美元指数创下20年新高，比特币在接近2万美元关键趋势线上挣扎

Cointelegraph中文Опубликовано 2022-07-14Обновлено 2022-07-14

Введение

今年的美元指数势不可挡，越来越多人担忧它对加密货币之外的资产的影响。

7月14日，随着美元强势再次创下20年来的新高，比特币(BTC)在2万美元以下找到了新的焦点。

BTC/USD 1小时蜡烛图(Bitstamp)。来源: TradingView

美元指数走势让日元和欧元成为焦点

Cointelegraph Markets Pro和TradingView的数据显示，BTC/USD从低点反弹，根据美国最新发布的消费者价格指数(CPI)，美国通胀创下40年新高。

在短暂跌破1.9万美元之后，该交易对一度突破了2万美元，随后又在这一重要的心理水平之下站稳脚跟。

链上分析资源Material Indicators称，出现自6月中旬以来关键的上涨趋势，现在BTC价格走势位于“生死关头”。

当天，该趋势线约为1.96万美元，目前BTC/USD仍将其作为支撑位。

与此同时，由于今天再次由美元主导，加密货币市场似乎不太可能出现大幅上涨。

在CPI数据公布后，美元指数(DXY)大幅回落，达到2002年以来的最高水平——这一现象在今年的大部分时间里皆如此。

DXY新峰值为108.64，较24小时低点上升超过1%。

美元指数(DXY)一小时蜡烛图。来源: TradingView

除了对比特币和风险资产的短期负面影响外，美元走强对世界其他主要货币也是坏消息，其中日元尤其受到比特币评论人士的关注。

热门推特账户Stack Hodler 表示：“日元今天又受到重挫了。日本央行原地不动，等待美联储逆转。在那之前，他们将继续摧毁他们的货币，因为他们别无他选。”

“日本央行+日元让我们窥见了欧洲央行+欧元的下场。你明白为什么比特币如此重要了吗?”

据Cointelegraph报道，一些人认为，美联储也将别无选择，只能在2022年底前停止抑制通胀的加息。

投资者和对冲基金经理Bill Ackman在推特上回应CPI数据时写道:“今天的CPI数据显示了广泛且加速的通胀，短期FF期货上涨，暗示12/22日FF达到3.68%的峰值，美联储随后立即降息至1/24的2.9%。”

“市场含蓄地预计，美联储更激进的政策将在年底前把我们推入衰退，然后降息作为回应。”

几乎没有人相信山寨币的重生

至于山寨币，一名分析师警告称，过去24小时的平稳上涨没有理由认为价格不会继续下跌。

在当天的最新更新中，Il Capo of Crypto预测，在市值排名前十的加密货币中，至少有两种代币会出现看跌走势。

例如，以太币(ETH)的价格可能会回到三位数。

Cardano (ADA)因跌破支撑位而面临更糟糕的局面，在过去几周内已经经受了六次考验。

“支撑位被打破，现在被当作阻力位来测试，走势堪忧。”Il Capo of Crypto评论道。

不过，研究公司Santiment的数据揭示了山寨币反弹的可能性，因为今年以来，它“跌得比大多数货币都严重”。

来源: Santiment推特

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