence of signals from proprietary quantitative models. The weekly and daily charts are currently assessed as bearish. The recommended strategy for the coming week involves preparing for a potential breakdown below the channel with short positions (60% for mid-term, 30% for short-term trades), employing strict risk management with trailing stop-losses.

Odaily星球日报01/26 05:47

Bitcoin's Key Channel Broken? History Won't Simply Repeat Itself | Invited Analysis

Odaily星球日报01/26 05:47

CoinW Research Institute Weekly Report (Issue: Jan 19, 2026 - Jan 25, 2026)

CoinW Research Weekly Report (Jan 19 - Jan 25, 2026) The global crypto market cap fell 5.27% to $3.05T. Bitcoin's market dominance stood at 57.05%. The crypto fear & greed index was at 19, indicating extreme fear. US Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $1.33B, while Ethereum spot ETFs had a net outflow of $611M. The total stablecoin market cap decreased 1.02% to $310.8B, with USDT and USDC declining slightly. DeFi TVL dropped 9.98% to $117.2B. Ethereum led with 57.81% of the TVL, followed by Solana and Bitcoin. On-chain activity showed mixed signals: DEX volumes increased on most chains except BNB and Aptos, with Sui surging 72.86%. Daily active addresses grew across most major L1s, but TVL declined on all tracked chains. Layer 2 TVL fell 6.91% to $36.64B. Notable projects include HyperLend (lending on Hyperliquid), Lazbubu (AI companion on BNB Chain), and Cork Protocol (DeFi risk infrastructure). Key industry events: Solana Mobile's SKR token launched, ETHGas conducted its airdrop, and BitGo completed a $212.8M IPO on the NYSE. Upcoming events include TGEs for Rainbow Wallet's RNBW and Infinex's INX tokens. Major fundraises included Superstate's $82.5M Series B and River's $12M round led by TRON DAO.

marsbit01/26 05:00

CoinW Research Institute Weekly Report (Issue: Jan 19, 2026 - Jan 25, 2026)

marsbit01/26 05:00

Avantis [AVNT] outpaces HYPE & ASTER with 27% surge, but THIS blocks the path

Avantis (AVNT) surged 27%, significantly outperforming peers like Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Aster (ASTER). The rally was driven by a sharp increase in network activity, including a spike in transactions and whale accumulation on exchanges like Coinbase. Upbit exchange dominated nearly half of the trading volume, indicating strong Asian investor interest. The token's integration across 25 wallets and a Total Value Locked (TVL) exceeding $104 million further boosted confidence. Technically, AVNT broke out of a falling wedge pattern with strong momentum indicators. However, the price is currently testing key resistance around the $0.36 level—coinciding with the yearly open—which may determine its near-term trajectory. While short-term bias is bullish, sustaining the breakout will be crucial for continued gains.

ambcrypto01/26 04:02

Avantis [AVNT] outpaces HYPE & ASTER with 27% surge, but THIS blocks the path

ambcrypto01/26 04:02

Developing 15 Products to Test Human Nature, This 'Dopamine Dealer' Became Musk's Product Chief

Nikita Bier, a 36-year-old product expert known for creating viral social apps like tbh and Gas, was appointed as the head of product at X (formerly Twitter) in June 2025. Under Elon Musk’s vision to transform X into a super-app integrating social, financial, and informational services, Bier has led significant changes—such as refining the recommendation algorithm, introducing Smart Cashtags for real-time stock and crypto data, and restructuring creator incentives. Bier’s career reflects a shift from idealistic tech solutions to leveraging human psychology for engagement. His early app Politify aimed to inform voter decisions through data but failed to change behavior. Later, he built tbh—an anonymous compliment app—which gained 5 million users and was acquired by Facebook. After leaving Meta, he created Gas, which monetized social validation and was sold to Discord for $50 million. At X, Bier is applying his expertise in emotional engagement and behavioral design to merge social interactions with financial activities. By analyzing user emotions—likes, shares, comments—X aims to prompt seamless in-app trading and payments, targeting financially anxious younger users who often turn to social media for investment cues. However, X faces challenges including entrenched user habits favoring specialized apps, regulatory scrutiny, and potential risks of encouraging impulsive financial behavior through emotional triggers. Bier’s strategy focuses on making financial actions a natural extension of social engagement—testing whether a Western super-app can succeed where others have failed.

marsbit01/26 03:35

Developing 15 Products to Test Human Nature, This 'Dopamine Dealer' Became Musk's Product Chief

marsbit01/26 03:35

OKX "New Year's Eve Dinner" Concludes: Industry Exchange Phase Wraps Up, New Journey of the Year of the Horse Begins

OKX's "New Year's Eve Dinner" event concluded on January 25, 2026, marking a year-end gathering for industry builders. Sponsored by partners like 0G and Base, the event brought together over 100 industry professionals and media representatives to discuss OKX's latest developments, industry trends, and practical insights. OKX CEO Star emphasized in a video address that the crypto industry is entering a new phase driven by technological advances, generational shifts, and global regulatory frameworks. He urged participants to focus on long-term value and maintain industry credibility. Star also highlighted OKX’s commitment to providing diverse, compliant, and user-friendly financial services globally. The company plans to expand its ecosystem by supporting more on-chain assets, including cross-chain and real-world assets (RWA), and enhancing products like X Layer, OKX Web3 Wallet, and OKX Pay. OKX’s Global Head of Marketing, Tianyi, noted that OKX now serves over 120 million users worldwide. The past year saw significant progress in compliance across key markets and partnerships with institutions like Standard Chartered, DBS, and Mastercard. Product innovations such as built-in DEX, yield-earning options, and AI-powered risk controls were also highlighted. Zakk, Head of OKX Wallet, shared that the wallet supports 140 blockchains, 30 of which include DEX integrations, and aims to improve security, self-custody, and user experience. Jason, Product Lead for OKX Planet Community, introduced the platform’s public testing phase—a community product integrating content, trading, and social features. Terrence, Head of Strategy Trading, announced the upcoming AI Trading Bot, which allows users to create and execute strategies using natural language, with plans to expand into on-chain trading and multi-asset management. The event included an awards ceremony recognizing contributors to content and community growth over the past year. OKX aims to make the "New Year's Eve Dinner" an annual platform for industry collaboration, promoting compliance, innovation, and the expansion of Web3 applications.

marsbit01/26 03:32

OKX "New Year's Eve Dinner" Concludes: Industry Exchange Phase Wraps Up, New Journey of the Year of the Horse Begins

marsbit01/26 03:32

Clawdbot Ascends to Legendary Status: The 24/7 AI Butler That Sold Out Mac Minis

Clawdbot, an open-source AI assistant project by Peter Steinberger, has taken Silicon Valley by storm, driving a surge in Mac mini sales as users seek hardware to run it. This "7x24h Jarvis" operates locally on devices like Mac mini, functioning as both an AI agent (using models like Claude and Gemini) and a gateway to communicate via apps like WhatsApp and iMessage. It offers unlimited memory, proactive task execution, and full system access—enabling it to run scripts, automate workflows, and even replace services like Zapier. Users report it managing businesses, handling emails, controlling smart home devices, and more, all while learning and evolving over time. With low setup costs (as little as $25/month using cloud servers) and growing accessibility, Clawdbot is redefining personal AI assistance by combining persistent memory, autonomy, and deep system integration.

marsbit01/26 03:22

Clawdbot Ascends to Legendary Status: The 24/7 AI Butler That Sold Out Mac Minis

marsbit01/26 03:22

Funding Weekly Report | 13 Public Funding Events, Superstate Completes $82.5 Million Series B Funding Led by Bain Capital Crypto and Distributed Global

Last week (Jan 19-25) saw 13 blockchain funding rounds totaling over $222 million. Key deals include: - **DeFi**: Superstate raised $82.5M in a Series B led by Bain Capital Crypto and Distributed Global to build an on-chain securities issuance layer. River secured $12M to expand cross-chain liquidity infrastructure. Cork raised $5.5M for tokenized risk markets. - **Web3 & AI**: Warden raised $4M for AI agent infrastructure. AKEDO secured $5M for AI-native content creation. Lazbubu received strategic funding for its AI companion agent on BNB Chain. - **Infrastructure**: ZBD raised $40M led by Blockstream Capital for Bitcoin-based gaming payments. Bitway raised $4.44M for Bitcoin L1 development. - **CeFi**: Argentine fintech Pomelo raised $55M to launch a stablecoin credit card and expand in Latin America. Additional notable AI deals outside the report included Humans& ($480M seed round) and Baseten ($300M round with $150M from NVIDIA).

marsbit01/26 03:14

Funding Weekly Report | 13 Public Funding Events, Superstate Completes $82.5 Million Series B Funding Led by Bain Capital Crypto and Distributed Global

marsbit01/26 03:14

David Hoffman: Ethereum in the New World Order

David Hoffman, founder of Bankless, reflects on the 2026 Davos Forum, where crypto leaders gathered amidst a significant shift in global order. U.S. Secretary Howard declared "globalization has failed," while Canada’s Minister Mark noted the "fracturing, not transformation" of the rules-based international system. Hoffman argues that the post-WWII order, upheld by fragile institutions like the UN, is collapsing as the U.S. abandons multilateralism under Trump’s "America First" policy, reverting to a might-makes-right reality. In this fragmented landscape, Hoffman sees decentralized crypto protocols like Bitcoin and Ethereum as emerging higher-order structures that can unify a divided world. They don’t replace nation-states but provide a neutral, rules-based coordination layer for global cooperation. Bitcoin enforces accountability through its decentralized, algorithmic "if-then" logic, while Ethereum’s Turing-complete smart contracts extend this principle further. Despite current crypto market pessimism, Hoffman believes these protocols could deliver the rules-based order that traditional institutions failed to sustain—potentially making Ethereum the unexpected foundation for a new global system.

marsbit01/26 03:09

David Hoffman: Ethereum in the New World Order

marsbit01/26 03:09

Decoding Enso’s $11mln liquidation: Is 180% weekly surge sustainable?

Enso (ENSO) experienced $11.67 million in futures liquidations in 24 hours, with 70.7% being short liquidations, indicating a major short squeeze. The token surged 38.3% in a day and 180% over the week, with a 170% increase in trading volume. Open Interest rose 70%, suggesting the rally was derivatives-driven. Analysts warn the market may be overextended, advising profit-taking. Key resistance lies at $1.992–$2.785, while a drop below $1.63 could signal a pullback toward $1. The overall bias remains bullish, but sustainability depends on broader market conditions like Bitcoin's momentum.

ambcrypto01/26 03:02

Decoding Enso’s $11mln liquidation: Is 180% weekly surge sustainable?